Unless Waddell gets his 2026 2nd rounder back how realistic is an offersheet due to the compensation involved? Using last summer's compensation we're basically looking at guys under $2.3m AAV which I'm assuming would be meh, a $4.5m - $6.8m slot that could be good, then the $11.5m and over crowd which is almost guaranteed to be a bad overpay. It just doesn't feel like there's going to be a lot of possibilities unless that 2nd rounder comes back.
Xoggz22
Registered User
With the expected Cap increase, I think it will be even more difficult to poach players via offer sheet. Especially any from the bigger clubs. I think we're looking at trades and certainly have the assets to do it. I still hope for a big change in the next two years on the back end. I still have concerns with the long term viability of keeping Severson and his 6 years. That simply doesn't sit well with me for him being a 3rd pair guy. Just a brain drain, not calling him terrible.
- JVR should be back, I really can't see why not. Even if he only gives you 40 good games a year and can't play every game, that's a player we can use.
- Man does that look like a roster that Alex Tuch would be really helpful on - a veteran that can move up and down the lineup and brings speed, strength, and big time experience.
- Gus Nyquist, still looking like a very economical fit.
- I'm not a big fan of Kuraly but if he wants to sign for cheap to platoon 4C with Danforth, that would be a good slot for him. He'll get you your offensive zone draw at the end of the shift. Too many penalties and it bugs me, but people need to be realistic about what you expect when you sign a cheap fill-in 4C.
- ZAR is still a good option on the cusp of 12/13F, though I certainly won't complain if we bring in forward who bumps him down out of the starting 12. Perhaps Pyyhtia or Malatesta will be ready to do that. Having ZAR and Kuraly as 13F and 14F seems appropriate to me.
- The D is obviously going to be a bigger issue and I have very big concerns if Fabbro isn't brought back, but we can get to that D conversation at a different time.
Last night when Deano shortened the bench Severson actually played a lot of extra shifts (it was Mateychuk and JJ that mostly sat). A lot of shifts with Werenski. And Severson had something like 86% xGF rate, our top guy. If folks don't think that matters - that stat means we're in the offensive zone getting scoring chances with Severson out there, that's chance after chance for Werenski and Marchenko to score. Possession players give more chances to players around them.
I remember that Severson was projected to be a good fit as a Werenski partner before Columbus acquired him. I'd be very open to trying him next to Werenski post-benching for a few games. I seem to recall them having had excellent xG numbers this season pre-benching too. They need to pull something special out of the hat to make the playoffs.*
The two instinctual question marks in my mind with regards to those numbers are sample size and whether those minutes came when Columbus were making a late push chasing a goal, essentially going all-offense while the other team completely focuses on defense.
Don't get me wrong, though, they are fantastic numbers and I certainly think Evason should try them together to a greater extent.
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Their numbers together (Werenski-Severson) were slightly better than Werenski-Fabbro and Werenski-Provorov. But basically the same. It seems like something we should see more often, especially if Fabbro isn't staying.
I don't know if there is anything special there in the Werenski-Severson combo but it's certainly not been a problem so far to have them together. It galls me that we still have people saying that Severson doesn't fit because he can't play with Werenski and he can't play with .... and so on. There's no reason so far that he can't play with Werenski.
Ah, okay. The question of deployment remains though. At the very least, the numbers would seem to indicate that there is potential for flexibility in the D pairings and Evason needs to keep an open mind, considering the standings situation.
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CBJWerenski8
Formerly CBJWennberg10 (RIP Kivi)
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CBJWerenski8
Formerly CBJWennberg10 (RIP Kivi)
- Jun 13, 2009
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Double-Shift Lasse
Just post better
I would see if you could make a deal for Marchment with Dallas this summer. I don't know if DWad is going to do something splashy, but this would not be that and could be done in addition to a high-end forward add.
I do see him making a big move of some sorts. I think there's only a handful of guys who are safe, but I could definitely see us making a roster player+prospect+high pick+ type trade this off-season.. especially with him talking about already setting up some frameworks for deals this off-season
Double-Shift Lasse
Just post better
Agreed I wouldn't rule it out.
Just to get a sense of what people are thinking -- if Waddell opted to trade a roster player in a deal like this, are we looking at one of Sillinger/Johnson/Chinakov? The other guys under contract are Monahan, Jenner, Olivier, ZAR and Fantilli. I don't see any of them as candidates. (Voronkov is RFA but I feel like he's coming back.)
marchment would be such a great addition to this team on the wings. the strong preference if it's a summer 2025 move though would be that he comes with an extension. otherwise he's probably a summer 2026 UFA target, since i can't see dallas getting rid of him. their window is wide open and he's a key player on a cheap deal.
assuming we get these three guys back and no further injuries, here's what i'd like to see down the stretch.
johnson - fantilli - marchenko
voronkov - monahan - chinakhov
jenner - sillinger - kunin
zar - danforth - olivier
extras: JVR, kuraly, fischer
werenski - fabbro
provorov - severson
mateychuk - gudbranson
extras: harris, johnson, christiansen
the idea is to see how 91-19-86 looks together (very encouraging early signs the other night) and create a new iteration of the monahan line (he's had success with 10 and 59 separately alongside 86, this puts them both on his wings). bottom six could have a few iterations as well, but i settled on this one. dean loves sillinger, and in theory he could develop into a shutdown center. this gives him the support to do that.
alternatively, they could put jenner where ZAR has been and have a supercharged identity line of 38-17-24, then give sillinger more sheltered minutes with, say, JVR and kunin on a nominal fourth line.
final note is that, despite what portzline has recently said/written, there's no need to send anyone down since there is no roster limit after the deadline (only a call-up limit).
as someone who has put entirely too much thought into this lately, here are some of the targets i think are feasible:
- big name veterans
- colton parayko
- nikolaj ehlers (UFA)
- jared mccann
- pavel buchnevich
- rickard rakell
- alex tuch
- hampus lindholm
- mackenzie weegar
- matt duchene (UFA)
- brock boeser (UFA)
- neil pionk (UFA)
- young trade or RFA targets
- gabe viliardi
- owen power
- jj peterka
- k'andre miller
- jordan spence
- dylan samberg
- simon nemec
- bo byram
- jackson lacombe
- luke evangelista
- potential value depth adds
- pius suter (UFA)
- nick bjugstad (UFA)
- trevor moore
- ryan strome
- matias maccelli
CBJWerenski8
Formerly CBJWennberg10 (RIP Kivi)
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Sillinger/Chinny, I think are on the tradable at the right cost. Johnson is on my borderline untouchable or at the very least "extreme overpay" list.
