Do you think it makes more sense to go the route of signing a guy at below slot value and target a guy that falls?
You’re still taking a risk if you take a guy who’s dead set on going through with his commitment or wants to build their stock. Assume they do their homework on these players though.
Right now my thinking is if they can get any of Rocker, Leiter, or Lawlar, I just draft them and don't look back. Otherwise, I'd look for the below slot option and draft a faller in the 2nd. As
@DKH said, the list will change as the year goes on. You do whatever you think gets you the most value. That high 2nd is a major reason they didn't sign any big names this year, so you know they value it.