This idea that it’s just all random and it’s all luck to win a Cup is a flat out lie.
No, some orgs know what they are doing and are consistently better than others, and some don’t know what they are doing, generally like us, and win One Cup in 80 years.
We have done things many different varieties of the wrong way since I’ve been watching as a kid. The post-Cup euphoria era, the Dark Ages, the Henrik years, and now the “Rebuild.” Each of them had their own unique flaws but each of them definitely failed in their own way.
And yea, 97% of the teams do fail every year. That being said, as a fan, should you be despondent any year that your team doesn’t win the Cup? No. There are moral victories. There is identifying progress. Yeah, winning a Cup is hard, so if you can win one and then spend a decade as a contender, before tearing it down and doing the same the next decade, you are doing it mostly right. You have the secret sauce to bring good nearly all the time and winning more than your share of Cups. You don’t have to call the years you didn’t win “failures,” necessarily, when you have shown you know how to win more than your share of Championships to begin with.
But this franchise doesn’t embody that, and if you have been fooled into thinking the past two seasons are moral victories again, you’re a sucker. It’s just more of the same road to failure we have been getting.
This isn’t a team building to a Cup, it’s a team building to nowhere. It hasn’t properly developed its kids. It’s added veterans who have crapped the bed at 5v5 and in the playoffs. It’s got bad contracts galore.
It’s not out of the realm of possibility that it gets lucky, but if it does, don’t expect any sustained success in your lifetime, cause it will have been a blind squirrel finding a nut. The adding of expensive, aging veterans at the cost of first round picks each of the last two deadlines reinforces that they just don’t get it. Their team wasn’t close. They barely got out of the second round and got smoked in the third round. Then this year they were dispatched by a team that DID commit to a full rebuild. Gee, do they pay attention?
No. Because to them, that’s close enough to catch lightning in a bottle, but they can’t see the chasm in between them and the real contenders.
Caveat: if Laviolette comes here and flips the switch for these guys, and has Panarin, Zibanejad, Kakko, Laf and Chytil all looking like the stars they never have this past 2-3 seasons, then that very well might be the right talent. But I can only go by what they show on the ice and what this core has shown, it’s obviously not good enough.