I just don't understand how you can gauge Demidov playing against that competition. Who was the last major prospect drafted out of Russia that wasn't in the KHL? I feel like there's huge bust potential here.
I don’t think anyone has ever been drafted Top 5 out of the MHL only.
That's my issue with the pick being Demidov. This pick essentially has to be a homerun. It needs to be the Kane to the Toews pick. That's a whole hell of a lot to gamble on a kid playing in a trash league against awful competition. It's like betting on a 4-legged horse to win a race against a field of 3-legged horses.
What makes it a more difficult comparison is in year's past, a Russian eager to prove his NA-willingness would come over and play in Canadian Juniors. Svechnikov was a solid 2nd overall pick in 2018 and played in Barrie in his Draft year, and even prior to that was playing for Muskegon before he was import draft eligible. That path was not available for Demidov, so he was more or less trapped in the MHL since St. Petersburg felt like jerking him around same as they have done to Michkov.
For what it's worth, a kid like Daniil But split time in the KHL/MHL in his draft year (2022-23) but was mostly in the MHL (32 MHL games vs. 15 KHL games). He was exactly 1 PPG in the MHL and went 12th in the Draft. There's not a lot of great comparisons, But, Miroshnichenko, Yurov, Svechkov, Chinakhov all paid dues in the MHL, and Demidov is a much better prospect than all of them. You'll struggle to get an apples to apples comparison because Demidov is just a lot better than recent Russian forward prospects other than Michkov who signed a long extension. If a player is in a lesser junior league because of geographic restrictions, all you can ask him to do is stand head and shoulders in it, which Demidov has done.
Drafting a kid based on junior league is a bit like picking NCAA March Madness teams based on what conference they are in. I understand the desire to use it as a proxy, but you really have to look at everyone individually to make proper assessments.