6 in 5 Tracker

[ghyrti]

Updated to 60 game mark with Oilers still 4 games behind several teams...

Pacific
82 - Vancouver
78 - Edmonton
73 - Las Vegas

Central
83 - Winnipeg
79 - Dallas
77 - Colorado

Wildcard
72 - Los Angeles
68 - Nashville

65 - St Louis
65 - Calgary
63 - Seattle
62 - Minnesota
53 - Arizona
47 - Anaheim
36 - San Jose
35 - Chicago

After last nights games the most probable playoff matchups (with end of season point totals) according to sportsclubstats...

Vancouver (111) vs Las Vegas (97)
Edmonton (107) vs LA (101)

Winnipeg (111) vs Nashville (95)
Dallas (109) vs Colorado (105)

Kraken (91). Flames (90), Blues (89) miss playoffs

 

[jokesondee]

Updated to 60 game mark with Oilers still 4 games behind several teams...

Pacific
82 - Vancouver
78 - Edmonton
73 - Las Vegas

Central
83 - Winnipeg
79 - Dallas
77 - Colorado

Wildcard
72 - Los Angeles
68 - Nashville

65 - St Louis
65 - Calgary
63 - Seattle
62 - Minnesota
53 - Arizona
47 - Anaheim
36 - San Jose
35 - Chicago

After last nights games the most probable playoff matchups (with end of season point totals) according to sportsclubstats...

Vancouver (111) vs Las Vegas (97)
Edmonton (107) vs LA (101)

Winnipeg (111) vs Nashville (95)
Dallas (109) vs Colorado (105)

Kraken (91). Flames (90), Blues (89) miss playoffs

The importance of finishing 1st in the Central cannot be understated.

 

[ERYX]

Vancouver (111) vs Las Vegas (97)
Edmonton (107) vs LA (101)

Winnipeg (111) vs Nashville (95)
Dallas (109) vs Colorado (105)

Kraken (91). Flames (90), Blues (89) miss playoffs

If this happens I will definitely be rooting for PLD to go full playoff beast mode like he did when with CBJ against TML. He can then go back to being indifferent for round 2 against the Jets.

 

[BobTheSolarsystem]

The importance of finishing 1st in the Central cannot be understated.

Aside from Vegas finishing 8th and activating Stone the Jet Killer.

 

[ERYX]

Aside from Vegas finishing 8th and activating Stone the Jet Killer.

Alternatively, it would be nice to have a redemption arc where the Jets finally DON'T play like complete shit versus Vegas and beat them in a series, then use that good mojo to go on a real run.

 

[BobTheSolarsystem]

Alternatively, it would be nice to have a redemption arc where the Jets finally DON'T play like complete shit versus Vegas and beat them in a series, then use that good mojo to go on a real run.

I don't think anyone is going to be a walk in this playoffs... a NSH-WPG series to start would be some great hockey as always... all I know is we need momentum before hitting Dallas

 

[ghyrti]

Was away for spring break so missed the 70 game mark played by Edmonton so instead will do standings at the 72 game mark (all teams with 10 games remaining). Added opponents left (home games in caps) with known results already shown excluding Calgary and Seattle as not mathematically still not eliminated they realistically are.

Pacific
98 - Vancouver (DAL (L), ANA (W), lv, ari, la, LV, ARI, edm, CGY, wpg)
94 - Edmonton (stl, dal, COL, cgy, LV, ARI, VAN, SJ, ari, col)
87 - LA (cgy (L), wpg, SEA, sj, VAN, ana, CGY, ANA, MIN, CHI)

Central
97 - Colorado (NYR (OTL), NAS (W), cbs, min, edm, DAL, MIN, WPG, lv, EDM)
97 - Dallas (sj (W), van (W), sea (W), EDM, chi, col, BUF, WPG, SEA, STL)
94 - Winnipeg (LV (L), OTT (L), LA, CGY, min, nas, dal, col, SEA, VAN)

Wild card
90 - Nashville (ari (L), col (L), BOS, STL, nyi, nj, WPG, chi, CBS, pit)
86 - Las Vegas (wpg (W), min (W), VAN, ari, van, edm, MIN, COL, CHI, ANA)

80 - St Louis (CGY (W), SJ (L), EDM, nas, sj, ana, CHI, CAR, SEA, dal)
79 - Minnesota (LV (L), OTT, COL, WPG, chi, col, lv, sj, la, SEA)

As of this morning most likely playoff scenarios from sportsclubstats...

Dallas (113) v Las Vegas (100)
Colorado (110) v Winnipeg (104)

Vancouver (110) v Nashville (100)
Edmonton (108) v Los Angeles (101)

 

[ghyrti]

Updated with 5 games remaining...

