Speculation: 2021-22 LA Kings News, Rumors, Roster Thread Part VI

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I agree but I think it's very visible that late in games and on B2Bs he is absolutely hurting, dude could hardly get up and down the ice in OT.

He's 34 and has played more hockey than nearly anyone in the world over the last decade...he's still an amazing player but I don't see why this org doesn't believe in 'load management' for him and Drew especially with the depth behind them that can play the defensive minutes so they can get some softer minutes.

I think you are hyper-vigilant on that point, I seem the same speed from the 1st to the 3rd etc.....been that way since they won......very even keel, he's never had McDavid Speed, but he's never been "slow"

Since they won 2011-2021

Kopitar has the most minutes by a forward at 16,185....then
Giroux - 15470
Kane - 15398
Ovechkin - 15265
ROR - 14980

He;s had the 3rd most shifts, behind Pavelski, and Giroux

And average TOI

McDavid - 21:38
Kopitar
Kane
St Louis
Crosby
ROR
Eichel - 20:19

Kopitars scoring per 60 5 on 5

2011-2012 - 2.10 - TOI - 21:20
2012-2013 - 2.04 - TOI - 20:29
2013-2014 - 2.01 - TOI - 20:53
2014-2015 - 1.77 - TOI - 19:25
2015-2016 - 2.19 - TOI - 20:52
2016-2017 - 1.39 - TOI - 20:46
2017-2018 - 2.25 - TOI - 22:05
2018-2019 - 1.55 - TOI - 22:18
2019-2020 - 1.70 - TOI - 21:02
2020-2021 - 1.75 - TOI - 21:11
2021 - 2022 - 2.01 - TOI - 21:22

Are there other factors in play, of course, but I don't see what you are seeing, he's not averaging 24-25 minutes a game, he's 8th in Average TOI per game, and 56th in SH, though most above him are bottom six, the top sixers above him playing more SH are RNH, Zibnajead, Huberdeau, Marner, Backlund, Barkov, Couturier, Miller, Aho, Lindholm, and Eriksson Ek, and Kopitar is 18th in PP toi per game,

The numbers from what I can tell, aren't telling the story you are.
 
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I agree but I think it's very visible that late in games and on B2Bs he is absolutely hurting, dude could hardly get up and down the ice in OT.

He's 34 and has played more hockey than nearly anyone in the world over the last decade...he's still an amazing player but I don't see why this org doesn't believe in 'load management' for him and Drew especially with the depth behind them that can play the defensive minutes so they can get some softer minutes.

Last game Todd had the choice of Danault 1 game back, Turcotte 2nd career game & Lizzote to hold a 1 goal lead in the 3rd. For me that's excusable.

The other games before that clearly show Todd is riding Kopi too much.
 
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I think you are hyper-vigilant on that point, I seem the same speed from the 1st to the 3rd etc.....been that way since they won......very even keel, he's never had McDavid Speed, but he's never been "slow"

Since they won 2011-2021

Kopitar has the most minutes by a forward at 16,185....then
Giroux - 15470
Kane - 15398
Ovechkin - 15265
ROR - 14980

He;s had the 3rd most shifts, behind Pavelski, and Giroux

And average TOI

McDavid - 21:38
Kopitar
Kane
St Louis
Crosby
ROR
Eichel - 20:19

Kopitars scoring per 60 5 on 5

2011-2012 - 2.10 - TOI - 21:20
2012-2013 - 2.04 - TOI - 20:29
2013-2014 - 2.01 - TOI - 20:53
2014-2015 - 1.77 - TOI - 19:25
2015-2016 - 2.19 - TOI - 20:52
2016-2017 - 1.39 - TOI - 20:46
2017-2018 - 2.25 - TOI - 22:05
2018-2019 - 1.55 - TOI - 22:18
2019-2020 - 1.70 - TOI - 21:02
2020-2021 - 1.75 - TOI - 21:11
2021 - 2022 - 2.01 - TOI - 21:22

Are there other factors in play, of course, but I don't see what you are seeing, he's not averaging 24-25 minutes a game, he's 8th in Average TOI per game, and 56th in SH, though most above him are bottom six, the top sixers above him playing more SH are RNH, Zibnajead, Huberdeau, Marner, Backlund, Barkov, Couturier, Miller, Aho, Lindholm, and Eriksson Ek, and Kopitar is 18th in PP toi per game,

The numbers from what I can tell, aren't telling the story you are.


