Prospect Info: Florian Xhekaj

  • PLEASE check any bookmark on all devices. IF you see a link pointing to mandatory.com DELETE it Please use this URL https://forums.hfboards.com/

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
It's horrible drafting to pick a guy at any spot if you think his upside is as a 4th liner.

Even in the lower rounds you should pick a kid with some ability or quality that if the shortcoming(s) get fixed, can make him a top player. Of course the odds are ridiculously long, but every now and then you get a real good player.

So Flo , didn't produce and he isn't skilled. But he is big even for the NHL, skates decently enough, goes to the net, has a decent wrist shot, is physical and competes. If he has his brothers desire....

Flo has a low, but realistic chance of putting it together and if he does, could become a Tom Wilson type of player. And Wilson is a guy he likes.

No problem with this pick.
 

Habs Halifax

Loyal Habs Fan
Jul 11, 2016
70,563
27,681
East Coast
Xhekaj with a goal to tie their game at 4-4 with a little over 3 minutes left in the game. Brantford ended up beating Kitchener 5-4 in the SO. Xhekaj didn't participate in that.

Habs scouts were clearly high on him heading into the draft. Seems to be adding weight/muscle fast like his older brother too. A good use of a 4th round dart from what I see. Very curious to see how he grows in the next two seasons.
 
Last edited:

Jaynki

Registered User
Feb 3, 2014
5,757
5,834
It's horrible drafting to pick a guy at any spot if you think his upside is as a 4th liner.
No it is not,

Some guys around the league had terrific career as role player with rare intangibles.

Cizikas, Clutterbuck, Maroon, Goodrow for example and they were in-demand player.

You need player that have the attributes to play there but also players that will accept their roles there. You can't have a Christian Dvorak or a Mike Hoffman on a fourth line.

We are talking about a 110th pick here. There is no ''swing for the fences'' anymore. The offensive player remaining at this spot have glaring weakness and dubious potential at best. Some may hit for sure.
 
Last edited:

Rapala

Registered User
Mar 29, 2013
41,078
37,534
Montreal
I wouldn't agree, you are looking for NHLers at every pick, there's no harm in finding role players at the draft.
It's actually the floor you are hoping for. But I get the sentiment. That is the beautiful part of drafting kids you can guess on the possible progression but there are so many factors including internal clock that end up skewing the process. I think I've said it more than once consider how different the drafts would look if they were held even 1 year later.
 

Whitesnake

If you rebuild, they will come.
Jan 5, 2003
90,289
38,683
No it is not,

Some guys around the league had terrific career as role player with rare intangibles.

Cizikas, Clutterbuck, Maroon, Goodrow for example and they were in-demand player.

You need player that have the attributes to play there but also players that will accept their roles there. You can't have a Christian Dvorak or a Mike Hoffman on a fourth line.

We are talking about a 110th pick here. There is no ''swing for the fences'' anymore. The offensive player remaining at this spot have glaring weakness and dubious potential at best. Some may hit for sure.
Most fillers in the NHL happen to be top end players for their junior teams. Even in their draft year.

My picks would be made of players that if develop super well, they all could be top end players. If not, they could play another role. I also don't agree that you should pick a player with an already specific role in mind especially if you are targetting a guy who AT BEST could be a 4th liner. There's just no room for hope.

Having said all of that, if their own analysis based on growth etc is that it's possible that Florian does have in him to suddenly explode offensively and be a top 6 player THOUGH he is most likely to be a bottom 6? Fine pick for me.

To me, it's always the same thing. It's not the pick. It's the thought process.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CristianoRonaldo

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
I wouldn't agree, you are looking for NHLers at every pick, there's no harm in finding role players at the draft.
No there isn't. But you don't aim for them. Gorton said as much last year, that you don't pick guys thinking they will be a good 4th liner, you pick for better and you will just end up with some of those guys being 4th liners.
 

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
No it is not,

Some guys around the league had terrific career as role player with rare intangibles.

Cizikas, Clutterbuck, Maroon, Goodrow for example and they were in-demand player.

You need player that have the attributes to play there but also players that will accept their roles there. You can't have a Christian Dvorak or a Mike Hoffman on a fourth line.

We are talking about a 110th pick here. There is no ''swing for the fences'' anymore. The offensive player remaining at this spot have glaring weakness and dubious potential at best. Some may hit for sure.
Picking outside of the 2nd round every player has at least one significant deficiency, typically several. So I get it, you can question how any can have much upside at all. I still think you pick a player you think has the highest ceiling at where you are picking.
 

montreal

Go Habs Go
Mar 21, 2002
58,425
43,325
www.youtube.com
No there isn't. But you don't aim for them. Gorton said as much last year, that you don't pick guys thinking they will be a good 4th liner, you pick for better and you will just end up with some of those guys being 4th liners.