Pacific
102 - Vancouver (LV (W), ARI (OTL), edm, CGY, wpg)
101 - Edmonton (ARI, VAN, SJ, ari, col)
93 - LA (ana (L), CGY, ANA, MIN, CHI)
A Vancouver loss to Edmonton would most likely make game 82 for both teams must win.

Central
105 - Dallas (col (W), BUF (W), WPG, SEA, STL)
102 - Colorado (DAL (L), MIN (W), WPG, lv, EDM)
100 - Winnipeg (nas (W), dal, col, SEA, VAN)
Dallas winning games 78 and 79 pretty much locks them in first. The winner of the game between Colorado and Winnipeg is in control of 2nd place no matter the outcome of Winnipeg/Dallas. As with the Pacific, the game 82s Edm/Col, Wpg/Van could be immensely important to all teams involved.

Wild Card
92 - Nashville (nj (W), WPG (OTL), chi, CBS, pit)
92 - Las Vegas (edm (L), MIN, COL, CHI, ANA)
85 - St Louis (ana (W), CHI (W), CAR, SEA, dal)

Nashville needed 3 points in their last 5 games to clinch and did so.
Las Vegas needs 4 points to clinch in their last 5 games and started with 1 loss.
Both scenarios were contingent on St louis winning their last 5 games and have started with winning the first 2.
Los Angeles needs 3 points in their last 5 games to clinch and started with 1 loss. However all remaining games are at home against lottery teams but they did just lose to Anaheim so you never know.

A Minnesota win and a St louis win will make things interesting as Dallas will be resting players in game 82 and Colorado will still be pushing for a win in game 81 (Vegas game 80) to stay ahead of Winnipeg or to catch Dallas.

 

[puck stoppa]

Would anyone have predicted 25 games over .500 last spring? What a great season, now let’s make a run.

 

[blues10]

I assume we made it!

 

[Mortimer Snerd]

I assume we made it!

6.71 pts per 5 games.

 

[BoJet]

I remember doing these for fun. This year it all seems to be out the window. As of today, a .500 pace gets us to 94 points, which is... pretty good I assume. So here's a fun tidbit for you: I just browsed the NHL standings after 14 games played to find out which was the last team to have a start like this. The answer: Your 2007-08 Ottawa Senators. The last ones to have 26 points after 14 games. You want to know with how many points they finished? Yep, 94. A bit of a cautionary tale I'd say.

 

[Joe Hallenback]

I remember doing these for fun. This year it all seems to be out the window. As of today, a .500 pace gets us to 94 points, which is... pretty good I assume. So here's a fun tidbit for you: I just browsed the NHL standings after 14 games played to find out which was the last team to have a start like this. The answer: Your 2007-08 Ottawa Senators. The last ones to have 26 points after 14 games. You want to know with how many points they finished? Yep, 94. A bit of a cautionary tale I'd say.

That is an interesting team. They were coming off going to the finals the year before and had almost there entire team back. Ray Emery was coming off an excellent season then shit the bed the next year and couldn't save a beachball, they played most of the year with Martin Gerber in next and fired Bryan Murray halfway though and brought in John Paddock

While our records are the same, I think the circumstances of both teams are dramatically different

 

[BoJet]

That is an interesting team. They were coming off going to the finals the year before and had almost there entire team back. Ray Emery was coming off an excellent season then shit the bed the next year and couldn't save a beachball, they played most of the year with Martin Gerber in next and fired Bryan Murray halfway though and brought in John Paddock

While our records are the same, I think the circumstances of both teams are dramatically different

Thanks, that context is good to know. I didn't follow the league around that time. I just saw the numbers line up so neatly and thought it was worth sharing.

 

[ghyrti]

Vancouver played their 20th game last night. Standings after game 20. Jets lead division and conference all 20 games. Ahead of 9th place at game 20 by 12 points (peaked at 13) and ahead of 3rd place in the division by 8 (peaked at 8).

Pacific
26 - Las Vegas
25 - Vancouver
25 - Calgary

Central
34 - Winnipeg
30 - Minnesota
26 - Dallas

Wildcard
23 - Los Angeles
22 - Colorado

22 - Edmonton
21 - Seattle
19 - Anaheim
19 - Utah
17 - St Louis
16 - San Jose
15 - Nashville
15 - Chicago

 

[Bender Duster]

Man the Central is tough this year!

 

[Gm0ney]

Assuming Edmonton eventually gets some goaltending and rights the ship, who's in the playoffs now (at American Thanksgiving) and out in April? Is Calgary a mirage?