Well, the what we're seeing part is subjective, so we're going to have to agree to disagree there. I personally think it's very clear when Kopitar is pretty gassed. You see him reaching with arms and stick instead of beating guys and establishing body position. I've never seen him get checked and pinned as much as this year.

The career numbers you're showing me is exactly what I've posted before and something I agree with, he's played huge minutes over the last decade and most of the guys near him in minutes played had cushy offensive deployment and next to no PK time. And keep in mind there are playoff games there as well. He's played more and harder minutes than any forward imo. Especially considering his durability.

All I'm saying is that his age, he shouldn't be getting the 3rd most ice time he's gotten in a decade. The top sixers above him playing more SH time are mostly 3rd-4th offensive option guys in their prime 24-28 yo except backlund at 32 (but he's not exactly a traditional 2C, more like danault, and he's only there because monahan's rough right now). Kopitar is still Mr. Everything and that's great, but I don't see why it would be controversial to say hey lets reduce his ice time by a few minutes for a better spread throughout the lineup and so he can stay fresh. I mean, that's exactly what the front office said would happen when they brought Danault aboard, but it's gone the other way.
 
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Doughty and Kopitar can be moved. They just can't be moved in a way that would be advantageous for the Kings.

Well past the time to let the fantasy go.

I agree but I think it's very visible that late in games and on B2Bs he is absolutely hurting, dude could hardly get up and down the ice in OT.

He's 34 and has played more hockey than nearly anyone in the world over the last decade...he's still an amazing player but I don't see why this org doesn't believe in 'load management' for him and Drew especially with the depth behind them that can play the defensive minutes so they can get some softer minutes.

You don't want upper management to make ice time decisions. Upper management can not give a coach a veteran option, but if they do give him one, you have to let the coach do what he wants to do. Or get another coach. Who will likely do the same thing anyway, but maybe a really old or really young coach won't know any better, and will keep Kopitar on the bench because they want to be cool.

Hopefully the organization isn't to blame. If old men are playing 22min, that has to be the fault of the coach. If BLuc are dictating TOI, then the Kings have much bigger problems than whatever else is going on. Give a coach weapons, or not, but then you have to step back.

I think you are hyper-vigilant on that point, I seem the same speed from the 1st to the 3rd etc.....been that way since they won......very even keel, he's never had McDavid Speed, but he's never been "slow"

Since they won 2011-2021

Kopitar has the most minutes by a forward at 16,185....then
Giroux - 15470
Kane - 15398
Ovechkin - 15265
ROR - 14980

He;s had the 3rd most shifts, behind Pavelski, and Giroux

And average TOI

McDavid - 21:38
Kopitar
Kane
St Louis
Crosby
ROR
Eichel - 20:19

Kopitars scoring per 60 5 on 5

2011-2012 - 2.10 - TOI - 21:20
2012-2013 - 2.04 - TOI - 20:29
2013-2014 - 2.01 - TOI - 20:53
2014-2015 - 1.77 - TOI - 19:25
2015-2016 - 2.19 - TOI - 20:52
2016-2017 - 1.39 - TOI - 20:46
2017-2018 - 2.25 - TOI - 22:05
2018-2019 - 1.55 - TOI - 22:18
2019-2020 - 1.70 - TOI - 21:02
2020-2021 - 1.75 - TOI - 21:11
2021 - 2022 - 2.01 - TOI - 21:22

Are there other factors in play, of course, but I don't see what you are seeing, he's not averaging 24-25 minutes a game, he's 8th in Average TOI per game, and 56th in SH, though most above him are bottom six, the top sixers above him playing more SH are RNH, Zibnajead, Huberdeau, Marner, Backlund, Barkov, Couturier, Miller, Aho, Lindholm, and Eriksson Ek, and Kopitar is 18th in PP toi per game,

The numbers from what I can tell, aren't telling the story you are.

