Ok, so using your timeframes, 8 yrs of good drafting from 2006-2014, two years of growth, then 4 years of success?
Clb had 60 picks (average pick was 98th oa), 22 of which played 100 or more games, and they cumulatively scored 4694 pts, solid drafting resulted in 4 consecutive yrs of playoffs from 2016-2020
Now let's look at the sens on a similar schedule
From 2008 to 2015, Ott had 57 picks (average pick was 108th oa), 24 of which played 100 or more games, and they cumulatively scored 5109 pts, solid drafting resulted in 7 consecutive yrs of missing the playoffs from 2017-present.
Seems like significantly better drafting by the sens but significantly worse results in the initial timeframe.
we have discussed this before.
A good draft is not someone who plays games. An RHD who is at best a #7 D man, will play. Because he has no competition. High draft picks, will play on the 3rd and 4th line, again, no competition.
This is a 32 team league. It is incapable of supplying 32 x 22 players. And so, many teams will have 3-5 players that would never be in the league, if the hockey world was twice its size and so twice as many junior players came forth.
Coaches are not stupid, they will play that #1 or #2 pick, so as not to embarrass a GM. And the hope is, the apple gets shined enough to trade it. So some failed second round will get 100 games in 3 years. And then be shipped out and out of the league. By that time 5-6 total years have passed since his draft and all is forgotten. But his stats show 100 game splayed.
Again, we have discussed this at length.
The reality is, the 9-12 teams in the NHL, that suffer from geographic and "other" disadvantages, simply oscillate up and down 2-3 years behind the up and down of their drafting.
And any drought, any extended period when they are not producing, quality top 6 forwards, top 4 D men and goalies, will simply appear in the standings 2-3 years later. And they have little correction options.
Miami, Tampa, Dallas, NY, LA, LV, Nashville, the bulk of the US east coast, Toronto (Birth home to many NHL players), can compensate and can withstand bad drafts. A combination of FA signings, trades of picks for prospects, allow them to overcome.
Go through it again Mick. DO a real qualitative analysis of the players. See the 06-14 and since. (for Columbus). Waddel had better hope that the 2022 and 2023, coupled with an incredible 2024 and 2025 drafts, bail him out. Or Columbus will be another in a list of teams that will miss the playoffs for 7 years or more.
If I was the owner of; MTL, Ottawa, Winnipeg, Calgary, Edmonton, Buffalo, Columbus, Utah, NJ, NYI, Minnesota. Not a year would go by, when I am not sitting with my hockey ops, getting a full briefing on the drafts that were 3 and 4 years earlier. And I better like what I am hearing! There is no way in hell, I am allowing a GM to continue, if some 3 year period was poor. And failed to produce the net 5-6 players and 2-4 quality players.
How on earth, did Columbus allow the 15, 16, 17 , 18, 19 and 20 drafts to be this bad and not fire everyone, including the janitor and the bus driver? where the bleep was the owner, who in 2018 should have started monitoring and by 2019 realize, WE have a problem. And Jarmo should have been bye-bye by 2020.
unreal, how ridicules these owners are and how uncontrolled some of these franchises seem to be.