Who said anything about aim for them, you make up your list and as you check the names off, if said up coming pick fits the situation then you make you pick. It's not like they are saying I think this guy will only ever play on the 4th line, instead they are looking at what role he could fill and if that role ends up a 4th liner because that's where his skill level showed as he progressed through the ranks.

Bobrov said that they are looking for NHL players, they took him because of what role they think he might be able to fill in 5 years and based off the very little i've seen of him, he would be lucky to end up a 4th liner in the NHL full time (and a big win for the family to have 2 NHLers).

To me you 100% draft these kind of players if you think there's really something there and at the right time, which is tough to say since every draft class is different.

You can't draft a team full of Caufield's just as you can't draft a team full of Pezzetta's, which is why drafting 18 year olds is so hard and the stats so bad on the success rate beyond the 1st round.
 

Estimated_Prophet

Registered User
Mar 28, 2003
10,966
11,985
No it is not,

Some guys around the league had terrific career as role player with rare intangibles.

Cizikas, Clutterbuck, Maroon, Goodrow for example and they were in-demand player.

You need player that have the attributes to play there but also players that will accept their roles there. You can't have a Christian Dvorak or a Mike Hoffman on a fourth line.

We are talking about a 110th pick here. There is no ''swing for the fences'' anymore. The offensive player remaining at this spot have glaring weakness and dubious potential at best. Some may hit for sure.

I think his point is that those players were drafted with the upside of being more than 4th liners and all of them have played in the top 9 for large chunks of their careers.

Drafting a player with the hope that maybe he can play on a 4th line at best was reserved for goons or the last picks of the draft by ill prepared GM's. Listing a group of the best 4th liners in hockey is not evidence that they were drafted to be that.

They clearly see much more than a 4th liner in Xhekaj as was made blatantly evident in the recent draft video that they released. They absolutely see players like this as safe bets to be valuable 4th liners if their upside doesn't necessarily hit which is why people are conflating the drafting of physical players like this with targeting 4th liners. They are targeting potential upside with players who bring an element that will be useful lower in the lineup if they settle closer to their floor.

Targeting a player who you hope just might be able to make it as a 4th liner is terrible asset management as they are the cheapest and most abundant commodity. You absolutely always shoot at least a little higher if you intend on being successful.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: HuGo Sham and jrom

NewDef

Registered User
Nov 2, 2015
792
1,350
No there isn't. But you don't aim for them. Gorton said as much last year, that you don't pick guys thinking they will be a good 4th liner, you pick for better and you will just end up with some of those guys being 4th liners.
And on 4th round gambles, the odds of the big body kid to have a role if his skills tops as 4th line level are much better than the 5'9 with skills but no role in a team stacked with a strong top 9. That's kind of where i see the Florian gamble. He 'could' be a Wilson but be would still me usefull as a Maroon...
 
  • Like
Reactions: Scriptor and yianik

WeThreeKings

Demidov is a HAB
Sep 19, 2006
94,453
103,402
Halifax
The backlash on this pick could have been avoided if they didn't wait until the draft video in September to have our scouts tell us why they selected him.

That was the worst post draft presser in the history of the team. I still don't know what the hell they think of Volokhin, Miller, Harris, Eriksson or Mittelstadt.
 

WinterLion

Registered User
Oct 1, 2017
5,333
5,368
The backlash on this pick could have been avoided if they didn't wait until the draft video in September to have our scouts tell us why they selected him.

That was the worst post draft presser in the history of the team. I still don't know what the hell they think of Volokhin, Miller, Harris, Eriksson or Mittelstadt.

Yeah I miss Timmins' after draft breakdown...
 

badfish

Habs fan in ON
Sponsor
Nov 12, 2005
2,730
2,608
ON
The backlash on this pick could have been avoided if they didn't wait until the draft video in September to have our scouts tell us why they selected him.

That was the worst post draft presser in the history of the team. I still don't know what the hell they think of Volokhin, Miller, Harris, Eriksson or Mittelstadt.
I fully agree. They really avoided hyping Reinbacher in the interview too. Also, they said they couldn't scout Michkov live this year, which I thought was a ridiculous response from an organization that should have the access to the best resources, but in the video it seems like they were talking Reinbacher vs. Michkov, implying some people had saw him.
 

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
Who said anything about aim for them, you make up your list and as you check the names off, if said up coming pick fits the situation then you make you pick. It's not like they are saying I think this guy will only ever play on the 4th line, instead they are looking at what role he could fill and if that role ends up a 4th liner because that's where his skill level showed as he progressed through the ranks.

Bobrov said that they are looking for NHL players, they took him because of what role they think he might be able to fill in 5 years and based off the very little i've seen of him, he would be lucky to end up a 4th liner in the NHL full time (and a big win for the family to have 2 NHLers).

To me you 100% draft these kind of players if you think there's really something there and at the right time, which is tough to say since every draft class is different.

You can't draft a team full of Caufield's just as you can't draft a team full of Pezzetta's, which is why drafting 18 year olds is so hard and the stats so bad on the success rate beyond the 1st round.
After the 2nd picking any guy who becomes an NHL regular has a good dose of luck involved.