It's relative to the rest of the Kings team, not to the league as a whole. What we thought, or hoped, would happen, and I think Blake did mention it, at least in some form, was that bringing Danault in would decrease the burden on Kopitar. What's happened instead, is that Kopitar's ice time is the same, and Danault has been playing the 5th most total and ES ice time over the last 2 years for forwards on the team. Lizotte has had his time cut a bit. Kupari barely played any games last year, but his time is technically lower than last year. Vilardi, when he was here, was playing less. A minute and a half less. Moore was a C for a few games, and his minutes are down from last year. JAD played less on average in the couple games he's gotten. Turcotte is at 11min, 10:30 at ES. Andersson, like Moore, got a couple games at C, and his minutes are down.

Maybe TM is just a very generic coach. Like most coaches, you give him a vet, he's going to play him. Give a coach like TM Kopitar and Danault, and he's going to play Kopitar and Danult instead of other guys, not Danault instead of Kopitar. I don't think anyone thought that was going to happen. Then again, we thought someone like Vilardi would have more of a role on the team. Maybe if Vilardi had been better, or Byfield hadn't gotten hurt, that plus Danault would take Kopitar's minutes down. Or, Kopitar would keep getting thrown out there every shift, Danault would get his minutes, Vilardi/Byfield would be getting theirs, and whoever was the 4C would be getting like 5min a game.

But TM is a coach, and he's trying to win every game. He's not coaching for 2 years from now. He's coaching for tonight. If that means he thinks Kopitar has to play 25min, then Kopitar will end up playing for 25min.

Even older than Kopitar Getzlaf is not only playing 19min a night, but he's leading the Ducks in F ice time. Now the Ducks have been better than the Kings, they have more young guys producing than the Kings, but they didn't bring in any vets over the summer. Not that that's stopped Getzlaf from not playing. He's playing 3 more min per game than last year, and he's 2 years older than Kopitar.

I think it's just a matter of people probably had the image of Kopitar's ice time going down with Danault here, not every non-Kopitar center having their ice time cut.
 
Well, the what we're seeing part is subjective, so we're going to have to agree to disagree there. I personally think it's very clear when Kopitar is pretty gassed. You see him reaching with arms and stick instead of beating guys and establishing body position. I've never seen him get checked and pinned as much as this year.

The career numbers you're showing me is exactly what I've posted before and something I agree with, he's played huge minutes over the last decade and most of the guys near him in minutes played had cushy offensive deployment and next to no PK time. And keep in mind there are playoff games there as well. He's played more and harder minutes than any forward imo. Especially considering his durability.

All I'm saying is that his age, he shouldn't be getting the 3rd most ice time he's gotten in a decade. The top sixers above him playing more SH time are mostly 3rd-4th offensive option guys in their prime 24-28 yo except backlund at 32 (but he's not exactly a traditional 2C, more like danault, and he's only there because monahan's rough right now). Kopitar is still Mr. Everything and that's great, but I don't see why it would be controversial to say hey lets reduce his ice time by a few minutes for a better spread throughout the lineup and so he can stay fresh. I mean, that's exactly what the front office said would happen when they brought Danault aboard, but it's gone the other way.

You can see his effectiveness goes down as his ice time goes down, as far as better spread throughout the lineup, who has earned that "extra" ice time and hasn't gotten it?
 
Well past the time to let the fantasy go.



You don't want upper management to make ice time decisions. Upper management can not give a coach a veteran option, but if they do give him one, you have to let the coach do what he wants to do. Or get another coach. Who will likely do the same thing anyway, but maybe a really old or really young coach won't know any better, and will keep Kopitar on the bench because they want to be cool.

