Echoing the sentiments of many;
They don't have the horses.
They're playing about as well as can be expected, perhaps even overachieving.
Problem being, they'll get hot and win a few games and expectations rise.
However, dissecting many of these wins, the common denominator is typically Rask playing other worldly.
This is where I disagree with many.
The problem on this team in a nutshell is scoring goals. Team defense has been good overall, yes part of that is Rask but the overall Team defense has been better this year, much to the surprise of many including myself.
But up front, if I compare the top end of the forward group to most other teams, I don't see a massive gap. Sure there seems to be some regression (mostly due to injuries) in some of the veteran core of Bergeron, Krejci, Backes, and even Marchand (who I think is banged up), but meanwhile we've seen the emergence of an elite scoring talent in Pastrnak. I'd put Boston Top 5 forwards up against almost any team. Do you mean to tell me a squad that pumped the Avs last night for 10 goals has a group of Top 5 forwards massively better than Boston's?
The problem is three-fold.
1) The PP stinks, and the 1st unit is not only staled but gets too much PP time and shouldn't be starting every PP. And it's also killing the confidence of the forward group 5 on 5.
2) The forward configuration isn't working. For the love of god, end the Krejci + Backes pairing. It's NOT WORKING!
Part of the issue though I think is the Bergeron injury, which is to me, one reason why they've kept Pasta with Marchand, to give Marchand someone top end to play with, as they know Bergeron with his injury just isn't capable of being vintage Bergeron we're used to seeing. So it's even harder to spread out your offense. Backes since he came back from his elbow injury has been a shadow of the player I watched in last years playoffs just 6 months ago. I hope Vatrano can step in a help, I like Frankie big time, but realistically this injury set him back.
3) The secondary scoring, especially from the 3rd line, just isn't there.
Czarnik is a nice little player, but he's got no competition for that spot. I don't think he needs to go down but some to compete for that RW spot he's been sort of gifted wouldn't hurt.
Riley Nash is a better skating Joonas Kemppainen, a zero-zone player who brings very little to the table. And him centering the 3rd line is killing it.
Belesky has been good and bad before he got hurt, but your not getting anything out of a Matt Belesky, who can't create his own shot, if you don't have him playing with someone who can get him the puck in the soft areas of the ice to utilize his only asset, his shot. Riley Nash isn't that guy.
Ryan Spooner has been beat to death ad nausium around here, bottom line, regardless of his position or who he's playing with, the kid has been totally inconsistent this season. He played lights out when he saw his name in trade rumours, that wore off after one game and he's been lousy ever since.
The 4th line, when healthy, has actually been the best 4th line this team has had since 2013 IMO, so I don't see a major issue there.
Although if a more enforcer type was brought in to man that 4th line RW spot and compete with Acciari would be nice, even Tyler Randell, who scored 6 goals 27 games last season (and would be
5th on this squad right now believe it or not) but couldn't find a spot on this low-scoring squad. Claude and management prefer Acciari who may never score a goal at the NHL level from what I've seen. Julien complains about lack of scoring and finish, but yet prefers the guy who has ZERO goals in 32 games over the guy in Randell with SIX in 27.
And it's not even worth mentioning Jimmy Hayes at this point, there is nothing to say that hasn't already been said.