To be clear, I'm not advocating for bottoming out. I don't think trading Buch would be bottoming out because we'd still have too many good players to really tank. Trading Buch accomplishes 3 things: we don't have to sign him to a long contract that will likely feel a lot like Schenn's contract half way through it, we get whatever assets we get in a trade, and we draft higher next year. I've liked the guy since he was Ranger, but what does extending him well into his 30s accomplish? When we last extended Schenn, we could at least say we're ignoring the bad second half of that contract to contend better during the first half.
Gives a much better environment for our younger guys to come in to. Allows us to at least have a chance at the playoffs. Also eases up the need for younger players to have to jump into positions they aren't really suited for yet. Schenn should realistically be filling this role in a perfect world. But I don't have alot of faith that he can do so without the team sinking.
Thomas has generally played his best hockey while playing with Buch. I don't think we can realistically expect Thomas to take another step if we remove Buch.
There's certainly pros to keeping him. Just have to see if it outweighs the cons. I think if they do move it'll be at the trade deadline for alot of these reasons. Figure when Steen takes over, Faulk/Krug will have one more season if not moved. Schenn I think 2 more years. Binnington 1 more year. Cap will be even higher.
The only cap commitments we realistically will have are to Thomas, Kyrou, Parayko = 23m
1 year of Krug/Faulk/Binnington = 19m
2 years of Schenn = 6.5m
Neighbors extension ~ 4-5m
Buchnevich ~7-8m
Bolduc, Snuggerud will probably be bridged by that point in time.
Dvorsky will most likely be a year from needing and extension.
We have a plethora of other guys that will be on pretty team friendly deals.
That cap hit of Buch most likely isn't going to be too much of a hinderance to reshaping the defense. I think you're going to need to either bring in a vet via trade or via free agency with the amount of youngsters.
What we'd probably get from Buch would be similar to a pick in the 25-32 range, a mid round pick and a prospect that would probably not crack our current top 10 maybe even 15 prospects.
It's alot to weigh. In my mind the main benefit for moving Buch right now would be to try and position better to secure a top 5 pick - still unlikely, and to allow a spot for a young guy to play in the top 6. But we don't really have anyone that's in the age range aside from Neighbors to need that extra playing time. Buch is versatile enough to slide up and down the lineup at all 3 forward spots that I don't think he'd block someone.