Hopefully the organization isn't to blame. If old men are playing 22min, that has to be the fault of the coach. If BLuc are dictating TOI, then the Kings have much bigger problems than whatever else is going on. Give a coach weapons, or not, but then you have to step back.



It's relative to the rest of the Kings team, not to the league as a whole. What we thought, or hoped, would happen, and I think Blake did mention it, at least in some form, was that bringing Danault in would decrease the burden on Kopitar. What's happened instead, is that Kopitar's ice time is the same, and Danault has been playing the 5th most total and ES ice time over the last 2 years for forwards on the team. Lizotte has had his time cut a bit. Kupari barely played any games last year, but his time is technically lower than last year. Vilardi, when he was here, was playing less. A minute and a half less. Moore was a C for a few games, and his minutes are down from last year. JAD played less on average in the couple games he's gotten. Turcotte is at 11min, 10:30 at ES. Andersson, like Moore, got a couple games at C, and his minutes are down.

Maybe TM is just a very generic coach. Like most coaches, you give him a vet, he's going to play him. Give a coach like TM Kopitar and Danault, and he's going to play Kopitar and Danult instead of other guys, not Danault instead of Kopitar. I don't think anyone thought that was going to happen. Then again, we thought someone like Vilardi would have more of a role on the team. Maybe if Vilardi had been better, or Byfield hadn't gotten hurt, that plus Danault would take Kopitar's minutes down. Or, Kopitar would keep getting thrown out there every shift, Danault would get his minutes, Vilardi/Byfield would be getting theirs, and whoever was the 4C would be getting like 5min a game.

But TM is a coach, and he's trying to win every game. He's not coaching for 2 years from now. He's coaching for tonight. If that means he thinks Kopitar has to play 25min, then Kopitar will end up playing for 25min.

Even older than Kopitar Getzlaf is not only playing 19min a night, but he's leading the Ducks in F ice time. Now the Ducks have been better than the Kings, they have more young guys producing than the Kings, but they didn't bring in any vets over the summer. Not that that's stopped Getzlaf from not playing. He's playing 3 more min per game than last year, and he's 2 years older than Kopitar.

I think it's just a matter of people probably had the image of Kopitar's ice time going down with Danault here, not every non-Kopitar center having their ice time cut.

Made me look.....it's a weird split,

ANA F - Highest, Getzlaf at 19:11, lowest Carrick at 10:51, spread over 13 forwards
LA F - Highest, Kopitar at 21:22, lowest Lemiux at 11:09, spread over 12

Both with a 15 game minimum limit etc.....still not sure where the ice time complaint comes in other than, that's not what I wanted
 
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You can see his effectiveness goes down as his ice time goes down, as far as better spread throughout the lineup, who has earned that "extra" ice time and hasn't gotten it?
As said above Kopitar has 2 goals in the last 2 months. Hes also a -4 on the year.
What is he doing out there that he should be playing so much more than everyone else?
What have you seen that makes you think the other lines are such liabilities that they cant take even a normal shift and get a normal amount of ice time?
 
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Kopitar always has long gaps of no scoring. He's never been a PPG player. He had one season where he was PPG or over. He's scored 30 goals or more only twice.
 
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One goal a month for 10 million dollars is absurd.
Looking at Nov and Dec, he had 2 goals in 23 games. That is pathetic for his level of skill and the minutes at ES and on PP1. That confirms what the eye tells you that he is going through the motions and/or fatigue. Whatever it is, it dictates less ice time.
 
Made me look.....it's a weird split,

ANA F - Highest, Getzlaf at 19:11, lowest Carrick at 10:51, spread over 13 forwards
LA F - Highest, Kopitar at 21:22, lowest Lemiux at 11:09, spread over 12

Both with a 15 game minimum limit etc.....still not sure where the ice time complaint comes in other than, that's not what I wanted

That's basically where every complaint comes from.

