Prospect Info: 2022 Draft Prospects, Part II

StevenToddIves

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could they trade down if Jiricek is gone and maybe get an undervalued Gauthier and a shot at Chesley? Is that realistic?

Trading down is why we should root for the Devils to win the lottery. It is not impossible that Arizona would offer, say, the #2 overall pick plus the earlier of the two other first-round picks they've acquired in trades.

But of course that's a pipe dream. If I'm drafting #7 and Gauthier is my guy, I'm definitely working the phones a bit but I'm not willing to go past #10. Some team will fall in love with Geekie's size/talent enough to ignore his inconsistency and really want him, or some team will fall in love with Kemell's ability to become similar to what the Devils have in Alexander Holtz.

However, Gauthier is unlikely to fall down to the range where he is commonly seen by many draft bureaus. I have him at #7 overall, Steve Kournianos has him at #6. A fair indication might be the McKenzie Scout Poll, which has Gauthier at #13. So, I'm not really f---ing around too much. If Detroit wants to give us their 2nd round pick and a 4th to move up from #10 and get Kemell, then sure, but that's probably as far as I'd be willing to go.
 

Guttersniped

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Here's a new mini mock with the Devils falling to #7 overall:

1 ARI C Wright
2 MTL LW Slafkovsky
3 SEA RD Jiricek
4 BUF RD Nemec
5 OTT C Cooley
6 PHI C Savoie
7 NJ LW Gauthier
8 CLB C Geekie
9 NYI RW Kemell
10 DET RW/C Nazar
11 SJ RW/C Lambert
12 WPG C McGroarty
13 CLB LW Yurov
14 ANH C Kasper
15 VAN RD Chesley
16 EDM LW Miroshnichenko

I have both Russians falling because of the conflict, which could affect the draft-day decisions of several teams. I have Gauthier to NJ yet again -- he makes a ton of sense, and his consensus ranking in the #15-#20 range is complete nonsense. The kid is a big-time goal-scorer with an outstanding power/interior game.
After his diagnosis of Hodgkin’s Lymphoma, on top of the supercharged Russian Factor, I’m guessing Miroshnichenko falls further than 16th. Hopefully he’s getting the treatment he needs in the chaos.
 

StevenToddIves

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After his diagnosis of Hodgkin’s Lymphoma, on top of the supercharged Russian Factor, I’m guessing Miroshnichenko falls further than 16th. Hopefully he’s getting the treatment he needs in the chaos.

Yeah, Miro could fall to the 2nd round.

To be honest with you, if Miro falls to the Devils pick there (currently #39 overall), I take him and don't look back.
 

Guttersniped

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This is supposed to be a weak draft for goaltenders.

The top goaltender last I looked was #62, but that was a month or so ago.
I’m guessing a bigger number of over-age goalies get taken in this draft since some guys were overlooked in the last draft and this is a bit thin in the draft eligible goalies (right now).

The question of how teams will handle the Russian Factor is big here too.

A total of 9 Russian goalies were drafted in the last two drafts, only Canadian goalies, with 12 (we drafted Daws), proved to be more popular with NHL teams in the last two years.

There were 6 Swedish, 6 Finnish, 4 Czech (we drafted Málek), 2 US, 1 German and 1 Belarusian goalie in the last two drafts as well, in case you were wondering. (I know you were.)

I will add that there were 6 Canadian, 6 US, 3 Russian, 2 Finnish, 2 Swedish, 2 Danish, 1 Czech, 1 Finnish and 1 Latvian goalie in 2019, so it’s a bit random too. (Particularly when it comes to the US having much at goal worth drafting in certain years.)
 

Blackjack

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Looking at the standings; if the Devils continue their surge, I could see them falling as far back as pick #11. Chicago, NYI, Detroit and San Jose are all playing poorly and are within spitting distance.

Catching Columbus (28-26-3) would really take some doing.
 
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StevenToddIves

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Looking at the standings; if the Devils continue their surge, I could see them falling as far back as pick #11. Chicago, NYI, Detroit and San Jose are all playing poorly and are within spitting distance.

Catching Columbus (28-26-3) would really take some doing.

Yes, this certainly would take the Devils out of the running for the 3 obvious targets of Slafkovsky, Jiricek and Nemec.

We're going to need to start talking a lot more about some of the US-NTDP guys, particularly Gauthier, Chesley and Nazar.
 

