F JP Hurlbert - Dallas Stars Elite, 14U AAA (2026 Draft)

Pavel Buchnevich

"Pavel Buchnevich The Fake"
Dec 8, 2013
60,555
27,472
New York
After watching some of the games, I think that he's getting a lot of bad puck luck. He's one of the best players for his NTDP year. I have a few questions about how he projects to pro hockey, but he's making a lot happen and the puck isn't going in the net. He has fantastic 1v1 puck skills, and can pull pucks through defenders and make them miss with the best of them. His skating is more slippery than fast, although I don't think he skates bad for 5'11 176. He plays center early this season. I think he has a chance to stick at center, but it's not a certainty. Decent hockey sense. More of a shooter than passer, but the true scoring skills, both shooting and passing, are a little questionable. He seems more like a puck handler than a scorer, if that makes sense. I would classify him as a likely first rounder, but I don't see it as a certainty. He's probably a rough projection like a Frank Nazar, but we could also be talking about him as a second or third round pick and I wouldn't be shocked.
 
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Hockeyville USA

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Dec 30, 2023
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After watching some of the games, I think that he's getting a lot of bad puck luck. He's one of the best players for his NTDP year. I have a few questions about how he projects to pro hockey, but he's making a lot happen and the puck isn't going in the net. He has fantastic 1v1 puck skills, and can pull pucks through defenders and make them miss with the best of them. His skating is more slippery than fast, although I don't think he skates bad for 5'11 176. He plays center early this season. I think he has a chance to stick at center, but it's not a certainty. Decent hockey sense. More of a shooter than passer, but the true scoring skills, both shooting and passing, are a little questionable. He seems more like a puck handler than a scorer, if that makes sense. I would classify him as a likely first rounder, but I don't see it as a certainty. He's probably a rough projection like a Frank Nazar, but we could also be talking about him as a second or third round pick and I wouldn't be shocked.
He started out extremely slow but has gotten it going lately in terms of production. 8 points in 8 USHL games, 12 points in 22 total games for the NTDP.
 

BKarchitect

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Oct 12, 2017
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Kansas City, MO
He's kind of running away with the scoring in the USHL games for the USNTDP (if EP is correct)...he now has 3 more goals than anybody else has points...I have no idea what the make-up of these games have been so far so not trying to draw any massive conclusions, but if he keeps up this pace, it is far, far exceeding anything that any of the '07 guys did last year in the USHL.

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Omark

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Aug 5, 2011
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Espoo, Finland
In eliteprospects USNTDP u17/18 and USNTDP juniors (USHL) are listed differently. Also in the USHL USNTDP junior stats there are u17 and u18 players mixed.

Anyone can explain why are they listed differently? What other games they play than USHL?

Hurlbert has amazing stats in USNTDP juniors in USHL but terrible stats in USNTDP u17.
 

macbowes

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Aug 1, 2022
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Victoria
NTDP17 start their season playing against NAHL teams, then play against USHL teams + international U17 teams. NTDP18 start their season playing against USHL teams, then play against NCAA teams + international U18 teams.
 
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MTU34

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Oct 6, 2020
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In eliteprospects USNTDP u17/18 and USNTDP juniors (USHL) are listed differently. Also in the USHL USNTDP junior stats there are u17 and u18 players mixed.

Anyone can explain why are they listed differently? What other games they play than USHL?

Hurlbert has amazing stats in USNTDP juniors in USHL but terrible stats in USNTDP u17.
The stats from the USNTDP Juniors are included in the USNTDP U17 stats. So every game Hurlbert has played is covered by the u17 stats
 
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Pavel Buchnevich

"Pavel Buchnevich The Fake"
Dec 8, 2013
60,555
27,472
New York
NTDP17 start their season playing against NAHL teams, then play against USHL teams + international U17 teams. NTDP18 start their season playing against USHL teams, then play against NCAA teams + international U18 teams.
And in addition, Hurlbert started the season a little slow and also had some bad puck luck at the beginning, so that's the big disparity in his stats.
 

Omark

Tesla stock
Aug 5, 2011
202
202
Espoo, Finland
And in addition, Hurlbert started the season a little slow and also had some bad puck luck at the beginning, so that's the big disparity in his stats.
Yeah, it will be interesting how this turns out. He has 13 points in USHL while Berchild has only 6. Berchild is considered as a lock top 5 pick for 2026 draft so in this sense we should continue having high hopes for Hurlbert.

Hurlbert looks fantastic skill wise. But the production needs to improve, in the end hockey is a lot about making productive decisions consistently on ice.

Edit: Looks like no one scored over 1 PPG last year on U17 ntdp so it seems like they play in really tough competition and scoring isn't that easy,
 

Pavel Buchnevich

"Pavel Buchnevich The Fake"
Dec 8, 2013
60,555
27,472
New York
Yeah, it will be interesting how this turns out. He has 13 points in USHL while Berchild has only 6. Berchild is considered as a lock top 5 pick for 2026 draft so in this sense we should continue having high hopes for Hurlbert.

Hurlbert looks fantastic skill wise. But the production needs to improve, in the end hockey is a lot about making productive decisions consistently on ice.

Edit: Looks like no one scored over 1 PPG last year on U17 ntdp so it seems like they play in really tough competition and scoring isn't that easy,
I think Berchild is probably too small for top 5. Maybe if he was like a Bedard, but he isn’t. Top 15-20 seems more appropriate. Hurlbert could also go in that range. Think Frank Nazar, but he also will need to really score like crazy. Can’t be undersized and have junior production concerns and be a first round pick. He’s been better since the start, so he might’ve figured things out. Last year’s team was low scoring. This team will likely be a little higher scoring.
 

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