Pezz v Caufield ? I'm not sure how the BPA factors in because a team would have criteria for BPA, but for sure having a mix of prospects is needed. Gallagher was no high skill guy but he had lots of okay qualities and extreme tenacity, and here you are. For guys like Flo and Gallagher it's the never quit and aggression that may get them in as the skill set won't do it on its own. Hopefully like Gallagher Flo has a few okay NHL skills so that he becomes a Gallagher v a Pezz.
 

WeThreeKings

Demidov is a HAB
Sep 19, 2006
94,453
103,402
Halifax
After the 2nd picking any guy who becomes an NHL regular has a good dose of luck involved.

Pezz v Caufield ? I'm not sure how the BPA factors in because a team would have criteria for BPA, but for sure having a mix of prospects is needed. Gallagher was no high skill guy but he had lots of okay qualities and extreme tenacity, and here you are. For guys like Flo and Gallagher it's the never quit and aggression that may get them in as the skill set won't do it on its own. Hopefully like Gallagher Flo has a few okay NHL skills so that he becomes a Gallagher v a Pezz.

I mean Gallagher had 80+ points and 40 goals, he was tenacious but he had skill and undervalued due to his size.

Pezzetta had 28 points, Xhekaj had 25 points.
 

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
And on 4th round gambles, the odds of the big body kid to have a role if his skills tops as 4th line level are much better than the 5'9 with skills but no role in a team stacked with a strong top 9. That's kind of where i see the Florian gamble. He 'could' be a Wilson but be would still me usefull as a Maroon...
Yes, and you look at our Farrell. Seems to have lots of skill, but he needs to be able to maneuver out there so in some way, be it speed or shiftiness, the skating has to be there. Otherwise he has no role to play.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NewDef

yianik

Registered User
Jun 30, 2009
10,950
6,496
I mean Gallagher had 80+ points and 40 goals, he was tenacious but he had skill and undervalued due to his size.

Pezzetta had 28 points, Xhekaj had 25 points.
Sure Gallagher didn't lack skill, but that same tenacity I think allowed him to put up those real good numbers in junior, and teams just thought he wouldn't produce at the NHL level with his size and skill set, as you say.

Flo had his 1st year in junior last year. He reminds me of Gallagher in that he does have some skills there, and he has a big body he needs to get comfortable with. I think he could surprise..And could surprise is good enough.
 
  • Like
Reactions: DailyKaizen

Wayfarer13

Registered User
Jun 21, 2020
466
203
I think his point is that those players were drafted with the upside of being more than 4th liners and all of them have played in the top 9 for large chunks of their careers.

Drafting a player with the hope that maybe he can play on a 4th line at best was reserved for goons or the last picks of the draft by ill prepared GM's. Listing a group of the best 4th liners in hockey is not evidence that they were drafted to be that.

They clearly see much more than a 4th liner in Xhekaj as was made blatantly evident in the recent draft video that they released. They absolutely see players like this as safe bets to be valuable 4th liners if their upside doesn't necessarily hit which is why people are conflating the drafting of physical players like this with targeting 4th liners. They are targeting potential upside with players who bring an element that will be useful lower in the lineup if they settle closer to their floor.

Targeting a player who you hope just might be able to make it as a 4th liner is terrible asset management as they are the cheapest and most abundant commodity. You absolutely always shoot at least a little higher if you intend on being successful.
I look at it like this. They looked at Arbor and suspect Florian maybe a late bloomer as well with the same intangibles.If you can develop your fourth liners in house it would be better than signing or trading for more expensive veterans.Yes there is risk as in every other transaction. Shooting for what is guaranteed all the times means you will finish in the middle of the pack.Considering how well last years draft is appearing I will give the Habs draft team plenty of elbow room.
 
  • Like
Reactions: dralaf

malcb33

Registered User
Apr 10, 2005
1,220
1,218
New Zealand
Also, they said they couldn't scout Michkov live this year, which I thought was a ridiculous response from an organization that should have the access to the best resources, but in the video it seems like they were talking Reinbacher vs. Michkov, implying some people had saw him.
Surely Bobrov made the trip to go see Michkov? He's still a Russian citizen, right?

If the Director of Amateur scouting didn't go to Russia (and had the opportunity) to see Michkov live (and seeing someone live is a factor in making that decision) I don't know how the scouting team can feel confident in a decision of that magnitude.
 
  • Like
Reactions: badfish

Scriptor

Registered User
Jan 1, 2014
7,897
4,874
The backlash on this pick could have been avoided if they didn't wait until the draft video in September to have our scouts tell us why they selected him.

That was the worst post draft presser in the history of the team. I still don't know what the hell they think of Volokhin, Miller, Harris, Eriksson or Mittelstadt.
Must like them tp have drafted them? I'm just going out on a lark, here...
 

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad