Confirmed with Link: Alexis Lafreniere Signs Extension [7Y/7.45M AAV]

[LORDE]

For a 22 year old?

It’s subjective but there’s a lot of points that were left on the table imo. Much more potential with assists

Agreed. There were many times this season he could've easily or SHOULD have had 2 more points in a night & it wasn't on him.

Great saves by a tendy or he'd send a great assist that was squandered.

This was always the thing about Laf: everyone who said “he can’t do anything well” was missing the forest for the trees.

It was confidence. It always was confidence. When you have no confidence you do everything two steps slow and so nothing succeeds.

Not saying Kakko will ever explode the same way but it remains confidence with him too.

Guilty *raises hand*

 

[SA16]

Not everything has to go perfectly, just has to go average. Can you point out to many players who signed 8 year deals that got them to UFA at 30-32 rather than 27-29?

And let me know how those worked out

Sure. Elias Pettersson literally a month ago? Own Tippett two months ago? Rasmus Dahlin in October? Brandon Hagel, PLD, Jesper Bratt, Jordan Kyrou. I'm seeing a ton of them.

Conversely there are extremely few deals that have been signed for 6 years at 6M or more. Werenski, Hellebuyck, and Stepan appear to be the only ones who did so at 23 years old or more in the last 10 years.

 

[QJL]

Sure. Elias Pettersson literally a month ago? Own Tippett two months ago? Rasmus Dahlin in October? Brandon Hagel, PLD, Jesper Bratt, Jordan Kyrou. I'm seeing a ton of them.

Exactly. Lafreniere may very well be staring down 10M X 8 years.

 

[duhmetreE]

Exactly. Lafreniere may very well be staring down 10M X 8 years.

I dont see 10M unless he gets PP1 and goes off next season.

Maybe 8x8

 

[QJL]

I dont see 10M unless he gets PP1 and goes off next season.

Maybe 8x8

The 25-26 cap projection is 92M. If he steps up to be a 70+ point player (even without PP1 time), which seems like his trajectory, I think he’ll be closer to 10M than 8M.

Rantanen and Draisaitl will likely crack 15M each that offseason.

 

[LaffyTaffy13]

Sure. Elias Pettersson literally a month ago? Own Tippett two months ago? Rasmus Dahlin in October? Brandon Hagel, PLD, Jesper Bratt, Jordan Kyrou. I'm seeing a ton of them.

Conversely there are extremely few deals that have been signed for 6 years at 6M or more. Werenski, Hellebuyck, and Stepan appear to be the only ones who did so at 23 years old or more in the last 10 years.

You failed the test. Ill ask again, how many guys sign 8 year deals that have them hit ufa at age 30-32? Please try again.

 

[duhmetreE]

The 25-26 cap projection is 92M. If he steps up to be a 70+ point player (even without PP1 time), which seems like his trajectory, I think he’ll be closer to 10M than 8M.

Rantanen and Draisaitl will likely crack 15M each that offseason.

They're not getting 15M. That's McDavid level money

MacKinnon just got 15%. Pettersson's 13.89% is more likely. That's high 12s.

I'd guess Laffy will be around 8-9%. Contract length will be interesting

 

[SA16]

You failed the test. Ill ask again, how many guys sign 8 year deals that have them hit ufa at age 30-32? Please try again.

Lol alright then. Literally everyone I mentioned.

However, I'm not going to do your homework for you. If you want a number you can go right ahead and run the search on capfriendly yourself and see that you are wrong about more significant players signing 6 year deals at that point than 8 year deals.

 

[duhmetreE]

You failed the test. Ill ask again, how many guys sign 8 year deals that have them hit ufa at age 30-32? Please try again.

Tkachuk? Tage?

I don't see it as an issue. Some team will still pay out a mega contract for someone at 30-32.

 

[QJL]

They're not getting 15M. That's McDavid level money

MacKinnon just got 15%. Pettersson's 13.89% is more likely. That's high 12s.

I'd guess Laffy will be around 8-9%. Contract length will be interesting

I believe that like other major sports leagues, you’ll see high end players grabbing a higher percentage as more total money becomes available. That’s the case in the NBA and NFL. Increases have been more substantial for superstars than they have been for supporting casts.

Maybe I’m stretching thinking 15M for Rantanen and Drai, but I’ll hold firm those annual contract values will exceed MacKinnon’s new deal.

 

[Bacon Artemi Bravo]

To add: let's keep the tribalism to a minimum. We don't need a victory lap against the "Laf haters" every time he scores or a dunk session on the "Laf defenders" every time he has a bad game.

We root for the same team.

Looking back to the beginning of this thread - I think as Rangers fans we can all take a victory lap around Laffy finding himself in the NHL. What a treat it's been to watch his journey. No matter which side you fell on before, I think we can all be happy and proud of Laffy's ginormous step forward this year.

 

[noncents]

Looking back to the beginning of this thread - I think as Rangers fans we can all take a victory lap around Laffy finding himself in the NHL. What a treat it's been to watch his journey. No matter which side you fell on before, I think we can all be happy and proud of Laffy's ginormous step forward this year.

couldn't agree more. all are welcome in the flock

 

[LaffyTaffy13]

Lol alright then. Literally everyone I mentioned.

However, I'm not going to do your homework for you. If you want a number you can go right ahead and run the search on capfriendly yourself and see that you are wrong about more significant players signing 6 year deals at that point than 8 year deals.

Only dahlin on that list fyi. Everyone else hits ufa 33+

 

[JimmyG89]

July 1 you begin talking extension and try and lock it in this summer. Don't care too much about the length of the deal, unless it takes him right up to UFA. Matthews did that and cashed in big time.

It would have been great to do it this past summer but a lot of questions needed answers and we're getting those answers this season.

His UFA status sits the year after the CBA is set to expire (after 25-26 season). The cap will most likely be going up significantly. Locking him in before that becomes a reality will set the franchise up moving forward.

 

[Leonardo87]

Knew this was coming. Was looking great most of this season. I unfortunately missed the last couple of games.

 

[80shockeywasbuns]

This was always the thing about Laf: everyone who said “he can’t do anything well” was missing the forest for the trees.

It was confidence. It always was confidence. When you have no confidence you do everything two steps slow and so nothing succeeds.

Not saying Kakko will ever explode the same way but it remains confidence with him too.

but but skating! Putting the golf clubs down! Learning right wing!

 

[GAGLine]

We can extend Laf as early as July 1st.

52 points in 74 games
38 points at 5 on 5
2.04 points per 60

Chytil last year:

45 points in 74 games
35 points at 5 on 5
2.24 points per 60

Chytil had just completed his D+6 season. Laf will be completing his D+5 season when his new contract kicks in.

Chytil got 4 years at 4.4375 mil.

Laf will absolutely get more, but people saying 10 mil are crazy. He hasn't earned that yet.

I'm guessing he will go for a shorter-term contract. Not 7-8 years. More like 4-5. He will turn 24 early in the 1st year of his new deal. He will be looking for a new deal just prior to turning 28 or 29.

Debrincat just got a 4-year deal at 7.875 mil. Laf will get less than that. Figure 5.5 - 6.5 mil for 3 - 5 years. Somewhere in that range.

I hope Drury doesn't wait, but Laf might want to wait. The price is likely to go up, though Laf probably still won't get significant PP time next season, barring injuries to other players.

 

[mike14]

but but skating! Putting the golf clubs down! Learning right wing!

I don't think you can overlook the skating as a huge impact on his performance.
the gap between where it is now and previous seasons is immense

 

[jay from jersey]

but but skating! Putting the golf clubs down! Learning right wing!

If you don’t see a noticeable difference in his speed/change of pace and overall footwork, I don’t know what to tell you.
Part of it is maturing, part is confidence for sure, but his legs are constantly moving this year. He doesn’t look like he’s stuck in the mud.
He’s always had sweet hands/sweet wrister. Didn’t score 19 goals from 3rd line by accident…
I’d say he gets 5-6 mill per.
Similar to Josh Norris if it’s a long term deal, but a little less $$ wise
If he’s on the 1PP next season and get 80 pts 7-7.5 per

 

[mas0764]

One of the reasons his skating looks better is confidence. You slow down your pace when you are thinking about what you are supposed to be doing instead of just playing on instincts.

 

[bhamill]

One of the reasons his skating looks better is confidence. You slow down your pace when you are thinking about what you are supposed to be doing instead of just playing on instincts.

Exactly.

 

[n8]

Noticed Laffy is in the top 100 in points now.

 

[noncents]

NHL's 3rd star of the week. Get pwned.

 

[The Crypto Guy]

 

[Levitate]

Sure. Elias Pettersson literally a month ago? Own Tippett two months ago? Rasmus Dahlin in October? Brandon Hagel, PLD, Jesper Bratt, Jordan Kyrou. I'm seeing a ton of them.

Conversely there are extremely few deals that have been signed for 6 years at 6M or more. Werenski, Hellebuyck, and Stepan appear to be the only ones who did so at 23 years old or more in the last 10 years.

Trouba got a 7 year deal that takes him to age 32 as a FA
You can argue it wasn't a good deal! But in theory at least the Rangers were paying for his "best" years and the contracts ends before the major age cliff would catch up

As for Laf's next contract...dunno, if he has a good playoffs and next season starts off good again and he's looking like a point per game winger then I'd guess the Rangers will try to lock him down for a long term contract at a slightly better rate, but he might hold out for something bigger as well...always a bit tough to figure out which way they'll go