If the Kings were a winning team, and certainly had they not gone through the last half dozen years, nobody would care about ice times. Winning cures all. But when you're losing, the smallest of details get talked about, because you have to find why you're losing. Nobody cares about Matt Moulson anymore, but pre-2012, for a couple years we were wondering why DL ever let him go to the Islanders. When he was scoring 30 goals a year, before 2012, his loss was a huge deal. He was Clague before Clague. Then the Kings won, and so who cares about Moulson? The Kings won without him. Pre-2012, why is Purcell scoring for TB and not LA? Why would you trade Purcell, and a pick, for a UFA-to-be in Halpern? Is DL ok? Is he sick or something? After 2012, who the hell is Teddy Purcell, and why would such a soft player ever be in a top 6 box on DL's brilliance board?

When you win, it's just post after post of:



When you lose, the assistant coach in the AHL has to go. He's terrible at his job, I have the stats to prove it, and I will write 6 paragraphs justifying why he never should've been hired in the first place.
 
Think back, has he ever had it? Seems like his whole career was just...steady, steady, steady, steady, steady..... never too high, never too low etc.
I agree but it’s that he’s not played with what I’d consider his usual intensity because right now there are definite stretches where it is too low. Maybe reducing his minutes fixes nothing but given his recent play I’d struggle to think it’ll make things worse. Danault and the other strong PK guys gets more timewhilst shorthanded and maybe the nominal 3rd line gets an extra couple of minutes 5/5; however they carve it up. I don’t think you consider giving him 15 minutes or anything daft like that but a few games averaging 18- 19 seems a sensible starting point. I’d be quite happy seeing Kopi not get any PK time at all, unless it’s a clutch situation.
 
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His numbers show it....right now he's averaging 22 minutes....his CAREER average is 21:03.......tell me the definition of absurd.....
There is a correlation there but it’s far from a definite link because he doesn’t score in a vacuum where all other factors are equal each year. There are a hell of a lot of additional factors that will affect his scoring rate like the coach, team mates, etc.

It can’t be that much of a stretch for you to see that reducing his ice time (at 34yrs) may have a positive impact.
 
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The top PP unit should be...

Arvidsson, Kaliyev, Turcotte, Kupari, Durzi.

Put Arvidsson in the net front spot, Turcotte in the bumper, Kaliyev and Kupari on the wings and Durzi at the point.
 
As said above Kopitar has 2 goals in the last 2 months. Hes also a -4 on the year.
What is he doing out there that he should be playing so much more than everyone else?
What have you seen that makes you think the other lines are such liabilities that they cant take even a normal shift and get a normal amount of ice time?
guy can eat minutes and has offensive ability. at the worst, he can dish it off to one of his teammates. exceptional twf. i still think he should be scratched for a few games once turcotte comes around and is able to spell him. give kopi a break. let him sit in the press box and see what he's playing for. get him around the brass. kind of revive his career.
 
Kopitar scored 2 goals total in November and December. That's not good, to be kind. People wouldn't be nearly as critical of his TOI if his offense didn't also start drying up.
Typical Nov/Dec performance from Kopitar. He will pic k up the scoring pace again when the games no longer matter.
 
Looking at Nov and Dec, he had 2 goals in 23 games. That is pathetic for his level of skill and the minutes at ES and on PP1. That confirms what the eye tells you that he is going through the motions and/or fatigue. Whatever it is, it dictates less ice time.
You are really a skilled analyst. Sportsnet quality. No, ESPN quality. You should be right up there in front of the cameras telling the world of your views on all things Kings and Kopitar.
 
You can see his effectiveness goes down as his ice time goes down, as far as better spread throughout the lineup, who has earned that "extra" ice time and hasn't gotten it?


Well, this is where the youth development comes in, no?

Provided the 4th line is, in fact, one of our best lines night after night, why are they not playing more than they are?

Looking at two games before the break as polar opposite examples:

LAK vs. CAR--the icetime was split fantastically (outcome of the game probably had something to do with it). Kopitar still had 19 minutes--but the rest of the forwards ranged from 16:45 (Lizotte!) to 12:02 (Tonka) with most everyone else in between. Sure, not every game CAN be like that, but when everyone is rolling like they were the other night, why not?

