Prospect Info: Draft Thread | Oilers Select 4th Overall

  • PLEASE check any bookmark on all devices. IF you see a link pointing to mandatory.com DELETE it Please use this URL https://forums.hfboards.com/
Status
Not open for further replies.

snipes

How cold? I’m ice cold.
Dec 28, 2015
55,635
63,878
We should look at Logan Stanley in the 2nd if he's available.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
We should look at Logan Stanley in the 2nd if he's available.

Oh please no. Look up the success rate of dmen with under .3 ppg in their draft years, it's basically a waste of a pick and yes I know who Shea Weber is. Too many dmen with much higher upside will be available in the 2nd round this year.

He gets overrated due to his size and it happens every year with dmen in drafts.

Also a player like Weber was a WHL rookie in his draft year whereas Stanley has played 2 full seasons.
 

snipes

How cold? I’m ice cold.
Dec 28, 2015
55,635
63,878
Oh please no. Look up the success rate of dmen with under .3 ppg in their draft years, it's basically a waste of a pick and yes I know who Shea Weber is. Too many dmen with much higher upside will be available in the 2nd round this year.

He gets overrated due to his size and it happens every year with dmen in drafts.

At 6'7 he's worth a long look. Not saying we pull the trigger on him but worth studying closely.
 

Joey Moss

Registered User
Aug 29, 2008
36,208
8,048
We should look at Logan Stanley in the 2nd if he's available.

I would be pretty disappointed to see that. Left hand shot with 5-6 potential. As if we don't have enough of that coming up. I wouldn't even be upset if we took all forwards this year (mix in a goalie too). By the time the off-season is over I would expect that we've moved a couple forwards for defensive help. With the amount of D prospects we already have coming, there is a lot of depth there. This draft is a great opportunity to stock up some depth up front.

With our 2nd I would much rather see a forward taken. I would also give Carter Hart consideration.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
At 6'7 he's worth a long look. Not saying we pull the trigger on him but worth studying closely.

Like I said every draft year there is a 1st round ranked dman that gets overrated due to his size. If you look at all the non offensive defenders drafted in the 1st round in the last 10 years, they are all probably busts... A quick search showed me that Myers was the only one that didn't bust.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
meh is a little to harsh but he has lot of rough games. His mind hasn't caught up with his talent and I'm not sure if it ever will. He's also needs work on his skating, it's a very overrated part of his game.


His skating is hit and miss honestly. One game I've seen him consistently go end to end and look like a powerful skater and in the next game he looks like an awkward skater. He is also prone to giveaways because he doesn't always think about where he is passing or dumping the puck to.
 

Joey Moss

Registered User
Aug 29, 2008
36,208
8,048
Like I said every draft year there is a 1st round ranked dman that gets overrated due to his size. If you look at all the non offensive defenders drafted in the 1st round in the last 10 years, they are all probably busts... A quick search showed me that Myers was the only one that didn't bust.

Yup. Just look at Samuel Morin and Dylan McIlrath. Morin still has some potential but he's been surpassed by 3-4 players since being drafted. These guys rarely turn out and we can't afford to have a guy bust when we didn't have a huge need for the player in the first place. It's time to take a chance on some high end skill. Imagine how different our rebuild would look Saad/Jenner over Musil.
 

Joey Moss

Registered User
Aug 29, 2008
36,208
8,048
His skating is hit and miss honestly. One game I've seen him consistently go end to end and look like a powerful skater and in the next game he looks like an awkward skater. He is also prone to giveaways because he doesn't always think about where he is passing or dumping the puck to.

This is exactly why I don't want us to take him. His game is so choppy and unpredictable. Sergachev or Juolevi if we're taking a defenseman for me.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
Yup. Just look at Samuel Morin and Dylan McIlrath. Morin still has some potential but he's been surpassed by 3-4 players since being drafted. These guys rarely turn out and we can't afford to have a guy bust when we didn't have a huge need for the player in the first place. It's time to take a chance on some high end skill. Imagine how different our rebuild would look Saad/Jenner over Musil.

The only one that turned out in the last 10 years is really only Myers which is sad. We draft Stanley and Oiler fans will be b***hing about the pick for years to come.

This is exactly why I don't want us to take him. His game is so choppy and unpredictable. Sergachev or Juolevi if we're taking a defenseman for me.

All 3 of them have consistency issues in different ways and that's why none of them have separated themselves from the pack.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
There's something he consistently does very well...keeping the puck in the OZ when the other team tries to clear.
 

snipes

How cold? I’m ice cold.
Dec 28, 2015
55,635
63,878
Like I said every draft year there is a 1st round ranked dman that gets overrated due to his size. If you look at all the non offensive defenders drafted in the 1st round in the last 10 years, they are all probably busts... A quick search showed me that Myers was the only one that didn't bust.