StevenToddIves

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2022 Draft Profile:

LW Adam Sykora, HK Nitra Slovakia

Every so often, you luck out. While watching HK Nitra for the specific purpose of top-5 likely defenseman Simon Nemec, another player caught my eye. He was this bottom 6 forward who played with speed, a nice degree of skill and an absolutely ridiculous compete level. Here was this 5'11-175 left wing who seemed to be everywhere on the ice at once, charging the crease and forechecking like a mad man, hitting guys twice his size and winning puck battles left and right. On a commercial break, I found out he was the youngest player on the team at just 17 and his name was Adam Sykora.

With a September birthday, Sykora is one of the youngest players available for the 2022 draft. Though the Slovakian men's league is not quite to the level of the Czech ELH, it is still a very competitive league with multiple former NHL players. Right now, there is only one 2022 draft-eligible player in double digits in goals, and that's Adam Sykora with a very respectable total of 10. To give some context, the most dynamic Slovakian forward available for the 2022 draft is Filip Mesar, who is a slam dunk to be chosen in the 1st round and has a very good chance to go top 15. Mesar has 7 goals. So, who the heck is Adam Sykora and why is he unranked by virtually all the major draft writers and scouting bureaus?

Adam Sykora has a very good skill set, but nothing which jumps off the page as a standout skill. Conversely, he has no particular weakness which could hinder his ascension into the pro ranks. He's a quick skater who can reach nice speeds without being a true speedster. He's a good shooter with good vision and good puck skills, but there's nothing in any of those traits which dazzle you. His offensive awareness is also good, although he gets an uptick in the Hockey IQ box because he's so fundamentally sound and always taking the puck to the net when he has it and crashing the net when he does not. He's especially sharp on the forecheck, well beyond his years in the ability to use deception to manipulate the defense into going where he wants them to. Defensively, he can be described as a high-effort battler who wins pucks you wouldn't think he was capable of winning, but positionally he needs work and can get lost when pinned in the zone.

So, in Adam Sykora we have a player who checks every box across the board but essentially does not wow you with any particular skill. So then, why am I writing him up as one of the best draft-day steals for mid rounds of the 2022 draft? Because his compete level is absolutely exceptional. This kid plays every second of every shift with desperation and fire as if his entire life depended on it. His constant motor and unending desire to win simply elevates every single skill he has and makes him an absolutely terrific hockey player. He is a perpetual disruptive force for the opposition every time he's on the ice, and it's obvious how much his much-older linemates love taking to the ice with him on the left wing. Adam Sykora is, in no uncertain terms, a hockey player you want on your team.

As previously stated, Sykora has gone unnoticed by virtually everyone. He's liked by two bureaus -- CSB, who has ranked him as the #36 European prospect (setting him as what they feel is a 5th round pick or so) and Smaht Scouting, which has an anomalously high ranking for the young Slovakian at #48 overall. I'm going to agree with the folks at Smaht Scouting and say Sykora will get a second round ranking from myself, as well. This kid is just too overflowing with heart and hard-working not to make it as a successful professional hockey player. It's my conviction he is a high-floor near-lock for an NHL bottom 6, and his willingness to crash the net and score greasy goals combined with good skills across the board give him the upside of a 2nd liner. From the 2nd round on, Adam Sykora represents a sneaky clever draft pick, and if he falls to the middle or even late rounds he is an absolute steal.
 

StevenToddIves

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Hey, @StevenToddIves any new games you can check on for development on Sam Rinzel out of Minnesota? I hope he is on the NJ radar screen. From your February post about him, he has a number of the trademarks Fitz seems to like in defensemen and he sounds like a worthwhile project.

Rinzel has recently played two more games for Waterloo, in which both he and his entire team struggled. I didn't get to watch either game. But if you want to watch him, the USHL games are all televised on the HockeyTV website, though you must pay to watch the games. I have a subscription, so I'll be sure to watch him again and write up my observations for you.

Rinzel has gained a bit of draft helium lately, and his consensus ranking seems to be in the #40-#45 overall range. As a 6'4 RD with great skates, he's likely to go higher, and the Devils would likely have to take him with their 2nd round pick as the draft order stands today.

Here's a re-paste of my Rinzel write-up, for those who aren't familiar:

2022 Draft Profile:

RD Sam Rinzel, Chaska High MN USHS

Here we have the extremely raw, but huge and fast defenseman who will be all over draft boards as people watch him and ask "what if?" He's currently 6'4-180, and his skating is not the trope of "good for a big man" -- Rinzel is flat out a very good skater with surprising agility for his size who can reach formidable top speeds in open ice. He's also a classic two-way player who is a blanket defensively at his level, and he also is very adept at rushing the puck up ice and creating scoring opportunities in the offensive zone. Although we also must factor in that he's spent most of his season playing at an extremely low level, he's played three games for Waterloo of the USHL and impressed in all of them.

