I think he'll always be a polarizing player for this crowd. For some he has a higher ceiling, for others he's no better than a replacement player. And I don't think either side is changing their tune so we'll just enjoy the show.
That's not accurate. As the one who described his play last year as "replacement level", I made it pretty clear that that was describing the level he was at. I've always been open to upgrading my assessment of Cole as he improves. And I think most people here are fine doing that.
the image of him struggling in his second year has been seared into some folks' consciousness and warped their perception of the player.
there are four main things i keep coming back to with sillinger:
- the production this year is really good (scoring at a 57-point pace with zero power play points)
- the coaching staff clearly trusts him and is feeding him minutes in key situations – he's only playing about a minute less per night than sean monahan (!!)
- he's still one of the youngest forwards in the entire league
- two crucial elements of his game that held him back (skating + playmaking) have significantly improved this year
The improvements in the skating is the big thing, that's why I've become more optimistic with him, and not because of the point totals. I'm not persuaded that he's definitely going to be a big assist guy. The passing is very volatile game to game.
i don't think there's much of an argument against cole's long-term projection as a top-six forward given that, based on production/usage, he essentially already is one. that's not to say that he should be seen as an untouchable core piece – i think his long-term fit here is probably a bigger question than his long-term projection.
Long term projections based on short samples of points, as you know, do not close the book on what a players projection is. No, we can't be sure that he's a top six guy. I'm sure you remember Alex Wennberg setting his career highs in his third season. In Sillinger's case, I think the assist totals might be a bit misleading. He's still at 41% xGF and it's rare to drive a lot of scoring that way.
I think it would be ideal if he was a Jordan Staal/Yanni Gourde type (I'm not comparing styles in his case). Reliable third line center, two-way player, physical player who has offensive instincts.
Those guys were possession monsters, so far Cole is the opposite.