If we do nothing but make picks with our three 1sts and sign a few $1M 4th line vets, then I agree with you.
However, if we make an acquisition in an attempt to improve the defense, then I think the expectation will be playoffs. On paper, the forward group looks 'middle of the pack' caliber or better. If we make a move to bolster the blueline, I think that the 'on paper' blue line would be 'middle of the pack' caliber or better. The organization very clearly believes that Binner is a legit starter and Hofer would be expected to be competent. If a move is made to improve the blueline, I think Army's belief would be that he's have given the coaching staff a roster with playoff expectations.
I would expect Berube to lose his job if we spend futures to upgrade the blueline and the team isn't looking like a bubble team or better by the New Year. If we replace one of Krug, Leddy, or Scandella with a genuine defensive upgrade, then I think it will be a completely reasonable conclusion that a competent NHL system can make that blueline middle of the road. Everything we've heard combined with Army's track record tells me that he is going to try to enter camp with a new face among the top 5 D on the team. If that happens, then I do believe that playoffs are the expectation and not just a hope. I'm not fully sold that it is a reasonable expectation, but I do think it would be the expectation.