Rinzel is a player you're probably going to have to draft in the 2nd/3rd rounds, because players who mix his size and skating are quite infrequently found. And then you're going to have to wait -- he's got a ton of development to go, both filling out his lanky frame to the 200+ neighborhood and refining positioning, gaps and fundamentals, all of which show promise but need work. Rinzel is committed to the University of Minnesota, but not until the 2023-24 season, and we can probably expect to see him in the USHL next year. He's probably four years away from realistically competing for an AHL, much less NHL role.

But what can you have your hands on if his development goes well? Rinzel is a smart kid with good awareness both offensively and defensively, and he plays hard. I'd like to see more physicality out of him, he uses his size more for reach and wing-span and puck protecting than to knock opposing players around, which he is obviously quite capable of. But he's certainly got a lot of defensive potential as a guy you can't skate around and is very tough to get through. If his gaps and positioning improve, he'll be a very strong defender.

I'd say Rinzel is even better offensively, though we will have to wait and see how that progresses at higher levels of play. He's a strong passer and his shot shows a ton of promise. He can bobble pucks and needs a bit of work there, but his calm and cool under pressure are extremely impressive and very tough things to teach. He can potentially blossom into a real transition asset and perhaps even a two-way, all-situations mid-pairing NHL defender. But again, there's a long way to go before he's there.

Sam Rinzel should interest the Devils scouting team, as the organization sorely needs RD prospects in the pipeline and GM Tom Fitzgerald seems to greatly prefer defensemen with both size and mobility. He's a real finger-crosser with the Devils early 2nd round pick, but I feel he's the kind of high-upside pick in the 3rd round which can potentially make the Devils front office look quite brilliant a half decade or so down the line. The risk is that he's also a guy who has played mostly at lower levels, and thus is more of a product of extreme size/speed advantages than actual play. The team which picks Sam Rinzel is going to have to really believe in his potential and have a lot of patience, but clearly the possible payoff is significant.​
 
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StevenToddIves

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Hey, @StevenToddIves any new games you can check on for development on Sam Rinzel out of Minnesota? I hope he is on the NJ radar screen. From your February post about him, he has a number of the trademarks Fitz seems to like in defensemen and he sounds like a worthwhile project.

Like many Devils fans, I get that you're kind of honing in on the RDs. I'd put Rinzel in the third tier with Luneau and Lamoureaux and maybe Casey, with the first tier obviously Jiricek/Nemec and the second tier being just Ryan Chesley, who to me is the most under-appreciated D in the entire 2022 class.

There are some other RDs being bandied about as first rounders, but I just don't see it. Ty Nelson and Elias Salomonsson are both very, very problematic defensively, and I'm sure as heck not drafting a D in the first round who I'm crossing my fingers to reach their ceiling as a just-below-average defender who produces a bunch of scoring stats. I'm not down on those two as NHL prospects, I just see them both as 3rd round picks and can't justify taking them in the 2nd, much less the 1st.

As always, let me know if there are any other RD you want written up. I'm working my way through Europe right now and about to start with my Swedish prospects.
 
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My3Sons

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Rinzel has recently played two more games for Waterloo, in which both he and his entire team struggled. I didn't get to watch either game. But if you want to watch him, the USHL games are all televised on the HockeyTV website, though you must pay to watch the games. I have a subscription, so I'll be sure to watch him again and write up my observations for you.

Rinzel has gained a bit of draft helium lately, and his consensus ranking seems to be in the #40-#45 overall range. As a 6'4 RD with great skates, he's likely to go higher, and the Devils would likely have to take him with their 2nd round pick as the draft order stands today.

Here's a re-paste of my Rinzel write-up, for those who aren't familiar:

2022 Draft Profile:

RD Sam Rinzel, Chaska High MN USHS

Here we have the extremely raw, but huge and fast defenseman who will be all over draft boards as people watch him and ask "what if?" He's currently 6'4-180, and his skating is not the trope of "good for a big man" -- Rinzel is flat out a very good skater with surprising agility for his size who can reach formidable top speeds in open ice. He's also a classic two-way player who is a blanket defensively at his level, and he also is very adept at rushing the puck up ice and creating scoring opportunities in the offensive zone. Although we also must factor in that he's spent most of his season playing at an extremely low level, he's played three games for Waterloo of the USHL and impressed in all of them.

