Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Part XI

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Senssmileletsgo said:
Lol ya why did you comment on my post in the first place? I’m lost as well.

Just reread his post and you were right. I misread that

The point I was making is still the same. It's not just about freedom of choice
 
Sorry, do you mind briefly elaborating? I’m still a little unsure what we are talking about

Lol fair enough. My fault sorry

I was saying that the decision to wear a mask, socially distance, following public health measuresetc isn't just a matter of a simple choice. It goes well beyond that, especially now. It has direct consequences on whether other people live or die
 
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Lol fair enough. My fault sorry

I was saying that the decision to wear a mask, socially distance, following public health measuresetc isn't just a matter of a simple choice. It goes well beyond that, especially now. It has direct consequences on whether other people live or die
I get what you’re saying about the basic health measures for sure. It’s sad for anyone that challenges that IMO.

When it comes to the economy and employment though, at what point do we draw the line? This is something that our governments have been struggling with, and it sounds like that line may extend into construction and manufacturing jobs in certain areas.
 
People aren't seeing it that way imo. It's more like "well I probably won't get really sick from this so who cares"

They don't see the consequences of their actions because it's not directly impacting them or immediately obvious

Goes to visit friends without social distancing and catches covid. They are fine but spread it to others unknowlingly. It's blood on their hands that they will never see.

Now if their actions killed their own mothers or fathers, the regret/guilt they would feel is immense.

Just a complete lack of perspective

True; its human nature I guess; unless it hits close to home (i.e. loved ones) its not my problem. Under normal circumstances that is fine I guess. When people do drugs, for example, you can talk to them about the consequences of doing drugs but in the end the only people being impacted physically is the person doing the drugs and may be the mental health of their family.

It is the same with I want to do a 100 in a residential area; not wear seat belts or drink and drive. May be you won't kill someone but may ruin their life as they have medical issues for the rest of their life.

Some jackass hit my cousin 4 years ago; she still has concussion symptoms; has problems with her spine and cannot concentrate while working

Covid on the other hand is a different beast like you said; It's not just the immediate person but other people as well. CDC released a study that 25 to 30 percent of the "covid survivors" have lingering health symptoms that could be life long. And this study includes young and healthy folks without underlying health conditions.

All people had to do was wear masks, maintain social distancing, wash their hands and be vigilant and we wouldn't have lockdowns. But here we are.....

In the end, I think that we have failed as people as a whole; not giving a flying F about our fellow human beings and that has cost not only public health problems with hospitals at risk of being overrun but also serious economic losses.

There is no one to blame but people themselves; especially the ones who oppose covid and dont take any responsibility. The ones yelling the loudest anti-covid, anti-masks and anti-lockdown are the biggest reason behind the spread and lockdowns. The irony is staring us right in the face.
 
Unfortunately you can't roll out what you can't get. Anyway my daughter got her 1st shot, we are all going to be pissed, to say the least if there is no vaccine to get the 2nd shot.

Sorry if this is personal but is your daughter vulnerable or is she a front-line worker?
 
Sorry if this is personal but is your daughter vulnerable or is she a front-line worker?
She is frontline and comes into contact with covid at least a couple of times a week. She asked me for advice, I said as I say here I wouldn't take it. She is young, healthy. Unfortunately she also asked her brother who got a specialists degree in cell and molecular biology from u of T. He told her he wouldn't think twice and for her to do it. She took his advice... go figure.
 
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True; its human nature I guess; unless it hits close to home (i.e. loved ones) its not my problem. Under normal circumstances that is fine I guess. When people do drugs, for example, you can talk to them about the consequences of doing drugs but in the end the only people being impacted physically is the person doing the drugs and may be the mental health of their family.

It is the same with I want to do a 100 in a residential area; not wear seat belts or drink and drive. May be you won't kill someone but may ruin their life as they have medical issues for the rest of their life.

Some jackass hit my cousin 4 years ago; she still has concussion symptoms; has problems with her spine and cannot concentrate while working

Covid on the other hand is a different beast like you said; It's not just the immediate person but other people as well. CDC released a study that 25 to 30 percent of the "covid survivors" have lingering health symptoms that could be life long. And this study includes young and healthy folks without underlying health conditions.

All people had to do was wear masks, maintain social distancing, wash their hands and be vigilant and we wouldn't have lockdowns. But here we are.....

In the end, I think that we have failed as people as a whole; not giving a flying F about our fellow human beings and that has cost not only public health problems with hospitals at risk of being overrun but also serious economic losses.

