I think with PB and DK back they make the playoffs. Toronto is going to top the Atlantic, IMO that’s basically a lock. But Tampa is not what they were and I don’t think the Panthers will be either. On the other hand you have teams like the Red Wings and Sens on the rise but I’m not sure they’ll quite be pushing the top of the table just yet. What is almost certain is the competition will be closer and the points more evenly spread than last season, in both the Atlantic and Metro. So consistency and minimizing loss of points in situations/games where you really shouldn’t are going to be really important.
Put that together and the Bruins have the roster to be right in the mix. They’re going to have a slow start, but what they have to probably aim for is to be at least .500 by the end of November. Then with returning players and hopefully guys like Zacha, Lindholm (still hasn’t played much with the Bs) and probably even Krejci after his absence starting to really gel with their teammates, they can then go to work and put together a strong back half/two thirds of the season. It’ll be a battle but experience should tell in their favor and they’re every chance to qualify, provided they stay mostly healthy down the stretch.
Playoffs I think are a different story. There’s a path to a deep run but IMO it’s quite narrow. The defense still feels too soft and a player short, preferably someone tough and with playoff experience, and I suspect if they’re in a favorable position at the deadline that’s the kind of player they will, or at least should, be targeting. Filling that gap would help a lot, but you’re also banking on Carlo to get his head right again, which is not guaranteed. In net they’ll need Swayman to take that next step in his progression to be a real contender. I’m pretty confident on that one, but again it’s not a certainty. Up front, there are a number of question marks – can Bergy and Krej still play at a really high level, particularly in the faster, harder postseason environment, at the age of 37? And can they stay healthy? How will Marchand go coming back from double hip surgery? That’s tough, especially at his age. Some players with similar situations have returned to their best, others have struggled. Will Zacha make good on his obvious potential? Will we see 2022 DeBrusk or the 2020-21 version? Can the Bruins get something out of a couple of prospects and finally put together a really effective bottom 6 for the first time since 2019, and will Coyle find his best form again?
Most of these unknowns fall in their favor, and the Bruins could be in business. But it’s asking quite a lot to go right, and that’s where I have doubts about their credentials. But what I will say is this lineup is exciting, Monty should bring some freshness and new ideas behind the bench, and I think it’s going to be a lot of fun taking a ride with this team through the coming season, no matter where they end up. So despite my reservations about where this organization is headed in the long-term, for now I say bring it on!