Speculation: 2023-24-25 Sharks Roster Discussion

fasterthanlight

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I would take Marleau's career, but when it comes to peak/prime, I'd probably take Backstrom, Pietrangelo, Reinhart, and Jones over Marleau.
(It's Griffin Reinhart)

Not sure how Jones is in this group... And I agree that Backstrom and Pietrangelo are closest, but I think I still take marleaus best seasons over theirs.

I understand where the "marleau is a complementary player" argument comes from, but if a player drafted at 4th overall becomes that level of complementary player for even half the duration marleau did, you're doing better than at least 12/14 other 4th overalls, if not 14/14 (from 2000-2014)
 
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Barrie22

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Faceoffs matter

Defense matters

Penalty killing matters

Forchecking matters

Physicality matters

There is more to the game than scoring

Well, not for Will Smith, that's his entire game, he just isn't very good at it yet
Defense matters, what defense does goodrow play? Must be the same kind of defense as ferraro plays where defending air is good.
 

Jargon

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I think actually Kostin going down with injury was a bigger deal than Goodrow not being in the lineup. Kostin had a very good run there and allowed us to create 3 fairly strong lines. When he went down, we had to start filling middle six holes with 4th line players (while playing the best teams in the league) and it messed everything up.

Regardless, I promise you Smith will have multiple runs this year where he’s really good and people are gonna be like OH I WAS WRONG HE FIGURED IT OUT and then he’ll have moments where he’s bad and we’ll have 3 pages of discussion on whether he’s a bust.

The point here is that he is 19 and not Celebrini, just… wait.
 
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coooldude

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Thats like every 4th liner in the league, most dont do anything but skate hard.
Most 4th liners lit it up in juniors and even some in the AHL. In fact most of them were probably their team's best player up to and until they played in the league. Dellandrea was a mid first round pick. Sturm was a scorer. Kostin, Kunin, etc. turns out, playing a responsible NHL game is hard, doing that AND scoring even 0.5-0.7 PPG is very very hard.

Graf would not look good on this team. He would maybe look like Cardwell, or maybe not. The thing about replacement level players is, their replacements aren't better.

It's incredible to say, but this team is missing Kostin. Our best lines were when he was an option. We're also missing a good Granlund. He's looked off since the head shots.

And, we were missing our #1d last night and Ferraro had to try to play that role.
 

weastern bias

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Defense matters, what defense does goodrow play? Must be the same kind of defense as ferraro plays where defending air is good.
That was a response to the specific claim "most 4th liners need premier linemates and deployment to be effective" and you cherrypicked the one thing on the list Goodrow doesn't bring as a 'gotcha'

He still brings quality PK ability, is an effective forchecker and puck retriever, willingly and credibility engages with his opponents in the physical game, gives his line a secondary faceoff option, and he provides a wealth of experience for young players to learn from and lean on, his even-strength defense has slipped noticeably yet he still provides plenty to be desired in a depth role
 

Barrie22

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That was a response to the specific claim "most 4th liners need premier linemates and deployment to be effective" and you cherrypicked the one thing on the list Goodrow doesn't bring as a 'gotcha'

He still brings quality PK ability, is an effective forchecker and puck retriever, willingly and credibility engages with his opponents in the physical game, gives his line a secondary faceoff option, and he provides a wealth of experience for young players to learn from and lean on, his even-strength defense has slipped noticeably yet he still provides plenty to be desired in a depth role
He is also the 7th choice for the pk. So using him as the big reason for a middle of the pack pk is overstating his usage there also.

Goodrow missed 5 games and in that time went 78% on the pk, right at its season average for the pk. So the pk didn't even miss a beat, and that time missed was against caps, lightning, florida, 2 top 5 power plays and a 15th pp teams.

And every other thing you say he is in the lineup for doesn't actually help his linemates as everything else he is supposedly good at needs to be able to get into the offensive zone to have any use and goodrow is always pinned into the defensive zone no matter which part of the lineup he plays in. Even celebrini could not get him out of the defensive zone in the times he gets promoted to the top line.
 

one2gamble

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Faceoffs matter

Defense matters

Penalty killing matters

Forchecking matters

Physicality matters

There is more to the game than scoring

Well, not for Will Smith, that's his entire game, he just isn't very good at it yet
you're unnecessarily hyper critical of Smith for no good reason. Everyone knew he would need quality linemates to be successful this year. Most people who watched him said he would need quality linemates his entire career because of how his game is structured. You want to turn him into something he has never been, everyone else just wants him to get an opportunity to learn what works and what doesnt at the NHL level. Hes not going to learn that with 4th liners flubbing what should be working, hes going to learn to not make those plays, which is what we dont want.
 

TheBeard

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If smith doesn’t wanna play with 4th liners then he shouldn’t play like a 4th liner. He’s gotta earn a better opportunity and right now he’s not no matter how many excuses some of you want to make for his predicament. If he spends the entire year on the 4th line then so be it. He’s 19. He’ll be smarter and stronger and more determined coming into camp next year.
 

