It’s a combination of poor defense plus at least one stoppable goal basically every single game of late. I put no stock in this season at all, but I’m not going to say Mac has been good enough. He hasn’t been.
There were a couple games where he got shelled and didn’t play so poorly and then a couple games where he played well (only allowed 2 goals) and both goals were trash. Like that game we lost 2-1 to the Capitals in OT. 2 goals on 40 shots, but both were weak. Including the OT winner, which hardly deflected.
For what it’s worth, I’ve counted 24 goals stoppable on him this year and he’s allowed 83 in total. That’s just under 29%. I would need to find the number of non-empty net goals that have been scored around the league this year and then add up how many goals I counted stoppable on my list, but that’s probably around the league average. Last two years I think I counted about 27%-28% of the goals scored in the league as stoppable, but I think it’s even higher than that this year.
There’s quite a few guys over the 30% mark and some (*Cough* Matt Murray *cough*) over 40%. Mike Smith has always been terrible since I started doing this and near the highest percentage in the league. The first two years his save percentage was horrid, but this year it’s .923% over 24 games with 19 goals I’ve counted stoppable on 53 goals allowed. He seems to be good for one terrible softy every game and if he doesn’t allow one, there’s almost always a poor stick handling error (a weak wind up the boards) that goes straight to an opponents stick and leads to a goal.