There is no one to blame but people themselves; especially the ones who oppose covid and dont take any responsibility. The ones yelling the loudest anti-covid, anti-masks and anti-lockdown are the biggest reason behind the spread and lockdowns. The irony is staring us right in the face.

I’m getting so tired of hearing this. Like any rules since the dawn of time, there are people that will break them. As frustrating as it may be for all of us who follow the rules, we are not a monolith for better or worse. It’s no excuse to strip all citizens of their rights and freedoms.

The focus needs to be on protecting the most vulnerable and distributing the vaccine. That has been an epic failure so far (like most things managed by the government). Police enforced curfews, among many other government mandates, are completely illogical. Acting as if we are children needing punishment is ridiculous and insulting. Yes, the virus is serious and everyone should social distance, wear a mask, etc. But if I still happen to contract the virus, I’m not going to be pointing fingers or blaming people. It is what it is at that point. No one is responsible for my personal health but me.
 
Lol fair enough. My fault sorry

I was saying that the decision to wear a mask, socially distance, following public health measuresetc isn't just a matter of a simple choice. It goes well beyond that, especially now. It has direct consequences on whether other people live or die

It goes both ways, the impact to the economy also has an impact on mortality. It's not as simple as many of you are attempting to make it seem.

There is a reason that this debate has created so much division and debate. And contrary to what both sides think it is not because the other side is selfish or brainwashed.
 
There is absolutely no way for me to prove this and I acknowledge that I may be wrong. But I do believe that the restrictions would have been more beneficial if businesses were allowed to stay open with strict measures and fined and or locked down if they were unable to follow guidelines.

Implementing regional lockdowns and picking and choosing which businesses to lockdown was unfair and irrational. I also believe full lockdowns and curfews are foolish because it was never realistic to expect the entire population to stay at home for a prolonged period of time. You have to give people outlets and some freedoms, that is just reality.
 
I’m getting so tired of hearing this. Like any rules since the dawn of time, there are people that will break them. As frustrating as it may be for all of us who follow the rules, we are not a monolith for better or worse. It’s no excuse to strip all citizens of their rights and freedoms.

The focus needs to be on protecting the most vulnerable and distributing the vaccine. That has been an epic failure so far (like most things managed by the government). Police enforced curfews, among many other government mandates, are completely illogical. Acting as if we are children needing punishment is ridiculous and insulting. Yes, the virus is serious and everyone should social distance, wear a mask, etc. But if I still happen to contract the virus, I’m not going to be pointing fingers or blaming people. It is what it is at that point. No one is responsible for my personal health but me.

It's human nature to convince ourselves that people on the other side of an issue fit into a defined box. It is rarely that simple though.
 
When it comes to the economy and employment though, at what point do we draw the line? This is something that our governments have been struggling with, and it sounds like that line may extend into construction and manufacturing jobs in certain areas.

With our economy so dependent on the US market, would drawing a line here make any difference?

Latest stats have our export business down 4.7% whereas the import business is up 1.8% year over year.
 
There is absolutely no way for me to prove this and I acknowledge that I may be wrong. But I do believe that the restrictions would have been more beneficial if businesses were allowed to stay open with strict measures and fined and or locked down if they were unable to follow guidelines.

Implementing regional lockdowns and picking and choosing which businesses to lockdown was unfair and irrational. I also believe full lockdowns and curfews are foolish because it was never realistic to expect the entire population to stay at home for a prolonged period of time. You have to give people outlets and some freedoms, that is just reality.
Exactly, in the beginning when contact tracing was possible if Covid was spread through your business, everybody that was there isolates 14 days. The business closed for 1 week and deep cleaned floor to ceiling.

What did we get? Gee a barbershop somewhere spread covid. We are closing every barber shop in the province. Where in my experience the barbershop was following procedure to the letter. Wait outside, wear mask, scan temperature, take my name and phone number. Sorry Bud not enough we are closing you down. Just a terrible plan in my opinion.
 
With our economy so dependent on the US market, would drawing a line here make any difference?

Latest stats have our export business down 4.7% whereas the import business is up 1.8% year over year.
Make a difference for what? Our covid numbers or economy? It will probably lower our covid numbers while hurting our economy.
 
Exactly, in the beginning when contact tracing was possible if Covid was spread through your business, everybody that was there isolates 14 days. The business closed for 1 week and deep cleaned floor to ceiling.

