Barracuda News & Discussion VII

[Lebanezer]

You can incorporate height/weight into a model. Mine includes height and is far less bullish on Cagnoni's star probability. I don't believe Byron's does.

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Is this including what he's done this year?

 

[Hobocop]

We face Toronto here in San Jose at the end of January, I'm looking forward to it. This was the most evenly matched weekend series I think I've ever seen. We just played each other to a stalemate today. I'll be glad to not have this officiating crew ever again, as some of their penalty calls were just headscratchers.

They said Romanov was "not available" for this game and didn't elaborate further. I've seen Carriere before, he's never really impressed me. This game should have Romanov looking over his shoulder. 31 saves on 32 shots for Carriere, and he made some big ones.

Our only goal was Gushchin, assisted by Cagnoni and Bystedt. Good game from Bordeleau today IMO. Good weekend for Bailey, this is the best I've seen from him, it felt like he was everywhere.

I don't really get why Furlong keeps coming out of the lineup when we dress Carlsson. He isn't flashy but he's steady enough. Meanwhile Keane has been dressed in every single game this season thus far.

 

[OrrNumber4]

We face Toronto here in San Jose at the end of January, I'm looking forward to it. This was the most evenly matched weekend series I think I've ever seen. We just played each other to a stalemate today. I'll be glad to not have this officiating crew ever again, as some of their penalty calls were just headscratchers.

They said Romanov was "not available" for this game and didn't elaborate further. I've seen Carriere before, he's never really impressed me. This game should have Romanov looking over his shoulder. 31 saves on 32 shots for Carriere, and he made some big ones.

Our only goal was Gushchin, assisted by Cagnoni and Bystedt. Good game from Bordeleau today IMO. Good weekend for Bailey, this is the best I've seen from him, it felt like he was everywhere.

I don't really get why Furlong keeps coming out of the lineup when we dress Carlsson. He isn't flashy but he's steady enough. Meanwhile Keane has been dressed in every single game this season thus far.

McCarthy is just trying to copy Warsofsky's every move. Keane is his Ferraro.

Is this including what he's done this year?

Doesn't look like it. NHLe for this season is ~25 looking at his model. So you'd expect both probabilities to shift up a bit, and that seems fair enough.

 

[Munnyro]

If Cags can be St. Louis on defense I'll take it. Feisty, quads that choke a tiger, middle of the pack, count me in.

No one can deny his trajectory is impressive.

 

[JoeThorntonsRooster]

Is this including what he's done this year?

No it's not. But if you compare it to Byron's model at the end of his D+1, Byron had him at 31% star probability. So my model which accounted for height had him 3x less likely to be a star (but more likely to be an NHLer for whatever reason).

Doesn't look like it. NHLe for this season is ~25 looking at his model. So you'd expect both probabilities to shift up a bit, and that seems fair enough.

I have AHL points at 0.389 NHL points per game, so his NHLe this year would be 32 thus far, which would very likely bump up both probabilities. But I don't personally think it's good to run the prospect projection models or post them when we've only played a quarter of a season.