I don't know how anyone can seriously say there is little doubt that a draft year player will be anything less than 40 goal guy. Were not talking about a player with an already highly translable game like Matthews or Bédard hère.
Laine was a far better prospect as a goal scorer, better shot, better physical tools and he's done it only once, while constantly being criticized for the holes in his game.
Then you have someone like Svechnikov who was goal per game in the OHL outside of the few games he came back for injury and he's yet to score more than 30 goals.
As far Eiserman goes, I can see multiple paths where he's not a 40 goal scorer.