2025 NHL Draft: Lose a ton for Porter Martone

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vortexy

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Jun 13, 2024
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The new plan: trade for Askarov, draft Schaefer, and then sign Draisaitl. Our core could look like:

Celebrini, Draisaitl, Smith, Eklund, Askarov, Schaefer, Dickinson & Embers...Havelid
Why do I keep hearing people wanting to sign Draisaitl? Hard pass on Draisaitl for me, he will be 30 years old and it will be a 7 year contract worth 13+ million and by the time we are seriously competitive will be anywhere from 4-7 years. By then Draisaitl will not be in his prime he will be 34-37 years old lol and you are going to have to give a huge pay raise to our current young stars and future ones coming off of their ELCs like Eklund/Celebrini/Smith/Musty/Dickinson etc. Draisaitl timeline makes no sense for our timeline...it only makes sense for teams that are seriously close and trying to win the Stanley Cup within the next 3-5 years.

Remember we were the last place team in the NHL by far and we still will be a bottom 3-5 team again this year. This will take time, if you want to desperately add a star to this team it should not be someone that is 30 years old that will be out of their prime and old when our core reaches their prime ages.
 
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matt trick

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Here is my updated Ranking after the Hlinka.
@GermanSpitfire

#NamePositionTeamLeagueDate of BirthHeightWeightShoot
1James HagensFBoston CollegeNCAA2006-11-035'10"172L
2Matthew SchaeferDErie OttersOHL2007-09-056'1"174L
3Ivan RyabkinFMHK Dynamo MoskvaMHL2007-04-256'0"170L
4Anton FrondellFDjurgårdens IF J20J20 Nationell2007-05-076'0"196L
5Porter MartoneFBrampton SteelheadsOHL2006-10-266'3"170R
6Malcolm SpenceFErie OttersOHL2006-09-226'2"192L
7Roger McQueenFBrandon Wheat KingsWHL2006-10-026'5"190R
8Logan HenslerDUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2006-10-146'2"196R
9Cole McKinneyFU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP2007-03-166'0"190R
10Reese HamiltonDCalgary HitmenWHL2007-03-266'0"172L
11Charlie TretheweyDUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-08-026'1"190R
12Michael MisaFSaginaw SpiritOHL2007-02-166'0"174L
13Caleb DesnoyersFMoncton WildcatsQMJHL2007-04-116'1"179L
14Émile GuitéFChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL2007-05-316'1"174L
15Victor EklundFDjurgårdens IFHockeyAllsvenskan2006-10-035'11"161R
16William MooreFUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-03-246'2"161L
17Kurban LimatovDMHK Dynamo MoskvaMHL2007-03-206'4"187L
18Sascha BoumedienneDBoston Univ.NCAA2007-01-176'2"183L
19Jakob Ihs-WozniakFLuleå HF J20J20 Nationell2007-02-016'3"185R
20Jake O'BrienFBrantford BulldogsOHL2007-06-166'0"168R
21Conrad FondrkFUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-06-015'11"174L
22Alex HuangDChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL2007-07-306'0"170R
23Radim MrtkaDHC Oceláři TřinecCzechia2007-06-096'6"198R
24Carlos HändelDMalmö Redhawks J20J20 Nationell2007-03-316'1"168R
25Carson CameronDPeterborough PetesOHL2007-06-276'1"174R
26Jackson SmithDTri-City AmericansWHL2007-05-136'3"190L
27Milton GästrinFMoDo Hockey J20J20 Nationell2007-06-026'2"179L
28Karl AnnbornDHV71 J20J20 Nationell2007-03-066'1"187R
29Luka RadivojevicDÖrebro HKSHL2007-01-035'10"161R
30Eric NilsonFDjurgårdens IF J20J20 Nationell2007-05-116'0"154R
31Benjamin KevanFDes Moines BuccaneersUSHL2007-01-036'0"172R
32Cullen PotterFArizona State Univ.NCAA2007-01-105'9"161L
33Jordan GavinFTri-City AmericansWHL2006-11-135'11"181L
34Filip EkbergFAlmtuna ISHockeyAllsvenskan2007-04-145'10"168L
35Benjamin KindelFCalgary HitmenWHL2007-04-195'10"176R
