mind you, if right now we are winning because of the D and helle, wouldn't it be an opportune time to play around with the forward groups?
Interestingly, I've read that that biggest predictor of success of a team is goal differential at all stregths.
Yes I can see that as the reasoning or influencer for team wins. but traditional +/- is not the same as all strengths either.
I guess you could lobby the NHL to change the way they count stats? The thing is when you are 6-5 the team with 5 skaters scores far more often with the team with 6 skaters. It is detrimental in most situations stats wise to be out their with 6 skaters.
I'm sure for that length of time, Chevy would go out and acquire just that. But let's say he doesn't or can't. I still think that would be fair because the purpose of this scenario is to show whether Chevy is the brilliant team builder that some here make him out to be, or did his ass get saved because he lucked into Helly. And make no mistake, it was just blind, stupid luck. Helly appeared on the Jets radar because he happened to be playing against the goalie our scouts were actually there to watch. And then to get him in the 5th round? And the fact that no other goalie we've acquired through draft or trade or free agency has even come close to being above average at the NHL level? Nope, this was horseshoes up Chevy's ass all the way.
Lol what a cop out of a response to my OP. Just filled with hyperbole or reaches of projections on to posters on this board. literally no one has made threads of that sort, no one is arguing changing the 5v5 config of what is driving this team's wins - bottom-6 or goaltending. anyway you must've found it unfathomable then when the Jets moved away from a top line duo that went 19-4-3 (0.79 pts%) last year i guess. & yeah jeez great discovery and way to step out on a limb there that a team with the same goaltender, nearly entirely same starting line up as the team that hit 110 pts is expected to do well again.
That's fair point with Scheif. We really do have no one who can take on the role he can.
not a full season. but he started 18-19 with Scheifele & Wheeler. that was the year Laine had that crazy month with Little and Connor. he got hurt in January, and they kind of never really went back to that line.
stay on topic please.... oh wait
They wouldn’t. But next year Lambert, Yager and Kulich would compete for the spot and that’s a nice group with a good chance at producing what Jets need.
stay on topic please.... oh wait
with 1 year remaining on his contract he ain't getting a bonafide 2C at that age-range in my guess-timation. i don't think there's many teams that have high caliber Cs at that age range readily available. if the Jets are trading ehlers it's likely b/c they're out of a PO spot around the TDL, and he's probably returning your typical PO team's caliber 1st round pick/prospect equivalent and some other stuff from there. The Jets seldom make player(s)-for-player(s) in-season & usually there's other circumstances surrounding or leading up to the transaction.
I can see a scenario where it *could* happen...
Ok, so why then?
- Maybe his shifts are shorter because the Jets are less likely to be hemmed in when Ehlers is out there and so he gets the opportunity to change - whereas Scheifele and Connor often don't get the chance to change on time since they can get stuck in their own end for long shifts.
- For the situational risk thing...
When the Jets are tied at 5v5 over the last 3 seasons and Ehlers is on the ice, the Jets outscore the opposition 63.53%. With Connor, it's 52.38%. With Scheifele, it's 50.39%. Ehlers has a higher GF/60 and a lower GA/60 than either of those guys.
When the Jets are up 1 at 5v5, last 3 seasons and Ehlers is on the ice, the Jets outscore the opposition 59.62%. With Connor, it's 53.23%. With Scheif it's 50.77%. And again, Ehlers has a higher GF/60 and lower GA/60 than those two.
Ah, but when the Jets are down 1, Ehlers on ice...still leads in GF/60, but he's 5th in GA/60 and is tied for 3rd in GF%. Scheifele actually has really respectable GA/60 when down 1 - just 2.15 (vs. Ehlers 2.67 and Connor at 3.03) - but his xGA is the worst among the forwards, so it seems like that might just be good luck.
Anyway, if Ehlers actually were more risky than Connor/Scheifele in any situation it would be reflected in the stats.
- I mean, maybe the team has some black box stats we don't know and they're making lineup decisions based on that...but this seems more like decision based evidence making than vice versa.
- Regarding the uniformity...I mean, seems like a dumb idea designed to not take advantage of individual strengths. Then again, I always said that Maurice wanted 4 Lowry lines (or a CSW line and 3 Lowry lines), so maybe?
Ok, well, how about this?
Even then, I doubt they'll trade Ehlers. I think in that situation presented they'll probably view Lambert as the tdl acquisition.
