Spot on. Rotation is clearly Bloom's weak point.
I've really come to believe that bullpens are dependent on their rotations. If you have a great rotation that gives you 6 plus innings on a regular basis which limits the overuse and exposure of middle relievers, you're most likely to have a great bullpen too. If you have pitchers who can't get out of the 4th and have a designed bullpen game every 5th day, you're going to burn through arms.
So whenever people in here go on about the bLoOm BuLlPeN1!1 I think it's more a consequence of the Bloom Rotation.
Bello is your #1. Paxton's been very good but slowing down from his hot start (might need a rest to reset). Kutter surprisingly serviceable. Sale when healthy okay.
If they just rounded that out by keeping one of Eovaldi or Wacha instead of Kluber, they're probably in a WC spot. if they kept both and had a rotation of Bello-Sale-Eovaldi-Wacha-Paxton-Crawford they're definitely in. That also would let them use Houck in a much more efficient bullpen swingman role and limit exposure on Whitlock and Martin.
Building a pitching staff for the regular season is a math problem. There are 1,458 innings a year plus maybe a dozen for games that go into extras. Maximize the amount of those innings to be thrown by effective pitchers, minimize the amount of innings being eaten by scrubs. With the playoffs and big games I admit the human factor where you need guys with icewater in their veins in big spots. But you've gotta get to October first and this staff was set up to fail.
37 Quality Starts this season, tells you all you really need to know.
I agree with your post 100%.
@DKH as well, however I don't agree with Bello-Sale-Eovaldi-Wacha-Paxton-Crawford being good enough. But I'm not a Sox fan and don't have a dog in this fight. I AM a baseball guy and do know a thing or 2 about pitching though, so humor me for a second....
Bello isn't a #1 yet. He's made a major step up from last year, and he's finally learned to actually Pitch vs Throw, and use his stuff to set up hitters instead of just going up there and throwing whatever is called and hoping for the best. He's got potential to be a #2-#3 guy in a good rotation, but I don't see him as a true staff ace, until he can show he can be effective against left handed hitters. They are killing him this year.
Sale is done. He can't consistently go above 90 pitches anymore and he's a strikeout guy who throws a lot of pitches per inning. Not a good combination. Get whatever you can for him and move on.
Eovaldi is another #2-#3 guy with durability concerns. Wacha and Paxton are solid middle-bottom of the rotation guys. I actually like Crawford alot. If he can improve his command just a little bit, I think he might be the best of the current bunch.
Bottom line, is the Sox need a legit #1 and probably a #2 rolling into next season if they wanna make some noise in the Post Season.