Lou is God
Registered User
Larsson is NOT an elite defenseman, not even close. He's very good and his ceiling still remains high and could be one some day, but right now, no.
I was just going to repeat what he said, the Devils the past two drafts and off season moves have been moving to a game of speed, Brown would be a square peg trying to fit in a round hole he would be so out of place.
Larsson is NOT an elite defenseman, not even close. He's very good and his ceiling still remains high and could be one some day, but right now, no.
Nothing like Bonino with Hagelin and Kessel, right? Oh wait, Bonino is slow as a limbless sloth. Maybe its ok to mix slow skilled playmakers with speedy scorers? I mean it's only been proven successful a jillion times.
Ok, what about my evaluation was off in your opinion? Surely you have a reason for thinking that he's 'not even close' to being an elite defenseman? Because a GM who won a cup with a Norris winning defenseman seemed to think he was worth an awful lot.
Disagree. Larsson is an elite defenseman, and IMO carried the pairing with Greene. Their really isn't an aspect of defensive hockey where he's not at the level of at least a top 2 dman. On a scale of 10, with 8 equivalent to the skill of a #2 dman, 9 a #1 dman, and 10 being an all star dman, I'd say his defensive skills rank as follows:
Gap control? 8.5/10
Positional discipline? 9/10
Board battles? 8.5/10
Controlled breakout? 10/10
Reading the play? 9/10
Stick work? 9.5/10
Penalty Kill? 9/10
Defending the net? 8/10
He's even begun to develop a bit of a mean streak. His gap control would be 10/10 if he had quicker feet, though he's improved immensely in that category.
Beyond that, and to the point you made in your linked post, Larsson is an extremely underrated offensive player. He's maybe the best I've seen at getting shots past the first shot blocker. He has a tremendous first pass and excels at controlled breakouts, which may not end up earning him a ton of points, but is certainly an indirect offensive catalyst. I'd say rate his offensive skills as follows:
Controlled breakout: 10/10
First pass: 9.5/10
Puck carrying: 5/10
Transition offense: 6.5/10
One timer: 6/10
Wrist shot: 8.5/10
PP QB: 7.5/10
Offensive blue line: 7/10
In zone vision: 9/10
That would put him as a 7.7 with all skills weighted equally, which would imply he's between a #2 and #3 offensive defenseman. I'd say there are roughly 30-40 true top 2 defenseman in the league, so I'd rank him around 40 in terms of pure offensive defenseman in the league. He should be good for ~35-40 points over a full season if put in a more 2 way role. 35 points would have placed him 38th among NHL defenseman this past year. For context, he's 52nd in the league in 5v5 points from defenseman over the past 2 seasons, despite playing primarily in a shut down role with some of the toughest matchups in the league.
His biggest weaknesses as a younger player were footspeed and over confidence with D zone passing when trying to relieve pressure (he was so good at controlled breakouts on big rinks outside of the NHL that it took him some time to adjust to the speed of the forecheck). But he's taking his skating from a D+ to a solid B. And the mental mistakes are a thing of the past.
The Devils could have drafted Brown, but decided to trade down a spot. That's why the comparison exists. We got in exchange a 3rd rounder which was flipped to get Beau Bennett, which made the move a bit more bearable for me, because I've always liked Bennett's game (been saying for a while that he reminds me of a slower Elias).
But then we only signed him to a 1 year contract for cheap. I would have much preferred we treated him like potentially a big part of the franchise if he can stay healthy, and given him a 4 year $3-4M deal (I think he'd take it given he signed for like 750k).
It just seemed weird that we would trade down a spot that high in the draft for what amounts to 1 year of a player that management values at only $750k.
Back to McLeod, interesting interview from camp:
@3:39
Q: How about your faceoff skills?
A: Yea, I was 58% last year so . . . *smirks* . . . yea it's something I take pride in *confidently smirks again*
Sounds like a very confident kid. Says he needs to work on his shot and strength. Sounds like they also want him shooting more, which I'm not sure I like. We already have 1 speedster with poor shot selection in Hall, I'd really hate to become a North - South team that shoots from anywhere.
Look at our lineup, so many guys who love to shoot:
Hall
Henrique
Palmieri
Boucher
Cammalleri
DSP
Zacha
McLeod
Blandisi, Bennett, Elias, and Zajac are probably our only guys who have that pass first mentality, and it's likely only one of them plays in the top 6.
I'm hoping Quenneville keeps his pass first mentality. Because we've got just about 0 playmaking depth for the future.
