That’s a pretty massive jump, do you think it’s situational (maybe they play a lot of minutes together when they’re chasing the game or something like that)?
I’m surprised that McDavid isn’t better than 57% without Bouchard.
No idea. Don’t see Colorado that much.
If you watch McDavid over the years you will see that he uses his defensemen a lot in the attacking zone. And he tends to play more off the right side than the left so it is the RHD that is most natural for him to play off of. If that RHD is Cody Ceci or Vinny Desharnais, not a lot creative happens. Mostly just a give and go to reset. But if it is Bouchard then there is a decent chance that something significant happens.
Bouchard is also very good at getting things moving forward off the rush. This plays well into McDavid's game. Again, much better than if the defenseman starting the play is Ceci or Desharnais. So the two really complement one another very well.
Bouchard is also very smart. He knows how to play off McDavid.
That said there is another kind of weird anomaly with McDavid. When a goal is scored with McDavid on the ice he is generally involved, but it is also that case that when a goal is scored involving McDavid there tends to be less than 2 assists assigned more often than with other players. The combination means that while lots of goals are scored when McDavid is on the ice, this may not float others numbers as much as expected.
As to the second issue:
From last year:
Makar with MacKinnon: GF% 57.58 xGF% 54.59 (898 minutes)
Makar without MacKinnon: GF% 40.54 xGF% 47.74 (405 minutes)
MacKinnon without Makar: 65.15% xGF% 60.01 (487 minutes)
The three year numbers are closer inline:
Makar with MacKinnon: GF% 62.58 xGF% 56.4 (898 minutes)
Makar without MacKinnon: GF% 52.47 xGF% 54.33 (405 minutes)
MacKinnon without Makar: 58.43% xGF% 52.15 (487 minutes)
Remember as well that these are 5 vs 5 numbers. There are few top end offensive defenseman who don't rely on having strong forwards for numbers because they almost always play a secondary role 5 vs 5 regardless of how good they are . A guy like Karlsson in 2022-23 was an exception. With the Sharks he was often their absolute go to guy for generating offense. You can see this in his IPP numbers. Last year he was at 66.67%, meaning that he was in on 2/3's of all goals scored when he was on the ice 5 vs 5. Other top defensemen are typically in the 50% or less range. This year for example, Karlson was down at 40% Hughes was at 46.74%, Josi at 50.00%, Bouchard was at 39.36% despite playing with McDavid a lot (see above) .