Rinzel is a player you're probably going to have to draft in the 2nd/3rd rounds, because players who mix his size and skating are quite infrequently found. And then you're going to have to wait -- he's got a ton of development to go, both filling out his lanky frame to the 200+ neighborhood and refining positioning, gaps and fundamentals, all of which show promise but need work. Rinzel is committed to the University of Minnesota, but not until the 2023-24 season, and we can probably expect to see him in the USHL next year. He's probably four years away from realistically competing for an AHL, much less NHL role.

But what can you have your hands on if his development goes well? Rinzel is a smart kid with good awareness both offensively and defensively, and he plays hard. I'd like to see more physicality out of him, he uses his size more for reach and wing-span and puck protecting than to knock opposing players around, which he is obviously quite capable of. But he's certainly got a lot of defensive potential as a guy you can't skate around and is very tough to get through. If his gaps and positioning improve, he'll be a very strong defender.

I'd say Rinzel is even better offensively, though we will have to wait and see how that progresses at higher levels of play. He's a strong passer and his shot shows a ton of promise. He can bobble pucks and needs a bit of work there, but his calm and cool under pressure are extremely impressive and very tough things to teach. He can potentially blossom into a real transition asset and perhaps even a two-way, all-situations mid-pairing NHL defender. But again, there's a long way to go before he's there.

Sam Rinzel should interest the Devils scouting team, as the organization sorely needs RD prospects in the pipeline and GM Tom Fitzgerald seems to greatly prefer defensemen with both size and mobility. He's a real finger-crosser with the Devils early 2nd round pick, but I feel he's the kind of high-upside pick in the 3rd round which can potentially make the Devils front office look quite brilliant a half decade or so down the line. The risk is that he's also a guy who has played mostly at lower levels, and thus is more of a product of extreme size/speed advantages than actual play. The team which picks Sam Rinzel is going to have to really believe in his potential and have a lot of patience, but clearly the possible payoff is significant.​

i agree with you that guys with compete and tools and a good hockey IQ are more likely to reach their potential even if it takes time. Rinzel sounded like a slow burn project but at a second round prospect he sounds like less of a great choice. Pity that RD are so hard to find.
 
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Antiillafire

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2022 Draft Profile:

LW Adam Sykora, HK Nitra Slovakia

Every so often, you luck out. While watching HK Nitra for the specific purpose of top-5 likely defenseman Simon Nemec, another player caught my eye. He was this bottom 6 forward who played with speed, a nice degree of skill and an absolutely ridiculous compete level. Here was this 5'11-175 left wing who seemed to be everywhere on the ice at once, charging the crease and forechecking like a mad man, hitting guys twice his size and winning puck battles left and right. On a commercial break, I found out he was the youngest player on the team at just 17 and his name was Adam Sykora.

With a September birthday, Sykora is one of the youngest players available for the 2022 draft. Though the Slovakian men's league is not quite to the level of the Czech ELH, it is still a very competitive league with multiple former NHL players. Right now, there is only one 2022 draft-eligible player in double digits in goals, and that's Adam Sykora with a very respectable total of 10. To give some context, the most dynamic Slovakian forward available for the 2022 draft is Filip Mesar, who is a slam dunk to be chosen in the 1st round and has a very good chance to go top 15. Mesar has 7 goals. So, who the heck is Adam Sykora and why is he unranked by virtually all the major draft writers and scouting bureaus?

Adam Sykora has a very good skill set, but nothing which jumps off the page as a standout skill. Conversely, he has no particular weakness which could hinder his ascension into the pro ranks. He's a quick skater who can reach nice speeds without being a true speedster. He's a good shooter with good vision and good puck skills, but there's nothing in any of those traits which dazzle you. His offensive awareness is also good, although he gets an uptick in the Hockey IQ box because he's so fundamentally sound and always taking the puck to the net when he has it and crashing the net when he does not. He's especially sharp on the forecheck, well beyond his years in the ability to use deception to manipulate the defense into going where he wants them to. Defensively, he can be described as a high-effort battler who wins pucks you wouldn't think he was capable of winning, but positionally he needs work and can get lost when pinned in the zone.

