GDT: 2024-25 season game 3 LA Kings vs Ottawa Senators @10:00am (Again) 10/14/24

GoldenBearHockey

Registered User
Jan 6, 2014
10,149
4,259
Agreed although in theory it could go the other way on any trade. So for example 3 months later Iafallo costs a 1st rd pick to dump him. So, what the assets could get at a later date (in any trade) could be better or worse than what they garner in the moment.

So I think you can only assess in the moment rather than ‘what ifs’ and in the moment it was bad - just an opinion obviously.

Agreed, I think people are misconstruing what I am saying though,

The trade was bad, the thought process behind the trade was perfectly fine, and what you want from your management group, as a player of the team.

The trade was worse in hindsight, because the evaluation of Dubois clearly ended up on the, we can fix him side, and they were clearly wrong. But you want your management team to take shots like that.
 

All The Kings Men

Registered User
Apr 7, 2016
2,271
5,407
Agreed although in theory it could go the other way on any trade. So for example 3 months later Iafallo costs a 1st rd pick to dump him. So, what the assets could get at a later date (in any trade) could be better or worse than what they garner in the moment.

So I think you can only assess in the moment rather than ‘what ifs’ and in the moment it was bad - just an opinion obviously.
I disagree completely.

I think professional sports has a long history of terrible mistakes and moves and I think it's because of attitudes like that.

If you want to evaluate something and then learn anything of value from it you should be intelectually honest and rigorous and not constantly trying to find the easy solutions that make it more fun to root for things.

Not crapping on you specifically.... just MY opinion.
 

All The Kings Men

Registered User
Apr 7, 2016
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The trade was bad, the thought process behind the trade was perfectly fine, and what you want from your management group, as a player of the team.
The road to hell is paved with thought processes that were fine.

That's why people evaluate the impact of things. To improve thought processes moving forward.

The trade was a gamble and the stakes were significant.
The trade was worse in hindsight, because the evaluation of Dubois clearly ended up on the, we can fix him side, and they were clearly wrong. But you want your management team to take shots like that.
That's PART of why the trade was worse in hindsight.
 

GoldenBearHockey

Registered User
Jan 6, 2014
10,149
4,259
I disagree completely.

I think professional sports has a long history of terrible mistakes and moves and I think it's because of attitudes like that.

If you want to evaluate something and then learn anything of value from it you should be intelectually honest and rigorous and not constantly trying to find the easy solutions that make it more fun to root for things.

Not crapping on you specifically.... just MY opinion.

Terrible mistakes and moves based on what?

LA traded their 1st back in 79/80 whatever it was, had the chance to acquire Bourque, was that a terrible move? Yea, we know it is now, at the time?

What exactly are you supposed to learn from that?

The PLD trade, terrible trade, absolutely, but the process was there, they took a shot and missed, what exactly are you expecting them to learn, not to take shots?

The road to hell is paved with thought processes that were fine.

That's why people evaluate the impact of things. To improve thought processes moving forward.

The trade was a gamble and the stakes were significant.

That's PART of why the trade was worse in hindsight.

Dude, every trade is a gamble.....
 

All The Kings Men

Registered User
Apr 7, 2016
2,271
5,407
Terrible mistakes and moves based on what?
The history of sports?

Babe Ruth, Bill Russell, Kobe Bryant for Vlade Divac, Herschel Walker... c'mon dude.

The history of sports is full of foolish mistakes and bad moves.
LA traded their 1st back in 79/80 whatever it was, had the chance to acquire Bourque, was that a terrible move? Yea, we know it is now, at the time?

What exactly are you supposed to learn from that?
That sports has a terrible history of short sighted transactions excused by attitudes like that?

What's the margin between perennial winners and teams like the Clippers or Sabres?
The PLD trade, terrible trade, absolutely, but the process was there, they took a shot and missed, what exactly are you expecting them to learn, not to take shots?
This is not a serious sentence.
Dude, every trade is a gamble.....
but not every "gamble" is the same and to ignore any attempt at further evaluation is short sighted and I'm actually done now.

Sorry for the thread derailment everybody. Or whatever.
 
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tigermask48

Maniacal Laugh
Mar 10, 2004
3,908
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R'Lyeh, Antarctica
I disagree completely.