 

[Bender Duster]

Assuming Edmonton eventually gets some goaltending and rights the ship, who's in the playoffs now (at American Thanksgiving) and out in April? Is Calgary a mirage?

My guess is Edmonton will pass both Calgary and LA with those two and Utah battling for WC2 spot.

 

[ghyrti]

Last night was Anaheim's 30th game. Here are the standings at game 30 (pts in games 21-30 in brackets). Nashville and Chicago were the only western conference teams to have less points during that stretch than Winnipeg. Winnipeg's lead over 9th place hit a low of 6 points at game 26 but went back up to 9 by game 30 (down from 12 at game 20). The lead over 3rd in the division dropped to 4 points down from a season high of 8 at game 22.

Pacific
41 - Las Vegas (15)
39 - Los Angeles (16)
38 - Edmonton (16)

Central
44 - Minnesota (14)
42 - Winnipeg (8)
38 - Dallas (12)

Wildcard
37 - Vancouver (12)
34 - Colorado (12)

33 - Utah (14)
33 - Calgary (8)
30 - Seattle (9)
30 - St Louis (13)
28 - Anaheim (9)
25 - San Jose (9)
22 - Nashville (7)
20 - Chicago (5)

 

[ghyrti]

Over the weekend LA played their 40th game. Between games 31 and 40 Winnipeg took back the lead in the Central. Jets extend their lead over the 9th place team by 2 points to 11 and equaled their season high of 12 from games 38 and 39. At game 40 their lead over 3rd place Dallas was at 3 points, which was down from a 7 point lead at game 32 as the Stars went 7-0-1 over that period.

Points in games 31-40 in brackets.

Pacific
59 - Las Vegas (18)
53 - LA (14)
53 - Edmonton (15)

Central
56 - Winnipeg (14)
54 - Minnesota (10)
53 - Dallas (15)

Wildcard
49 - Colorado (15)
46 - Vancouver (9)

45 - Calgary (12)
42 - St Louis (12)
41 - Utah (8)
39 - Anaheim (11)
37 - Seattle (7)
33 - Nashville (11)
28 - Chicago (8)
28 - San Jose (3)

 

[ghyrti]

Over the weekend LA played their 50th game. Between games 41 and 50 Winnipeg took back the lead in the Western Conference. Jets extend their lead over the 9th place team by 2 points to 13 and set their season high of 15 at game 47. At game 50 their lead over 3rd place Minnesota was at 7 points, which was up from a 1 point lead at game 41 (where Dallas was 3rd at that time). Only 4 of the western conference teams had more than 10 points in the 10 game period.

Points in games 41-50 in brackets.

Pacific
67 - Edmonton (14)
66 - Las Vegas (7)
60 - LA (7)

Central
69 - Winnipeg (13)
65 - Dallas (12)
62 - Minnesota (8)

Wildcard
58 - Colorado (9)
57 - Calgary (12)

56 - Vancouver (10)
50 - Utah (9)
50 - St Louis (8)
48 - Anaheim (9)
47 - Seattle (10)
43 - Nashville (10)
37 - Chicago (9)
34 - San Jose (6)

 

[ghyrti]

Standings with each team having 20 games left in the season. In the stretch from games 51-62, Jets and Dallas led with 19 out of 24 possible points. Winnipeg had a season high 15 point lead over 3rd in the Central division at game 60 and a season high 23 point lead over 9th place in the west at game 59. Only San Jose had less points than Edmonton over the same period.

If the teams chasing them win their final 20 games...
Winnipeg needs to win 18 of their final 20 to win the division/conference (or go 15-2 after March 10)
Winnipeg needs to win 13 of their final 20 to have home ice in the 1st round (or go 11-6 after March 10)
Winnipeg needs to win 10 of their final 20 to make the playoffs (or go 7-9-1 after March 10)

Winnipeg's worst 20 game stretch of the season was a 10-8-2 between games 23 and 42. Finishing the season with that same record over that stretch would require Dallas to finish 12-5-1 or Colorado to finish 16-1-1 to pass them.

Points in games 51-62 in brackets.

Pacific
Las Vegas - 82 (16)
Edmonton - 76 (9)
Los Angeles - 75 (15)

Central
Winnipeg - 88 (19)
Dallas - 84 (19)
Minnesota - 76 (14)

Wildcard
Colorado - 74 (16)
Vancouver - 69 (13)

Calgary - 68 (11)
Utah - 65 (15)
St Louis - 64 (14)
Anaheim - 61 (13)
Seattle - 56 (9)
Nashville - 53 (10)
Chicago - 46 (9)
San Jose - 41 (7)