You know what, I think you should go back and petition the league to redo the draft so we can pick up your precious Brown boy. Since you seem to know better than everyone.
I don't care what other teams did, I only care what the Devils are doing and the style they're trying to implement. They saw McLeod as a better fit for the Devils style than Brown, and I'm cool with it because I never been a fan of Brown.
And a GM who also won a cup didn't think he was worth keeping, your logic is always quite flawed.
The Devils could have drafted Brown, but decided to trade down a spot. That's why the comparison exists. We got in exchange a 3rd rounder which was flipped to get Beau Bennett, which made the move a bit more bearable for me, because I've always liked Bennett's game (been saying for a while that he reminds me of a slower Elias).
But then we only signed him to a 1 year contract for cheap. I would have much preferred we treated him like potentially a big part of the franchise if he can stay healthy, and given him a 4 year $3-4M deal (I think he'd take it given he signed for like 750k).
It just seemed weird that we would trade down a spot that high in the draft for what amounts to 1 year of a player that management values at only $750k.
I was just going to repeat what he said, the Devils the past two drafts and off season moves have been moving to a game of speed, Brown would be a square peg trying to fit in a round hole he would be so out of place.
I agree with your defensive assessment (though those rankings are a bit high across the board), I do think he's as close to elite defensively as you can be without being called that exactly. I reserve that for the top 3-5 and he's not there IMO.
Wholly disagree with your offensive rankings and they are pretty absurd. His breakouts are great but in the offensive zone, he's no where near where you think he is. He might have that potential but those rankings are humorous. A 7.5 PPQB when he's literally not had a second of ice time in that capacity in years? His shot is lackluster as well. The only area offensively where he shines is making smart passes with the puck, so I think the potential for more assists is there.. but he's never going to be a 40 pt defender.
Also, good on you for showing you know nothing about how contracts work in the NHL. Bennett signed a 1 year deal but he still has multiple years of RFA remaining afterwards so will remain in team control. How in the world can you possibly bash a team for not wanting to commit longer term to a player who hasn't shown he's worth that commitment? This was the perfect contract for the Devils. 1 year, low salary to show your stuff and if you work out, we still have rights over him for another two years. So it doesn't amount to 1 year of Bennett at all unless you're just ignoring reality and looking for reasons to be upset.
Are we really now upset at him for being confident? Christ sake. He's ****ing 18 years old.
The big downside to his game is his shot. Asking him to shoot more is asking him to keep developing. It would be a terrible thing if he develops a good shot, I guess. Can't have players we don't like improving their weaknesses..
Disagree. Larsson is an elite defenseman, and IMO carried the pairing with Greene. Their really isn't an aspect of defensive hockey where he's not at the level of at least a top 2 dman. On a scale of 10, with 8 equivalent to the skill of a #2 dman, 9 a #1 dman, and 10 being an all star dman, I'd say his defensive skills rank as follows:
Gap control? 8.5/10
Positional discipline? 9/10
Board battles? 8.5/10
Controlled breakout? 10/10
Reading the play? 9/10
Stick work? 9.5/10
Penalty Kill? 9/10
Defending the net? 8/10
He's even begun to develop a bit of a mean streak. His gap control would be 10/10 if he had quicker feet, though he's improved immensely in that category.
Beyond that, and to the point you made in your linked post, Larsson is an extremely underrated offensive player. He's maybe the best I've seen at getting shots past the first shot blocker. He has a tremendous first pass and excels at controlled breakouts, which may not end up earning him a ton of points, but is certainly an indirect offensive catalyst. I'd say rate his offensive skills as follows:
Controlled breakout: 10/10
First pass: 9.5/10
Puck carrying: 5/10
Transition offense: 6.5/10
One timer: 6/10
Wrist shot: 8.5/10
PP QB: 7.5/10
Offensive blue line: 7/10
In zone vision: 9/10
You seem upset that I am voicing my opinion, which wasn't even directly related to Brown, it was in response to your discussion with Captain Time, where you said a player like Brown wouldn't fit with our speed first approach. To which I replied with an example of where you can have a very fast and effective team with a few slow methodical playmakers.
Would the same logic not apply to Brown vs McLeod?
I've never claimed that I know better than everyone. I'm merely asking questions and poking holes in some of the shallow logic that's getting tossed around. This is a discussion board, is it not? A place to discuss hockey and debate opinion?
Understand, I'm not trying to tell you what to think or how to feel. I'm just expressing (and defending) my opinion. Well it's pretty much all defense at this point.