BaileyMacTavish

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If smith doesn’t wanna play with 4th liners then he shouldn’t play like a 4th liner. He’s gotta earn a better opportunity and right now he’s not no matter how many excuses some of you want to make for his predicament. If he spends the entire year on the 4th line then so be it. He’s 19. He’ll be smarter and stronger and more determined coming into camp next year.
I mean I guess. He needs to be better but honestly he should just go down to the AHL if we're just gonna make him play woth plugs. If he turns into a 4th line grinder, we are f***ed. Sabres are similarly dicking around with Benson and he looks like garbage.
 

Barrie22

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If smith doesn’t wanna play with 4th liners then he shouldn’t play like a 4th liner. He’s gotta earn a better opportunity and right now he’s not no matter how many excuses some of you want to make for his predicament. If he spends the entire year on the 4th line then so be it. He’s 19. He’ll be smarter and stronger and more determined coming into camp next year.
Most of the possession stats show that smith is actually one of the top forwards on this team.

But he turns the puck over every once in a while like every other player on the team, even Celebrini. And he needs to be relegated to the land of no talented linemates to some how make him better offensively and defensively.
 
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TheBeard

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I mean I guess. He needs to be better but honestly he should just go down to the AHL if we're just gonna make him play woth plugs. If he turns into a 4th line grinder, we are f***ed. Sabres are similarly dicking around with Benson and he looks like garbage.
I think what matters is having him play with the same guys consistently, not moving him around or constantly changing line mates for everyone. Its hard enough learning the league without also having to learn the nuances of new linemates every game

Most of the possession stats show that smith is actually one of the top forwards on this team.

But he turns the puck over every once in a while like every other player on the team, even Celebrini. And he needs to be relegated to the land of no talented linemates to some how make him better offensively and defensively.
What does the unbiased eye test tell you?

I'm fine with giving him an undue opportunity on the top line, but he'll have, like 3 games to really show he should stay there.
 

Barrie22

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I think what matters is having him play with the same guys consistently, not moving him around or constantly changing line mates for everyone. Its hard enough learning the league without also having to learn the nuances of new linemates every game


What does the unbiased eye test tell you?
That he is playing as good as he can with the garbage he is being asked to play with.

As of right now smith is being asked to carry his own line offensively. And 90% of the time he is being dragged down by players that once they get the puck they dump it in and turn it over by not being good enough to get the puck back on the forecheck.
 

TheBeard

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That he is playing as good as he can with the garbage he is being asked to play with.

As of right now smith is being asked to carry his own line offensively. And 90% of the time he is being dragged down by players that once they get the puck they dump it in and turn it over by not being good enough to get the puck back on the forecheck.
Personally, I don't think he's being asked to do anything right now. The team is actually just letting him play without being asked to do anything. Perhaps, he's being bogged down by lesser talents as a way to understand what he can and cannot get away with in terms of taking chances. Awareness of your line mates and your opponent should always factor into decision-making, so it's a lot to process at the spur of the moment. Cut down on the egregious turnovers and I think War will start giving him greater opportunity.

At some point though you do have to accept that some of Will's struggles may also be because he's just not an NHLer yet. This shit takes time, so it's not an insult or a "braindead" take to acknowledge that.
 

Barrie22

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Personally, I don't think he's being asked to do anything right now. The team is actually just letting him play without being asked to do anything. Perhaps, he's being bogged down by lesser talents as a way to understand what he can and cannot get away with in terms of taking chances. Awareness of your line mates and your opponent should always factor into decision-making, so it's a lot to process at the spur of the moment. Cut down on the egregious turnovers and I think War will start giving him greater opportunity.

At some point though you do have to accept that some of Will's struggles may also be because he's just not an NHLer yet. This shit takes time, so it's not an insult or a "braindead" take to acknowledge that.
Smith has shown he can be an nhl player if he is not asked to be the best player on his line, as it should be from a rookie. But 90% of this season the coaching staff has put him on a line that even as a rookie he is still the best player on the line, goodrow, sturm, grundstom, kunin (before he found his game again).

This entire conversation was spun ad nauseum at the start of the season and then the coaching staff finally decided to put him on a line with actual nhl talent and he went off for 7 points in 4 games and +6. Then he gets hurt and comes back to the same old garbage and like clock work he starts to struggle.

The way this coaching staff is treating smith is not the way you treat a rookie. Key word being rookie.
 

OverTheLine

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What does the unbiased eye test tell you?
My eye test isn't saying he's doing great, but that's very different from what people are saying here, which is he doesn't look like an NHLer and should be sent down.