Interesting. Good point.
 

BoldNewLettuce

Esquire
Dec 21, 2008
28,224
7,112
Canada
Has anyone got anything to say about Niemelainen?

Another giant of a defender who got 26 assists as a rookie in the OHL. He has one goal. Any chance he puts of 40 points next year?

Also -23. Sounds Oilerz.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
Has anyone got anything to say about Niemelainen?

Another giant of a defender who got 26 assists as a rookie in the OHL. He has one goal. Any chance he puts of 40 points next year?

Also -23. Sounds Oilerz.

He struggled with consistency this season and completely disappeared offensively in the 2nd half of the season. He's big and smooth and despite his +/- he is pretty solid in his own end. I expect his offense to be more consistent next season but I see him as a defensive defender at the pro level. He might squeak into the 2nd but will probably be a 3rd rounder.
 

HeavyHitter99

Registered User
Jun 18, 2013
4,633
90
Like I've told everyone, Quenneville can deliver huge checks despite his size and is an offensive dynamo. Sounds like Button loves him too. Such a high compete level.

That was a painful game to watch.
 

Eskie Jetski

Registered User
Jun 25, 2004
1,085
0
If we end up selecting Puljujarvi, I'll only have to make a few modifications to my old Magnus Paajarvi jersey! How much would that cost?
 

suddeninterest

Registered User
Aug 19, 2014
842
162
For the 3 big Dmen for this draft I would say Chychrun has the highest floor. IMO at the least he ends up as a #2/3 all around solid Dman. The other 2 I would say their floors are more like #4 pp specialists. So all will be at least second pairing D. If I take a guess at relative ceilings I would say Chychrun = Pietro with a better shot, and Sergachev = Subban. Juolevi I have a harder time deciding a comparable for. I wanna say almost OEL, similar IQ and passing but worse skating and shot. I don't think Juolevi will be scoring a lot of goals at the NHL level unless he improves his shot, and I think Serg and Chychrun are ahead of him by a decent amount in that regard, as well as in skating, Chychrun and Serg are more explosive. All told if they all hit their ceilings then Juolevi and Sergachev will be better offensively and Chychrun will be more physical and solid defensively. However IMO Chychrun has the best chance of reaching his ceiling based on his tools, along with the farthest to fall from it. I'll take Chychrun based on that. Personally I'd rather bet on a 9 and get a 7 then bet on a 9.5 and get a 5. If all hit their ceiling then the difference between them isn't going to be a lot anyways. All of Subban, Pietro and OEL are top 10 Dmen.
 

Stud Muffin

Registered User
Jan 2, 2014
5,404
998
Manitoba
His skating is hit and miss honestly. One game I've seen him consistently go end to end and look like a powerful skater and in the next game he looks like an awkward skater. He is also prone to giveaways because he doesn't always think about where he is passing or dumping the puck to.

Its more side to side/turning then it is end to end IMO.
 

Raab

Registered User
Oct 6, 2007
18,085
2,778
For the 3 big Dmen for this draft I would say Chychrun has the highest floor. IMO at the least he ends up as a #2/3 all around solid Dman. The other 2 I would say their floors are more like #4 pp specialists. So all will be at least second pairing D. If I take a guess at relative ceilings I would say Chychrun = Pietro with a better shot, and Sergachev = Subban. Juolevi I have a harder time deciding a comparable for. I wanna say almost OEL, similar IQ and passing but worse skating and shot. I don't think Juolevi will be scoring a lot of goals at the NHL level unless he improves his shot, and I think Serg and Chychrun are ahead of him by a decent amount in that regard, as well as in skating, Chychrun and Serg are more explosive. All told if they all hit their ceilings then Juolevi and Sergachev will be better offensively and Chychrun will be more physical and solid defensively. However IMO Chychrun has the best chance of reaching his ceiling based on his tools, along with the farthest to fall from it. I'll take Chychrun based on that. Personally I'd rather bet on a 9 and get a 7 then bet on a 9.5 and get a 5. If all hit their ceiling then the difference between them isn't going to be a lot anyways. All of Subban, Pietro and OEL are top 10 Dmen.


Sergachev to me honestly reminds me a lot of OEL, good skating, good passing, good IQ, great shot and offensive. Most offensive dman in the draft IMO.
 

Mr Positive

Cap Crunch Incoming
Nov 20, 2013
37,588
18,522
Sergachev to me honestly reminds me a lot of OEL, good skating, good passing, good IQ, great shot and offensive. Most offensive dman in the draft IMO.

intestestingly, Bob Mac says there are teams that think he is #1 for defense

 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Ad

Upcoming events

Ad

Ad