We're in the mix to win the division, but I think Boston or Florida are way more odds-on favourites for it. I've also been expecting a Tampa resurgence for the last little while. They've got Vasi and the bones of those cup winning teams still in place, even if the depth is a shadow of what it once was. Guentzel will fit them like a glove, that's a dangerous, dangerous team.
Ottawa, Buffalo, and Detroit are all in the "believe it when I see it" category. Montreal is going to be bad again, so they'll play like demons whenever we face them.
I think we come third again. Our main risks are health, goaltending, and how Marner performs in his contract year. I've been predicting (wrongly) for a while now that the core sees the writing on the wall that it just doesn't work and an early slide extends into a playoff miss, but I think Berube dramatically lowers that risk this year (plus the sort of shame this implosion requires would have long since been met, it's clear our guys don't feel shame lol). I'm expecting another relatively boring 105 point season where we know by January that we're locked into a playoff spot. New season, same as the old season.
Our main optimism is in Berube, goaltending, Knies, and the defensive signings. In particular, the combination of Berube and Captain Matthews might give the boys a the right mix of accountability and leadership to tighten up. Bad games always happen, but this core has always suffered from lazy games and those really should not be happening.