mjd1001
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He SHOULD do it.Even with this injury-filled season, still has an outside chance at becoming only the 3rd player in NHL history to score 500 goals before the age of 30.
He has about 200 regular season games left to accomplish it. 118 goals to score. That is 0.59 goals per game. Over the past 5 years, he has averaged 0.73. Last year he was at 0.85.
If he just scores at his career rate (nothing like last season) and didn't miss any games, he would be close to 530 career regular season goals before he turns 30.
Lets say he can average 0.7. He could miss up to 32 regular season games and hit 500 before he is 30.
If he drops down to 0.65...He could still miss almost 20 regular season games over the next 2.5 years and get it done.
I hope my math doesn't have any major errors, but i'm pretty sure I got it right.