36Blake FiddlerDEdmonton Oil KingsWHL2007-07-096'4"207R
37Brady MartinFSoo GreyhoundsOHL2007-03-166'0"176R
38Bill ZonnonFRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL2006-10-036'2"179L
39Jesper KotajärviDTapparaLiiga2007-07-245'11"179L
40Quinn BeauchesneDGuelph StormOHL2007-03-016'0"183R
41Artyom VilchinskyDSKA-1946 St. PetersburgMHL2006-09-166'6"240L
42Max WestergårdFFrölunda HC J20J20 Nationell2007-09-035'11"161L
43Jack IvankovicGBrampton SteelheadsOHL2007-05-226'0"179L
44Cam ReidFWichita ThunderECHL1991-08-256'2"187L
45Eetu OrpanaFTappara U20U20 SM-sarja2007-04-176'0"194L
46Aiden LaneFSt. Andrew's CollegeU18 AAA2007-02-046'1"183R
47Pyotr AndreyanovGKrasnaya Armiya MoskvaMHL2007-01-226'0"207L
48Yegor MurashevFMHK Spartak MoskvaMHL2007-07-205'10"174L
49Adam BenákFYoungstown PhantomsUSHL2007-04-105'7"157L
50Cole ReschnyFVictoria RoyalsWHL2007-04-065'10"183L
51L.J. MooneyFUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-03-085'6"146R
52Viktor KlingsellFSkellefteå AIK J20J20 Nationell2007-02-105'10"183L
53Semyon FrolovGLadia TogliattiMHL2007-01-176'3"172L
54Shamar MosesFBarrie ColtsOHL2007-05-066'1"209R
55Ruslan KarimovFSarnia StingOHL2007-04-276'0"198L
56Cameron SchmidtFVancouver GiantsWHL2007-01-195'8"152R
57David LewandowskiFDüsseldorfer EGDEL2007-02-206'1"172L
58Kashawn AitchesonDBarrie ColtsOHL2006-09-216'0"172L
59Travis HayesFSoo GreyhoundsOHL2007-09-035'11"168R
60Yaroslav BryzgalovFTeam Belarus U18Belarus Vysshaya2007-03-236'3"205L
61Patryk ZubekDBarani Banska Bystrica U20Slovakia U202007-04-186'3"201L
62Tyler HopkinsFKingston FrontenacsOHL2007-01-236'1"185L
63Jan SkokDHC PlzeňCzechia2006-10-316'0"198L
64Jack MurtaghFUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-08-226'0"185L
65Max BleicherDOwen Sound AttackOHL2007-02-146'0"181L
66Asher BarnettDUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-05-166'0"185L
67Caden TaylorFPeterborough PetesOHL2007-03-316'3"185L
68Joshua RavensbergenGPrince George CougarsWHL2006-11-276'4"181R
69Andreas StrakaFHK PopradSlovakia2007-07-046'1"183L
70Zachary MorinFYoungstown PhantomsUSHL2007-01-256'1"187L
71Carter BearFEverett SilvertipsWHL2006-11-046'0"172L
72Donato BraccoDUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-07-265'10"161L
73Drew SchockDUSNTDP JuniorsUSHL2007-02-075'10"159L
74Luca RomanoFKitchener RangersOHL2007-06-255'11"172R
75Maxim AgafonovDTolpar UfaMHL2007-04-106'0"179R
76Nathan BehmFKamloops BlazersWHL2007-04-186'2"198R
77Peyton KettlesDSwift Current BroncosWHL2007-09-016'5"190R
78Braeden CootesFSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL2007-02-095'11"181R
79Lucas KarmirisFMississauga SteelheadsOHL2006-09-275'11"174L
80Lynden LakovicFMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL2006-12-126'4"185L
81Mikkel EriksenFFärjestad BK J20J20 Nationell2007-09-135'11"181L
82Matej PekarFAmbrì-Piotta U20U20-Elit2007-09-085'10"159L
83Tanner LamFKitchener RangersOHL2007-07-145'10"150R
84Kieren DervinFSt. Andrew's CollegeU18 AAA2007-03-316'1"170L
85Vít ZáhejskýFKamloops BlazersWHL2007-08-105'10"170R


From our friend @GermanSpitfire on the prospect boards.

Eight RHD in the first, including six between 22-29. Hensler and Tretheway at 8 and 11. Two more before 40. No goalies in the first, but three in the second+Ravensberg in the early third.

Ridiculously early, but some earlier lists only referenced Huang and the other two. Good to see more RHD talent identified in places the sharks are likely to have some draft capital.

P.s. sorry for catastrophic quoting, I’m on mobile, but want spitfire to get credit (even in this dodgy form!)

 

Grinner

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Thoughts on RD Radim Mrtka?
Worthy of being our pick in the 2nd round?
Too high?
Crazy to think he'd still be available at the top of the 2nd round?
 