I think professional sports has a long history of terrible mistakes and moves and I think it's because of attitudes like that.

If you want to evaluate something and then learn anything of value from it you should be intelectually honest and rigorous and not constantly trying to find the easy solutions that make it more fun to root for things.

Not crapping on you specifically.... just MY opinion.
Not just your opinion. This really is the way people should look at assets in sports. It's something a lot of us, including myself, can be better at around here.

It' is part of why, while I don't always agree with people, I do value your viewpoint as an insider, or johnjm's analytical approach, etc.
 

bland

Registered User
Jul 1, 2004
7,797
11,766
I know we all love the trades and news and individual players as fans, but the health of an organization isn't determined by those moves or their results. The results shift and change depending on the time they are viewed compounded by others varying factors that aren't really related to that one move.

You need to widen your view and look at WHY the decisions were made, its so much more revealing than WHAT was done. The Kings have had a broken model since Blake was hired. They incorrectly read the terrain and made choices based on a flawed understanding of their place in the league. Some of those individual moves worked, a whole lot of them didn't - but it's the reasons that they were made that has consistently been misguided at best, incompetent at worst.

The reason I point at the Faber/Fiala deal as being SO much worse than Dubois was its intention. The move was a continuation of the poor read that lead to the Danault and Arvidsson acquisitions. The team was nowhere near ready to start bringing in veteran impact players into the supporting roles that should have gone to the kids. It fractured the developmental plans, damaged the confidence of the kids, and had absolutely zero chance of working. The Fiala deal was the first one that cost the team a MASSIVE cornerstone piece of moving forward so the rebuild would actually mean something. It signified that they weren't going to accept the amount of time it was going to take to organically build a franchise capable of winning.

The plan here is the problem, the subsequent moves are honestly irrelevant. If it's not going to work, it's not going to work regardless of the cost put into the band-aid solutions.
 

GoldenBearHockey

Registered User
Jan 6, 2014
10,149
4,259
I know we all love the trades and news and individual players as fans, but the health of an organization isn't determined by those moves or their results. The results shift and change depending on the time they are viewed compounded by others varying factors that aren't really related to that one move.

You need to widen your view and look at WHY the decisions were made, its so much more revealing than WHAT was done. The Kings have had a broken model since Blake was hired. They incorrectly read the terrain and made choices based on a flawed understanding of their place in the league. Some of those individual moves worked, a whole lot of them didn't - but it's the reasons that they were made that has consistently been misguided at best, incompetent at worst.

The reason I point at the Faber/Fiala deal as being SO much worse than Dubois was its intention. The move was a continuation of the poor read that lead to the Danault and Arvidsson acquisitions. The team was nowhere near ready to start bringing in veteran impact players into the supporting roles that should have gone to the kids. It fractured the developmental plans, damaged the confidence of the kids, and had absolutely zero chance of working. The Fiala deal was the first one that cost the team a MASSIVE cornerstone piece of moving forward so the rebuild would actually mean something. It signified that they weren't going to accept the amount of time it was going to take to organically build a franchise capable of winning.

The plan here is the problem, the subsequent moves are honestly irrelevant. If it's not going to work, it's not going to work regardless of the cost put into the band-aid solutions.

That's a whole different argument of should they be taking the shots at all vs when they should
 

johnjm22

Pseudo Intellectual
Aug 2, 2005
20,706
17,292
Building a contender is about timing. Everything needs to come together at the right TIME.

Kopitar and Doughty are too old. Byfield and Clarke are too young.

This is what happens when you don't have good long term plan that you're sticking to.
 

King'sPawn

Enjoy the chaos
Jul 1, 2003
22,754
23,058
Building a contender is about timing. Everything needs to come together at the right TIME.

Kopitar and Doughty are too old. Byfield and Clarke are too young.

This is what happens when you don't have good long term plan that you're sticking to.
Clarke is in his D+4 season. Doughty was in his D+4 season when the Kings won their first cup.

Byfield is in his D+5 season. Kopitar was in his D+7 year.

They just feel younger because of how new they are to being focal points in the org.

Your point remains the same - the Kings haven't committed to a long-term plan, but the age of the players is just an optical illusion.
 

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