So, in Adam Sykora we have a player who checks every box across the board but essentially does not wow you with any particular skill. So then, why am I writing him up as one of the best draft-day steals for mid rounds of the 2022 draft? Because his compete level is absolutely exceptional. This kid plays every second of every shift with desperation and fire as if his entire life depended on it. His constant motor and unending desire to win simply elevates every single skill he has and makes him an absolutely terrific hockey player. He is a perpetual disruptive force for the opposition every time he's on the ice, and it's obvious how much his much-older linemates love taking to the ice with him on the left wing. Adam Sykora is, in no uncertain terms, a hockey player you want on your team.

As previously stated, Sykora has gone unnoticed by virtually everyone. He's liked by two bureaus -- CSB, who has ranked him as the #36 European prospect (setting him as what they feel is a 5th round pick or so) and Smaht Scouting, which has an anomalously high ranking for the young Slovakian at #48 overall. I'm going to agree with the folks at Smaht Scouting and say Sykora will get a second round ranking from myself, as well. This kid is just too overflowing with heart and hard-working not to make it as a successful professional hockey player. It's my conviction he is a high-floor near-lock for an NHL bottom 6, and his willingness to crash the net and score greasy goals combined with good skills across the board give him the upside of a 2nd liner. From the 2nd round on, Adam Sykora represents a sneaky clever draft pick, and if he falls to the middle or even late rounds he is an absolute steal.
He was awesome at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup as well. Only had a few points but his line along with Servac Petrovsky shut down every other teams top line except Russia with Michkov. Lekkerimaki - Ostlund - Ohgren was really limited by Sykoras line. I honestly wouldn’t be totally surprised if he jumped into a spot at the WC, useful bottom 6 player.
 

StevenToddIves

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He was awesome at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup as well. Only had a few points but his line along with Servac Petrovsky shut down every other teams top line except Russia with Michkov. Lekkerimaki - Ostlund - Ohgren was really limited by Sykoras line. I honestly wouldn’t be totally surprised if he jumped into a spot at the WC, useful bottom 6 player.

Thanks for this! I'm very high on Sykora obviously, and I'm going to try to drive up some hype on him leading top to the 2022 draft. Heck of a player and his compete level is simply off the charts.
 
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StevenToddIves

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i agree with you that guys with compete and tools and a good hockey IQ are more likely to reach their potential even if it takes time. Rinzel sounded like a slow burn project but at a second round prospect he sounds like less of a great choice. Pity that RD are so hard to find.

6'4 RD who skate like 5'10 forwards don't last long on draft day as a general rule.
 
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Guttersniped

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6'4 RD who skate like 5'10 forwards don't last long on draft day as a general rule.

How would he compare to Scott Morrow in a similar drafting position?

Rinzel has a June 2004 vs Morrow’s November 2002 birthday so this is Rinzel’s age 17 season and he is going to Minnesota next season at 18.

Morrow was 18 and still playing in prep school in his draft year. As talented as he is, he was a little long in the tooth to still be playing against that low level competition rather than moving on to college or just having a full season in the USHL before college.

Rinzel’s size and birthday is going to make him go early, he has the numbers and he’s not slumming like Morrow was. Teams haven’t regretted grabbing the top prep school defensemen in the last two drafts so that helps him too.

2020 Wyatt Kaiser Rd 3 #81 (July 2002, 5’11” 173)
2021 Scott Morrow Rd 2 #40 (Nov 2002, 6’2” 195)
2021 Jack Peart Rd 2 #54 (May 2003, 5’11” 186)
 

longislanddevil

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@StevenToddIves If the Devils pick 6-8, what are the chances Gauthier is available? Based on everything I have read, he is the potential top 6 power forward the Devils desperately need. We are way too soft and easy to play against. Need some toughness and interior type of player to surround the lines of Hughes, Bratt, etc.

If the Devils pick top 5, I have now honed in on Jiricek. He is absolutely the player I want.
 
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Eggtimer

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@StevenToddIves If the Devils pick 6-8, what are the chances Gauthier is available? Based on everything I have read, he is the potential top 6 power forward the Devils desperately need. We are way too soft and easy to play against. Need some toughness and interior type of player to surround the lines of Hughes, Bratt, etc.

If the Devils pick top 5, I have now honed in on Jiricek. He is absolutely the player I want.
Slafkovsky is the best forward pick for us but he will likely go top 3/4 . After that Jiricek , Nemec , Gauthier in any order , I have no clue at this point who the best pick is for us. Id go Slafkovsky ( unlikely) then Jirichek then its a toss up between Nemec and Gautier ( for me anyways )
 

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