LAK vs. WSH--IIRC this is the game Kupari sucked? But even so, the entire bottom six got absolutely thrashed in ice time. Kopitar played 24:32 in a non-OT game, and Kempe and Iafallo went along for the +22 minute ride. The folks right behind them got 17-18, then it dropped off precipitously, with Andersson getting 10 minutes, then the remainder of the bottom six getting 9, 8, and 6 (lemieux).

I would argue that most nights the 4th line 'deserves' a few more minutes than they're getting, and certainly to not get benched or limited to 2-3 shifts in the 3rd like they have quite frequently. They regularly outperform one of the 'top six' lines by any metric including production. The third line less so, but if TM can't build a third line he's confident in with so many redundant parts, that's STILL his fault. It's usually reserved for a youthful C though (Kupari, Turcotte presently, probably Byfield inc) so I can understand them sitting a little more in key situations too.

In the end, my point is just I'd like to see MANY more games with Kopitar in the 18 minute range and the 4th line taking an extra 3-4 minutes at the bare minimum or at least split those minutes between the bottom six. And it's not like TM is just rolling Kopitar out every other shift in the 3rd--night after night he's at 8-10 minutes by the end of the 1st period, so it's not like it's just a 'game situation' time shift. There are unfortunately games more or less like the Washington game at least once a week.
 
You are really a skilled analyst. Sportsnet quality. No, ESPN quality. You should be right up there in front of the cameras telling the world of your views on all things Kings and Kopitar.
Sorry its hard to understand you w Kopi's balls in your mouth - but i detect a hint of sarcasm
 
Well, this is where the youth development comes in, no?

Provided the 4th line is, in fact, one of our best lines night after night, why are they not playing more than they are?

Looking at two games before the break as polar opposite examples:

LAK vs. CAR--the icetime was split fantastically (outcome of the game probably had something to do with it). Kopitar still had 19 minutes--but the rest of the forwards ranged from 16:45 (Lizotte!) to 12:02 (Tonka) with most everyone else in between. Sure, not every game CAN be like that, but when everyone is rolling like they were the other night, why not?

LAK vs. WSH--IIRC this is the game Kupari sucked? But even so, the entire bottom six got absolutely thrashed in ice time. Kopitar played 24:32 in a non-OT game, and Kempe and Iafallo went along for the +22 minute ride. The folks right behind them got 17-18, then it dropped off precipitously, with Andersson getting 10 minutes, then the remainder of the bottom six getting 9, 8, and 6 (lemieux).

I would argue that most nights the 4th line 'deserves' a few more minutes than they're getting, and certainly to not get benched or limited to 2-3 shifts in the 3rd like they have quite frequently. They regularly outperform one of the 'top six' lines by any metric including production. The third line less so, but if TM can't build a third line he's confident in with so many redundant parts, that's STILL his fault. It's usually reserved for a youthful C though (Kupari, Turcotte presently, probably Byfield inc) so I can understand them sitting a little more in key situations too.

In the end, my point is just I'd like to see MANY more games with Kopitar in the 18 minute range and the 4th line taking an extra 3-4 minutes at the bare minimum or at least split those minutes between the bottom six. And it's not like TM is just rolling Kopitar out every other shift in the 3rd--night after night he's at 8-10 minutes by the end of the 1st period, so it's not like it's just a 'game situation' time shift. There are unfortunately games more or less like the Washington game at least once a week.
The fourth line is not one of the best lines night after night. It's totally depressing to see the complete degeneration of this board with dishonest posts like this one.
 
guy can eat minutes and has offensive ability. at the worst, he can dish it off to one of his teammates. exceptional twf. i still think he should be scratched for a few games once turcotte comes around and is able to spell him. give kopi a break. let him sit in the press box and see what he's playing for. get him around the brass. kind of revive his career.
Lol!

This board is hilarious
 
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