Norris is also a negative asset. Garrioch literally says this. $8m AAV/5yrs for a 50 point player that is a massive IR risk. He's a cap dump.
Did he say he's a negative asset or cap dump? And since when is Garrioch an authority on this?
I'd rather roll the dice on Norris too, but I'm not lionizing what Norris is to make that case.
Nor am I. My whole preference of Norris over Lindholm is mostly driven by age and contract status, and I have told you this multiple times.
They are both cap dumps to resolve the 2C position. That's the base case. He may be a better cap dump, but a cap dump he remains until proven otherwise.
I don't know if Norris has any value, or not. Like I said, I wouldn't be surprised if he had some value. The important point is that Lindholm has massive negative value right now, and his negative value isn't comparable to Norris' value. Getting into whether Norris has some value or negligible value or no value isn't overly important given the current massive difference in value of the two players.
The issue is that you are judging Norris/Lindholm via projection, not the data.
Yes, when you try to evaluate two different players' values over a six and seven year period, respectively, then you absolutely need to project. This seems obvious. And my only projection is just the accepted logic that a player from years 25-30 is reasonably expected to improve while the opposite is true from a player from ages 30-36.
At the same relative age, Lindholm was the better producer.
This isn't overly relevant to current projections for Lindholm's 30-36 seasons.
In Norris' prime, he would be lucky to hit Lindholm's prime production.
But if Norris, from 25-30, gives us similar production that Lindholm had from 25-30, then that's a relative win and a pretty good result. The issue with Lindholm is his more recent play, not his play during his prime.
And now that Lindholm has struggled for 2 years (starting at age 29), his low end production almost matches Norris' current ES production. And his 3 year average for PPPs is 1 point/82 games away... That's very similar.
Ya, but we'd be getting Norris from age 25-30, so four years of which would be good production based on Lindholm. But even then, assuming Norris will crater around the same time Lindholm did isn't even a great assumption.
Last year, they were both 3Cs in terms of P/GP (0.60 for Norris (68th) and 0.59 for Lindholm (73rd)). This excludes Lindholm's 0.77 P/PG run in the playoffs.
Is Norris then a 3C? Or do you put too much stock into a 50 game sample of PPPs?
This year Norris seems to be low end second line centre production, and last year was a bit worse. One can reasonably expect Norris' production to increase throughout the life of his contract, and so it doesn't seem to be a big concern.
Lindholm currently is producing as a low end third line centre (despite excellent deployment).
Currently one is much better than the other, and again, I am not even concluding that Norris is preferable for that reason.....the big reason is age and contract status.
Last, you continue to judge this team's aversion to LTIR wrong. The cap dump 3C that plays (Norris or Lindholm) is preferred to having to use LTIR.
Again, you continually are not understanding the context in which I said Norris going on the LTIR was beneficial. It was beneficial
in comparison to being stuck with a third or fourth line centre making 7 million dollars long term. This shouldn't be contested issue.