Smith is invisible often, makes mistakes, and is playing pretty rookie-level hockey. But he's not even close to being the worst player on our roster or the player who most doesn't 'look like an NHLer.' Smith is absolutely contributing more on ice than, oh, I don't know, the guy who has three points and is -17 in 32 games and got to play on the top line for absolutely no reason. When Smith got an opportunity with Granlund, he put up 7 points in 4 games and looked genuinely good. Goodrow has never looked good this entire season in any capacity, either offensively as a top line player or defensively as a checking forward in the bottom six. If Smith doesn't look like an NHLer, neither does half our roster and nobody's calling for them to get banished to the Barracuda.

He's showing flashes and he's learning the game, which is the whole point of the development process. Nobody is going to look good next to the season Celebrini is having which is the best rookie season since McDavid.
 

TheBeard

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My eye test isn't saying he's doing great, but that's very different from what people are saying here, which is he doesn't look like an NHLer and should be sent down.

Smith is invisible often, makes mistakes, and is playing pretty rookie-level hockey. But he's not even close to being the worst player on our roster or the player who most doesn't 'look like an NHLer.' Smith is absolutely contributing more on ice than, oh, I don't know, the guy who has three points and is -17 in 32 games and got to play on the top line for absolutely no reason. When Smith got an opportunity with Granlund, he put up 7 points in 4 games and looked genuinely good. Goodrow has never looked good this entire season in any capacity, either offensively as a top line player or defensively as a checking forward in the bottom six. If Smith doesn't look like an NHLer, neither does half our roster and nobody's calling for them to get banished to the Barracuda.

He's showing flashes and he's learning the game, which is the whole point of the development process. Nobody is going to look good next to the season Celebrini is having which is the best rookie season since McDavid.
Oh, I agree with that. Sending him down serves no purpose unless his confidence is completely shot (which only the coaching staff would know). Smith has had other opportunities, has flashed on occasion and has struggled at others. I’m assuming most of the decision making is done based on what war sees in practice versus in the games. I also agree he’s shown flashes and is learning, which is why I said in a post that I have no issues with slow-playing him this year.
 
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TheBeard

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Smith has shown he can be an nhl player if he is not asked to be the best player on his line, as it should be from a rookie. But 90% of this season the coaching staff has put him on a line that even as a rookie he is still the best player on the line, goodrow, sturm, grundstom, kunin (before he found his game again).

This entire conversation was spun ad nauseum at the start of the season and then the coaching staff finally decided to put him on a line with actual nhl talent and he went off for 7 points in 4 games and +6. Then he gets hurt and comes back to the same old garbage and like clock work he starts to struggle.

The way this coaching staff is treating smith is not the way you treat a rookie. Key word being rookie.
The way they’re treating smith is pretty typical of how they’re treating a rookie. In fact many organizations probably would have sent him down after the first ten games or so. The reality is there is no foolproof template with how to deal with kids, but claiming the 4 game hot streak where everyone everywhere was clicking is more indicative of Smiths play this season than the other 30 or so is a tad overly-optimistic. Again, I’ve said it before, he’s a kid and the NHL adjustment has been tough. I have little doubt he’ll thrive down the road.
 
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alot of this discussion boils down to

1. a lack of experience as a SJ with having a top level rookie come in at 19 without guys like Thornton/Patty to "protect" against top level competition. I think Hertls the only 19 year old i can remember in the last 15 years besides Smith/Celebrini

2. Celebrini setting unrealistic comparisons standards

3. A genuine hatred of Barclay Goodrow despite by most accounts him being beloved in the locker room.
 

coooldude

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Edit: per suggestion above, posted my comment here

 

weastern bias

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you're unnecessarily hyper critical of Smith for no good reason. Everyone knew he would need quality linemates to be successful this year. Most people who watched him said he would need quality linemates his entire career because of how his game is structured. You want to turn him into something he has never been, everyone else just wants him to get an opportunity to learn what works and what doesnt at the NHL level. Hes not going to learn that with 4th liners flubbing what should be working, hes going to learn to not make those plays, which is what we dont want.
I am not hyper critical of Will Smith, I am honest about what he brings to the table at this point in his development, he's about where we should expect him to be at this stage which is that he is not an NHL caliber contributor but he is too good to have stayed in college

I have also repeatedly said that it is not a concern and that it does not mean he won't develop into a useful player in the future

There shouldn't be a taboo about making an honest assessment of a young player just because it isn't glowing praise, he's not good yet and it's not a big deal, I just won't lie about it
 
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LilLeeroy

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I am not hyper critical of Will Smith, I am honest about what he brings to the table at this point in his development, he's about where we should expect him to be at this stage which is that he is not an NHL caliber contributor but he is too good to have stayed in college

I have also repeatedly said that it is not a concern and that it does not mean he won't develop into a useful player in the future

There shouldn't be a taboo about making an honest assessment of a young player just because it isn't glowing praise, he's not good yet and it's not a big deal, I just won't lie about it
I mean he's never been the worst player on his own line for an extended period of time and how a two week stretch where he was arguably our best player with Granlund. Calling him not an NHL contributor because parts of his game need a lot of work is overly critical.
 

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