Byrddog
Lifer
- Nov 23, 2007
- 7,534
- 845
There are a few flaws in this first you assume that there is going to be a substantial increase in the cap for the remaining years of the CBA. Last years 4 mil increase has proven to have been a mistake. It caused the players association to refuse to approve the escrow which had more effect on the CAP than any will admit. While the cap went up 2 mil this year in reality it should have only increased 500k. Why? League wide attendance is down actual butts in seats. Now a number of teams show sellouts but continue to have large areas of empty seats in the arena see Detroit and Chicago for two examples. This does not indicate a healthy league. There are mixed reports about TV revenue increases for this reason. Forbes the biggest pumper I have seen indicated that TV revenue would increase 300 million per year. Which is a drop in the bucket compared to other professional sports. As much as we would like the NHL tobe more popular it just is not in fact it is getting close to being passed by MLS friggin soccer which will land the league as the 5th most popular sport in North Americas. Now combine all that with the CBA ending the players already have refused shown decreasing interest in escrow and one can fully expect the teams to tighten there belt waiting on the next CBA. 2 mil increase to the cap each year until 22 is very optimistic. But lets be optimistic this would increase the cap to 87.5 mil. When the last CBA was signed it was predicted that the CAP would be 101.5 mil by the end of the contract. Its not close.
Now to the 11% threshold Kuch would be at 10.8 mil and Stammer at 9.7 Vasi at 10.8% these numbers include the 2 mil per year cap increase. Then add in Hedman at another 9%. How many players can a team field with each getting 10% of the cap which is basically whats goin on here.
And still remain a threat for the championship. Look at what it did to Chicago and Detroit. While it is true that under a cap system this has become the model to win cups build a team peak then cycle down to a rebuild and go at it again it creates a 10 year cycle which holds the league back IMO. But I degress. Point most assuredly deserves to be paid. And right now if you can afford a 8 mil bridge you can afford a 10 mil 7 year deal. Its a small cap move of ridding the team of the excess defensemen on the roster now so by opening day its doable but your at the top of the cap with no room to bring in a warm body if there is an injury short of call ups.
Do not spend all that TV money too fast first one has to see what the teams part is.. If the increase is in fact the 300 mil across 31 teams you looking at 9.6 mil per team that is with the generosity of the league not taking a thin dime that will happen right. The TV contract will be for how many years???? Rodgers last one was 10 years right so to max the money lets say this one is 5 years this could put 1.9 mil to each team in cap increase if everything is perfect but just as with the last contract something will go wrong. The cap by 2022 was supposed to be 101.5 and best case now will only be 87.5 that's a 14 mil shortfall or 13% lower than was expected. so 1.9 mil minus 13% will put teams at 1.6 mil cap increase assuming that attendance remains the same as well as other revenue lanes. This is not sustainable to continue increasing individual salaries at the current pace. This is not the federal government where you can just print more money.
I love the makeup of the forwards on the team and with the exception of Palat I do not think any are overpaid and that is the problem even I want to pay the guys more than what is feasible. The teams defense budget is far too low right now as well we got the two superstars paid the rest are bargain basement contracts which can not be sustained there will have to be at least two contracts in the 4 to 5 mil range for two top 4 guys then the third pair guys making 1.5 to 3.5 unless you can have a pipeline of Sergi's and Footes to ride there ELC's something this team has had problems doing over the years for blueliners.
As to the Friday deadline its pretty much still my thoughts while still early in preseason we are three weeks until the games count each day Point is not on the ice is a day into the regular season for team chemistry. The Ahlers will be going back to there team next week so this Friday is important.
Now I agree with you about Point being the 1C past Stammers prime but Stammer has not really played that 1C for two years now Point has been in that slot the center depth on this team right now is really sick. The top 9 are the best in the league from top to bottom talent wise and scoring wise in the regular season there is not a team close. Teams can argue there top line against us if we continue to put Kuch on that 2nd line but you put Point Stammer and Kuch together there is not a better line out there for scoring. I can see a day that we move Stammer back to center the 2nd line with Point as the 1C and Johnson the 3C but all of this hinges on Cap.