What did we get? Gee a barbershop somewhere spread covid. We are closing every barber shop in the province. Where in my experience the barbershop was following procedure to the letter. Wait outside, wear mask, scan temperature, take my name and phone number. Sorry Bud not enough we are closing you down. Just a terrible plan in my opinion.

It's funny you mention barber shops because a good friend of mine works at one and his experience is exactly what you outlined above.
 
To inform our discussion, this is the "Detailed household final consumption expenditure data for Canada ending Q3. (Q4 is not yet published).

Detailed household final consumption expenditure, Canada, quarterly

Dollars are in constant dollars in order to account for any inflation. And are presented in the 1,000,000's.

As you can see, overall consumer spending is down 11.2B from prior Q3. With a good percentage of that variance coming from declines in spending on Transportation and Air fare.

We are spending quite a bit more on food, new vehicles, alcohol, furnishings, sporting goods, appliances, communication and garden supplies.

This obviously does not count the underground economy in which contractors are paid in cash, though estimates for 2020 suggest this market is thriving like never before.

EstimatesQ3 2019Q3 2020Variance
Expenditure by non-residents in Canada-8,777-2,5886,189
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels71,32073,3662,046
Food and non-alcoholic beverages26,34228,0041,662
Food23,40024,8011,401
Furnishings, household equipment and other goods and services related to the dwelling and property16,47317,8371,364
Imputed rental fees for housing46,19447,3441,150
New trucks, vans and sport utility vehicles9,95110,900949
Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and cannabis10,28011,122842
Furniture and furnishings4,8875,475588
Pharmaceutical products and other medical products (except cannabis)5,5936,180587
Cannabis products for non-medical use (licensed)4591,027568
Alcoholic beverages5,4635,969506
Games, toys and hobbies1,7162,217501
Equipment for sport, camping and open-air recreation1,4371,919482
Information processing equipment1,4541,927473
Insurance and financial services28,83729,307470
Paid rental fees for housing15,58616,025439
Major household appliances1,7112,118407
Major durables for outdoor recreation1,5661,889323
Communications8,2518,568317
Audio-visual and photographic equipment2,5122,825313
Electricity4,5394,823284
Mutual funds6,6526,913261
Non-alcoholic beverages2,9423,203261
Telecommunication services7,5137,754241
Other appliances, articles and products for personal care4,6534,887234
Major tools and equipment797989192
Other non-durable household goods2,1602,346186
Recording media731907176
Pets and pet food1,2301,404174
Garden products, plants and flowers9641,119155
Implicit deposit charges3,3183,463145
Small electric household appliances567691124
Materials for the maintenance and repair of the dwelling724848124
Other semi-durable household goods1,9702,089119
Trusteed pension funds1,8191,91192
Therapeutic appliances and equipment1,1931,28491
Jewellery, clocks and watches1,1781,25678
Small tools and miscellaneous accessories76984576
Water supply and sanitation services1,7391,80465
Household textiles89795760
Telecommunication equipment40646559
Insurance related to transport2,0292,08455
Electrical appliances for personal care19424854
Property insurance76280846
Other vehicles84889345
Veterinary and other services for pets79983435
Miscellaneous printed matter and stationery and drawing materials47550934
Undertaking and other funeral services55458430
Stock and bond commissions1,1281,14719
Postal services33234917
Life insurance2,7842,79915
Spare parts and accessories for vehicles4,5154,53015
Implicit loan charges3,7763,78711
Health insurance1,7761,78610
Carpets and other floor coverings1932018
Cannabis products for medical use1952016
Gas1,6771,676-1
Services for the maintenance and repair of the dwelling119113-6
Photographic services228220-8
Other fuels742733-9
Taxi and limousine356344-12
Musical instruments and major durables for indoor recreation336321-15
Water transport10979-30
Repair of personal and household goods except vehicles588552-36
Tobacco3,1633,121-42
Child care services in the home268226-42
Cable, satellite and other program distribution services2,1262,083-43
Other personal effects808764-44
Books719674-45
University education2,4102,358-52
Railway transport7516-59
Other social services2,1152,047-68
Cleaning of clothing308240-68
Newspapers and periodicals340262-78
Clothing materials, other articles of clothing and clothing accessories1,1131,033-80
Used motor vehicles4,2974,216-81
Other services related to the operation of transport equipment547450-97
Footwear1,9831,886-97
Parking725620-105
Maintenance and repair of vehicles2,5492,444-105
Renting and leasing of personal and household goods except passenger vehicles807692-115
Passenger vehicle renting323197-126
Legal and other services2,1662,037-129
Other education2,4392,278-161
Hospital services723544-179
Other actual financial charges4,7934,609-184
Interurban bus21931-188
Cannabis products for non-medical use (unlicensed)1,1951,005-190
Education4,8494,636-213
Other transport services647430-217
Cinemas25227-225
Other services related to the dwelling and property1,127882-245
Other cultural services759379-380
Personal grooming services2,0271,592-435
Garments9,2978,851-446
Child care services outside the home1,319867-452
New passenger cars3,3442,777-567
Urban transit1,052413-639
Clothing and footwear12,70112,010-691
Recreation and culture24,13723,381-756
Miscellaneous goods and services15,28214,508-774
Alcoholic beverage services2,6161,746-870
Health12,82511,953-872
Recreational and sporting services2,7481,630-1,118
Accommodation services2,9881,759-1,229
Out-patient services5,1213,744-1,377
Games of chance3,7452,235-1,510
Fuels and lubricants11,92510,273-1,652
Food and non-alcoholic beverage services14,00110,964-3,037
Net expenditure abroad1,374-1,710-3,084
Air transport3,939405-3,534
Food, beverage and accommodation services19,60514,469-5,136
Transport45,42139,018-6,403
Expenditure by Canadians abroad10,151878-9,273
Household final consumption expenditure297,697286,469-11,228
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
 