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Barrie22

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Thoughts on RD Radim Mrtka?
Worthy of being our pick in the 2nd round?
Too high?
Crazy to think he'd still be available at the top of the 2nd round?
His stats are weird, all of his stats are basically just international tournaments. Does he play in a czech league?
 

Grinner

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His stats are weird, all of his stats are basically just international tournaments. Does he play in a czech league?
I know little about him other than a basic profile. He's big. Seems to play to his size. Pocesses puck handling skills. Or so I read.
 

coooldude

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I know little about him other than a basic profile. He's big. Seems to play to his size. Pocesses puck handling skills. Or so I read.
It's early, but he is on watch lists for mid 1st round to 2nd round. He's one of the D I was tracking for our no-longer VGK pick, but he may be around at 33-35ish. 9 months of hockey left.
 
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matt trick

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There's a lot RHD in 2025, got to think one will be available in the early 30s like Badinka and Elick were this year. Also, we have quite a few prospects, and I anticipate Granlund, Kunin, Sturm, Ruuta, are going to bring in a few picks. Benning, Ferraro, and Walman having two cheap years as a deadline pickup may also interest a few teams. Got to think Grier will be aggressive in using extra capital to move up.

Wouldn't be too disappointed if we kept Granlund. If we could only get a single second, I think I'd prefer to overpay him for two years. Another 50-60 point year and you may get offers of a 1st or 2 2nds, and I think you got to think about moving him at that point.
 

Juxtaposer

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There's a lot RHD in 2025, got to think one will be available in the early 30s like Badinka and Elick were this year. Also, we have quite a few prospects, and I anticipate Granlund, Kunin, Sturm, Ruuta, are going to bring in a few picks. Benning, Ferraro, and Walman having two cheap years as a deadline pickup may also interest a few teams. Got to think Grier will be aggressive in using extra capital to move up.

Wouldn't be too disappointed if we kept Granlund. If we could only get a single second, I think I'd prefer to overpay him for two years. Another 50-60 point year and you may get offers of a 1st or 2 2nds, and I think you got to think about moving him at that point.
I wouldn't hate keeping Granlund if he can be 90% of the player he was last season either, but to play devil's advocate, even getting a late 2nd for Granlund could help us flip that late 2nd for a John Marino type of player. That is to say that starting this season, I think that trading non-1sts to help bolster the D with established vets is the way to go rather than spending 2nds on long-shot RHD that are five years from being impact players even if they hit.
 

Cas

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I wouldn't hate keeping Granlund if he can be 90% of the player he was last season either, but to play devil's advocate, even getting a late 2nd for Granlund could help us flip that late 2nd for a John Marino type of player. That is to say that starting this season, I think that trading non-1sts to help bolster the D with established vets is the way to go rather than spending 2nds on long-shot RHD that are five years from being impact players even if they hit.
I'm also skeptical of Granlund's future, and holding onto him risks losing the opportunity to trade him for anything useful (like Reimer and Barabanov).

He's not going to be a key contributor to the next good Sharks team at his age. It may be worth keeping him another year to help develop the young guys, sure - but that also risks losing out on a mid-2nd and getting nothing (or a scratcher ticket) instead.
 

Juxtaposer

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I'm also skeptical of Granlund's future, and holding onto him risks losing the opportunity to trade him for anything useful (like Reimer and Barabanov).

He's not going to be a key contributor to the next good Sharks team at his age. It may be worth keeping him another year to help develop the young guys, sure - but that also risks losing out on a mid-2nd and getting nothing (or a scratcher ticket) instead.
I think whether or not to trade Granlund is gonna come down to how the season is going by the deadline and how Celebrini and Smith are doing at center. If you move Granlund, your top-9 centers are basically two teenagers and Alex Wennberg, so I don't think you can move Granlund if Celebrini and Smith aren't essentially capable of being the 1C and 2C, unless someone is (as previously mentioned) giving us something stupid like a 1st or two 2nds. But if Celebrini/Smith/Wennberg/Strum can hold down the center slots for the last 20 games AND the new vets like Toffoli/Wennberg/Walman are good enough in the room to hold it down as well, then you can move Granlund for whatever the best offer is.
 
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matt trick

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I think you’ve got Goodrow replacing Sturm as 4C after the deadline, but beyond that, it’s a good argument. The most important part of this year is Celebrini and Smiths development. Next is getting another star in ‘25 draft. Then adding draft capital. Anything after that is gravy.
 