Shero didn't think Larsson was worth keeping? That's ridiculous. Wasn't it reported that he would only trade Larsson if it was Hall coming back? Sounds like he placed a tremendous amount of value on Larsson. Moreso than almost everyone expected.
Look at our lineup, so many guys who love to shoot:
Hall
Henrique
Palmieri
Boucher
Cammalleri
DSP
Zacha
McLeod
Blandisi, Bennett, Elias, and Zajac are probably our only guys who have that pass first mentality, and it's likely only one of them plays in the top 6.
I'm hoping Quenneville keeps his pass first mentality. Because we've got just about 0 playmaking depth for the future.
I'm not the only one who thinks Barzal and Brown would have been the better pair of players to walk away with when compared to Zacha and McLeod. In fact, I'm in the overwhelming majority.
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showthread.php?t=2105467
I've been low on Hall and extremely high on Larsson for the better part of their careers. Why would I all of a sudden change my opinion? Check out my post history if you don't believe me.
Those are your examples? 2 picks that the overwhelming majority of unbiased fans disagreed with, and a trade where we lose arguably my favorite Devils player for a 1 dimensional 60-65 point winger with a history of injury? You got me, I'm just a rebel here to disrupt the circle jerk. Sorry to be such a nuisance to everyone here in rainbow land.
Here is a post of mine from earlier in this thread, I'm hardly always against the grain on Devils decisions. I just call it as I see it.
future 1C
No offense whiskey but you're coming off as a little obsessive about this. The decision was made, time to move on. Let's just wait to see how our guys develop now.
Perfectly allowed to have opinions Whiskey, whats supremely irritating is you acting like yours are better than everyone else's. You just wont let it go. These players are still young, and still developing.
Wasn't it recently proven that just drafting straight ihs scouting rankings (or whatever its called) outperforms half of the teams scouting departments?
But you clearly have some sort of crystal ball and know better.... Enough already. If you are right and Barzal and Brown end up better picks well, you get to gloat about how smart you are.
Ohh and the HF boards poll is rich. This places opinions on prospects are worth about as much as the finest outhouse toilet paper you can buy.
Congratulations on your selection of McLeod.....for the record I used to scout in the NHL for the Habs and have several good scouting contacts in the league... all of them right up until the end of the season liked McLeod as a top 6 player in this draft..but a few concerns crept in at the U-18's...he didn't have a great tournament offensively. I had him ranked third overall for the draft as late as March.....by the time I compiled my final rankings he was 7th overall. For me being able to get him at 12th overall while picking up an extra pick was a major coup. He works much harder than Brown on and off the ice..there are no question marks for him going forward IMO.
He was still in a lot of scouts' top 10...I'm not talking about "independent scouts" and the likes of Cox or Button..but NHL scouts...personally I think the knocks on his "offensive upside" have been overblown just as they were for Dylan Larkin...I think his game will translate well to the NHL..and at the very least he'll be a number 2 center for the Devils who will play a very complete game and be one of the best faceoff men and penalty killers in the league. I think you guys got a gem. I saw him live a couple of times this year where he simply blew me away..one of my favourite prospects to watch in the decade that I've been scouting professionally.
Brown isn't really slow though. I don't know why people think Browns skating is bad.Not to mention it's only going to get better as he develops.
Back to McLeod, interesting interview from camp:
@3:39
Q: How about your faceoff skills?
A: Yea, I was 58% last year so . . . *smirks* . . . yea it's something I take pride in *confidently smirks again*
Sounds like a very confident kid. Says he needs to work on his shot and strength. Sounds like they also want him shooting more, which I'm not sure I like. We already have 1 speedster with poor shot selection in Hall, I'd really hate to become a North - South team that shoots from anywhere.
Look at our lineup, so many guys who love to shoot:
Hall
Henrique
Palmieri
Boucher
Cammalleri
DSP
Zacha
McLeod
Blandisi, Bennett, Elias, and Zajac are probably our only guys who have that pass first mentality, and it's likely only one of them plays in the top 6.
I'm hoping Quenneville keeps his pass first mentality. Because we've got just about 0 playmaking depth for the future.
As an Islander fan, I can promise you nothing is worse than having too many pass-first players. I'd much rather have a team that I felt was just throwing it on net too much rather than having to watch Bailey and Strome refuse to shoot the puck from right on top of the crease.
Brown is a good skater for someone his size. His problem is his first couple of steps. That he needs to work on.
No matter how big and strong you are, no matter how skilled you are, if you can't keep up you don't have a chance to utilize your body and your skills. Remember that the button of a NHL lineup now a days is build with speedy players opposed to big and strong as it was years ago.