Kucherov isn't better than 5 time art ross winner Jagr, not a chance. And prime Lemieux never lost a scoring race to Jagr. And certainly would never lose to Draisaitl, Kucherov, or MacKinnon. That's the main difference that keeps him from that first tier. Gretzky or Lemieux wouldn't lose to anyone in their prime
I wasn’t viewing Jagr as competition here, so I agree—Kucherov is not better than Jagr. I’ve always maintained that Jagr is the best player drafted between Lemieux and McDavid.
As for Draisaitl, yes, he did outscore McDavid once, but people often forget the context. McDavid missed seven games that season due to injury and played the entire year rehabbing a serious knee injury from the final game of 2018-2019—an injury for which surgery was recommended. Instead, he opted to forgo it, start up the new season six months later and played through it.
Last year was a similar story. The guy was clearly injured all season long and was barely beaten by two healthy elite talents who had career years. McDavid doesn’t need excuses made, but when people start using his couple of supposed missteps as excuses to ding him, it has to be countered.
The irony with McDavid is that he’s proof of how players who sit out to preserve their PPG or lean on injuries as excuses often get celebrated more—I am not commenting on Lemieux himself here, though I’ll never miss the opportunity to say he could have at least stretched more, if nothing else. Whether it’s wise or not on the Oilers’ part, McDavid consistently returns early from injuries. Yet, instead of being applauded, critics use his “failures” as evidence that he’s not as great as advertised. It’s dishonest to think that a player who averaged 2 PPG for 57 games after an early upper body injury and just before a new lower body injury that shut him down wouldn’t have won the Art Ross with even just a little more health.
In a way, he’s a victim of circumstance not going his way. If Kucherov and MacKinnon don’t have career years, he very well still could have won the Art Ross with 132 points. It’s a total that would have won it in every other season outside his own, during his career.
The reality is that if McDavid keeps this pace, most of the hockey world will eventually rank him above Lemieux, simply because playing the games matters. If McDavid surpasses 2,000 points, racks up something like 7-8 Art Ross trophies, 4-5 Hart Trophies, 5-6 Ted Lindsays, and so on, few outside of Pittsburgh will rank him lower. He already has a Conn Smythe without a Cup—matching Patrick Roy’s total wouldn’t surprise me.
And I say all this as someone who considers Gretzky and Lemieux my two favorites, with McDavid third. I firmly believe Gretzky and Lemieux will always be the better players unless McDavid somehow unlocks a final, unknown form. But I can’t just dismiss McDavid’s trajectory and the possibility of where he’ll rank in all-time status.