Juxtaposer

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I think you’ve got Goodrow replacing Sturm as 4C after the deadline, but beyond that, it’s a good argument. The most important part of this year is Celebrini and Smiths development. Next is getting another star in ‘25 draft. Then adding draft capital. Anything after that is gravy.
Right, Sturm does probably go at the deadline, if he can get a 3rd rounder then I'd move him, Goodrow is a fine 4C for the last quarter of the season.

To bring this back to the thread topic, I agree with you. My timeline is 2025 top-3 pick (Hagens/Schaefer/Martone are the three top tier guys IMO, don't want to fall out of the top-3), 5-10th place pick in 2026 (win the McKenna lottery :sarcasm:), then I would hope the team would be competing for a playoff spot by 2027.
 
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Star Platinum

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I'm also skeptical of Granlund's future, and holding onto him risks losing the opportunity to trade him for anything useful (like Reimer and Barabanov).

He's not going to be a key contributor to the next good Sharks team at his age. It may be worth keeping him another year to help develop the young guys, sure - but that also risks losing out on a mid-2nd and getting nothing (or a scratcher ticket) instead.
I'm pretty ambivalent about a mid-2nd, which is a lottery scratcher draft-wise. I could take or leave that trade and hope to re-sign him. If we could get a late first or better, I do that every time, but that might be wishful thinking.
 

Cas

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I'm pretty ambivalent about a mid-2nd, which is a lottery scratcher draft-wise. I could take or leave that trade and hope to re-sign him. If we could get a late first or better, I do that every time, but that might be wishful thinking.
I think that's wishful thinking, and a mid-2nd is a good enough return for a player of Granlund's caliber and asset value.

We'll have to see if Celebrini and Smith are ready by mid-season, of course. Unfortunately, Granlund's also likely our only premium deadline asset.
 
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Star Platinum

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I think that's wishful thinking, and a mid-2nd is a good enough return for a player of Granlund's caliber and asset value.

We'll have to see if Celebrini and Smith are ready by mid-season, of course. Unfortunately, Granlund's also likely our only premium deadline asset.
I don't think it matters much whether Celebrini and Smith are "ready" (ready for what? to deserve to be on an NHL roster? to be 1st/2nd line centers that wouldn't look out of place on any low-end playoff team?). The goal of the team isn't to make the playoffs in 2025 and maybe not even 2026 so I'm not thinking in terms of either of them having to reach a certain level of productivity by a cutoff date that's during this season. So long as they look like they belong on the same ice as other NHL players, I'm fine with them centering the first and second lines immediately and living with the results. I want them developed, not coddled and I don't give a damn about keeping last year's first line intact.
 
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Eklund72

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I don't think it matters much whether Celebrin and Smith are "ready" (ready for what? to deserve to be on an NHL roster? to be 1st/2nd line centers that wouldn't look out of place on any low-end playoff team?). The goal of the team isn't to make the playoffs in 2025 and maybe not even 2026 so I'm not thinking in terms of either of them having to reach a certain level of productivity by a cutoff date that's during this season. So long as they look like they belong on the same ice as other NHL players, I'm fine with them centering the first and second lines immediately and living with the results. I want them developed, not coddled and I don't give a damn about keeping last year's first line intact.
The problem with them playing top line minutes is they will face top line competition. Eklund started the season off slow with Hertl and they moved him down the line up where he gained confidence. Then they moved him back up to the top line as he got used to the level of play. He also had years of pro experience. I expect Celebrini and Smith to start the 2nd and 3rd lines because of this and if they succeed move them up to higher lines
 

coooldude

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Lots of back and forth across multiple threads about how people think we're going to do this year. Last year I enjoyed the poll/thread on win projections and revisiting it as the year went on. Do people want me/someone to post that again this season and we can target conversation about forecasts/betting there?

<45 points or <15 wins
46-50pts or 16-20 wins
51-55pts or 21-25 wins
56-60pts
61-65pts or 26-30 wins
65+ pts or 30+ wins (ish)
 
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Barrie22

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Lots of back and forth across multiple threads about how people think we're going to do this year. Last year I enjoyed the poll/thread on win projections and revisiting it as the year went on. Do people want me/someone to post that again this season and we can target conversation about forecasts/betting there?

<45 points or <15 wins
46-50pts or 16-20 wins
51-55pts or 21-25 wins
56-60pts
61-65pts or 26-30 wins
65+ pts or 30+ wins (ish)
I liked that poll. But would be better doing points this year, as i see the team not really winning more games per say but being more competitive which usually leads to more OT/shootout losses.
 
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