Make a difference for what? Our covid numbers or economy? It will probably lower our covid numbers while hurting our economy.

I'm saying that if you say, screw it... no more lockdown... just go ahead and spend.... that won't do anything for the export market which relies heavily on the US as our largest trading partner.

Manufacturing jobs won't come back just because you can get a haircut. Someone has to buy the products we make and by and large, those are Americans.

Our economic recovery (and collapse) is really dependent on what they do.
 
I said it in the last thread but it’s going to be real fun for us shift workers who go in before curfew and get off after curfew to get anything done.

not to mention ramming people into these stores in an even smaller time frames for those who can go during the non curfew times and then tell them they can’t go out and to lock down with their family to spread it around the household.

hopefully police will be lenient if someone is going for a drive for their mental health because they need to get out of the house. Or if they need to to and help their parents out
 
It's funny you mention barber shops because a good friend of mine works at one and his experience is exactly what you outlined above.


This is where I can say I am 100% unsure of what is the right thing to do.

I was just reading an article from the Lilly from the Toronto Sun who has been advocating against lockdowns pretty much from the beginning.

Now he feels that the hospital system is indeed overwhelmed and we will have to fmdo something drastic.

Ontario has roughly 1700 ICU beds that are always running at 75-80 capacity at all times, now 1/4 are taken up by Covid patients, who are made up of all ages unlike the majority of deaths.

The other side, which has been a huge burden on me is the economic side. How long can we really do this?

I personally have tried to focus on the very few bright spots that have come from this as I have lost the ability to coach, and work in the industry I do, which is I have spent more time with my family than I normally get too, and I have found some enjoyable hobbies, but eventually the mental stress will become worse
 
80% of the economy is service industry
And service industry has been obliterated

No... you are getting your services all mixed up.

When you read 70-80% of the service industry, you need to be aware of what they mean.

The "Service industry" in those stats counts ALL non manufacturing to be services related. So for example, Real Estate, Financial Services, Health Care and Education are considered "services." And no, those "services" have not been obliterated.

This is a more detailed breakdown of Industry as a % of Gross Domestic Product.


IndustryShare of GDP
Real estate and rental and leasing13.01%
Manufacturing10.37%
Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction8.21%
Finance and insurance7.07%
Construction7.07%
Health care and social assistance6.63%
Public administration6.28%
Wholesale trade5.78%
Retail trade5.60%
Professional, scientific and technical services5.54%
Educational services5.21%
Transportation and warehousing4.60%
Information and cultural industries3.00%
Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services2.46%
Utilities2.21%
Accommodation and food services2.15%
Other services (except public administration)1.89%
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting1.53%
Arts, entertainment and recreation0.77%
Management of companies and enterprises0.62%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
 
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/saskatchewan/sask-jobs-december-2020-1.5867256

"It means a lot of people who were looking before or were working before have given up and aren't even participating in the labour force. They're not even trying to find replacement jobs. A lot of those people, I suspect, have just gone home and battened down the hatches."

Canada lost 63,000 jobs in December as COVID-19 cases rise
With that said, Porter notes that 2020 goes down as the worst year for Canada’s job market since 1982.
 
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