How close were the Flames, and why didn’t it work out?
I believe the gap was larger than many may have thought on Tuesday night after ESPN’s Emily Kaplan reported that the Flames and Golden Knights were “finalists.”
The Flames may have been finalists, and they were consistently in on Eichel talks, but they ultimately wound up more of a distant second — and that place was likely secured once Vegas recently agreed to include Krebs in the return. Tuch, with roots from the area (Syracuse, N.Y.), also was an attractive piece for the Sabres.
Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman went so far as to say that the Flames were “always in, but were never close.” Similarly, I’ve heard from industry sources that, at the time of Tuesday’s ESPN report, the question wasn’t which team would get Eichel; it was when he’d officially be going to Vegas. That didn’t stop the Flames from working on a potential deal as late as Wednesday, but by then, the belief is that details were the hang-up between Vegas and Buffalo — not fundamental pieces.
The Flames were willing to include top prospects and future first-rounders (as well as a roster piece to make the money work) in a trade package, but I don’t believe they had anyone the Sabres wanted more than Krebs and Tuch — except perhaps pieces that were deemed off-limits by the Flames.
Compared to the Flames’ current crop of top prospects —
Connor Zary,
Jakob Pelletier and
Matthew Coronato — Krebs was the most desirable asset. He’s closer to the
NHL and has played nine games with Vegas already, while Zary is still on injured reserve with nine pro games under his belt with the Stockton Heat. Pelletier and Coronato are both wingers.
Krebs, on the other hand, could become a point-producing top-six centre; he had 43 points in 24 games last season with WHL Winnipeg.
The Athletic’s Corey Pronman complimented his skill, skating and overall game, and rated Krebs over Zary. That, as the Sabres know, is the sort of player you’d like to have around.
Ultimately, whichever package the Sabres chose was going to be led by a prospect, not a roster player. Their choice was Krebs and Tuch.
Was Matthew Tkachuk involved?
Exact details on the Flames’ offers are difficult to come by. The one thing I’ve heard from multiple sources is that the massive package reported on Wednesday night by
Kevin Weekes — Matthew Tkachuk leading a five-asset return — was not accurate.
Multiple sources believe the report did not come from the Flames’ camp and speculated around the intent of such a leak.
My understanding is that Buffalo asked about Tkachuk, but that the Flames had not agreed to include him in any deal. Buffalo GM Kevyn Adams confirmed that much on Thursday when he told reporters, “That was not correct, in terms of players that were being tossed around.”
As anyone who pays attention to this sort of thing knows, there’s a meaningful distinction between a war-room discussion and an offer. One does not necessarily lead to the other. If Tkachuk was involved in the latter, we will likely never know.
Beyond that, it’s fair to wonder how much the Flames’ strong start to the season (6-1-2) impacted their appetite to trade one of their top forwards — whether it was Tkachuk,
Johnny Gaudreau,
Andrew Mangiapane or someone else — for Eichel, who likely won’t play until at least March because of his neck issue.
For Vegas, it makes more sense. Potentially punting this season for four more years of Eichel is easier for a sub-.500, injury-decimated team, whether they started the season as a Cup favourite or not. An argument can be made that a fully healthy Flames team should’ve done the same — and it likely will be made in the comments here. On the other hand, it’s fair to question whether Calgary should gut the roster and sell the farm for an injured star.
It’s also easy, if you ignore certain relevant facts and bits of context, to understand why a Tkachuk-to-Buffalo package made theoretical sense. Eichel makes $10 million a season, and the Flames have approximately $1 million in cap space. If they added Eichel, meaningful money would have needed to have come off the books. Including a high-salary player (like Tkachuk) in the original deal would’ve been a simple first step.
Ultimately, a roster featuring Eichel, Tkachuk, a re-signed Gaudreau and an extended Mangiapane would not have been tenable. Either one of those four would have wound up elsewhere, or major cuts across the rest of the roster would’ve been necessary.