2020 Mom's Basement Stakes

[rakish]

Sorry about the delay.
I screwed up and tried to draft an overager who was already drafted, I shouldn't try to select players after drinking hours have begun. Other than that, I wasn't too bothered by how my picks fell. Some years, it just doesn't work out, but for me, this year was ok.
Many drafted Kemell at 9, and Lindgren at 106. A lot of contestants got Lambert, often at 28.


Sabres
#9 Matthew Savoie (F)
#16 Noah Östlund (F)
#28 Jiri Kulich (F)
#41 Topias Leinonen (G)
#74 Viktor Neuchev (F)
#106 Mats Lindgren (D)
#134 Vsevolod Komarov (D)
#170 Jake Richard (F)
#187 Gustav Karlsson (F)
#202 Joel Ratkovic Berndtsson (F)
#211 Linus Sjödin (F)

McKenzie
#9 Joakim Kemell
#16 Danila Yurov
#28 Brad Lambert
#41 Luca Del Bel Belluz
#74 Danil Zhilkin
#106 Mats Lindgren
#134 Josh Filmon
#170 Spencer Sova
#187 Jace Weir
#202 ---
#211 ---

Button
#9 Joakim Kemell
#16 Jimmy Snuggerud
#28 Jagger Firkus
#41 Luca Del Bel Belluz
#74 Danny Zhilkin
#106 Mats Lindgren
#134 Brennan Ali
#170 Brandon Lisowsky
#187 Kyle Jackson
#202 Mathew Ward
#211 Daniil Ivanov

Pronman
#9 Joakim Kemell
#16 Danila Yurov
#28 Brad Lambert
#41 Lane Hutson
#74 Danny Zhilkin
#106 Mats Lindgren
#134 Miguël Tourigny
#170 Connor McClennon
#187 Daniil Ivanov
#202 Jace Weir
#211 Semyon Demidov

Wheeler
#9 Joakim Kemell
#16 Brad Lambert
#28 Isacc Howard
#41 Lane Hutson
#74 Jordan Dumais
#106 Mats Lindgren
#134 Jack Devine
#170 Markus Vidicek
#187 Antonin Verreault
#202 Oskar Asplund
#211 Tyler Duke

liger
#9 Frank Nazar
#16 Liam Öhgren
#28 Owen Beck
#41 Gleb Trikozov
#74 Daniil Zhilkin
#106 Michael La Starza
#134 Beau Jelsma
#170 Pano Fimis
#187 Logan Morrison
#202 Alex Sotek
#211 Hudson Thornton

@42 jerks
#9 Matthew Savoie
#16 Jiri Kulich
#28 Tristan Luneau
#41 Matyas Sapovaliv
#74 Tomas Hamara
#106 Otto Salin
#134 Jake Furlong
#170 Fabian Wagner
#187 Marcus Vidicek
#202 Jere Lasilla
#211 Alexis Gendron

rakish
#9 Jonathan Lekkerimaki
#16 Liam Ohgren
#28 Brad Lambert
#41 David Goyette
#74 Matthew Seminoff
#106 Connor Kurth
#134 James Stefan
#170 Wasted pick Anton Johansson
#187 Matias Rantonen
#202 Otto Hokkanen
#211 German Tochilkin

 

[emptyNedder]

Dropped in to review my picks from last season as I prepare for the 2023 MBS.

I am mostly pleased with the way my 2022 picks have progressed. To help me think about it, and compare to the other participants, I decided to put together lines/pairings.

Vidicek/Kulich/Savoie
Wagner/Sapovaliv/Gendron
Lassila

Furlong/Luneau
Hamara/Salin

Almost everyone else went with three forwards in the first round--so their top lines look better at this point. Still, I like my forward group as a whole. Sapovaliv is a big two-way talent that every team needs. Gendron's goal-scoring was good in the regular season and then amazing in the playoffs. All of Vidicek, Wagner, and Lassila made reasonable D+1 progress.

While Luneau looks like a really good pick, those who chose Hutson at 41 can argue they got an equally good (better?) D. However, given the context of the Sabres having Dahlin and Power for years to come, a right-shot D who doesn't require PP time could be more valuable. After that, I like Furlong/Salin/Hamara as much or more than any of the D taken after round 2 of MBS.

One year of development leaves tons of questions. Still, I think my 11 choices are as good as any--and slightly better than Buffalo's, at this point.

 

[emptyNedder]

Don't know if this year is happening. If so, the list below is predicated on Buffalo drafting 13, 39, etc. I will try to make updates if trades change the Sabres' picks.

David Reinbacher
Ryan Leonard
Dalibor Dvorsky
Nate Danielson
Calum Ritchie
Matthew Wood
Otto Stenberg
Ethan Gauthier
Tom Willander
Hunter Brzustewicz
Oscar Fisker Mølgaard
Anton Wahlberg
Juraj Pekarcik
Felix Nilsson
David Edstrom
Lenni Hameenaho
Jesse Kiiskinen
Carson Rehkopf
Carey Terrance
Felix Unger Sorum
Paul Fischer
Tuomas Uronen
Cam Squires
Arvid Bergstrom
Hampton Slukynsky (G)
Hannes Hellberg
Peteris Bulans
Joe Connor
Antti Virtanen
Filip Sitar
Damian Clara
Kaden Hammel
Tanner Ludtke
Samuel Barcik
Matthew Soto
Aiden Fink
Arttu Alasiurua
Lucas Lagerberg Hoen
Adrian Carnebo
AJ Lacroix
Gustaf Kangas
Tanner Adams
Rasmus Larsson
Nestor Noiva
Linus Brandl
Jere Lasilla
Kalle Kangas
Owen Outwater
Cameron Korpi (G)

I also "drafted" as Detroit this year on the RW thread:
9. Dvorsky
17. Ritchie
41. Brzustewicz
42. Fisker Molgard
47. Pekarcik
73. Fischer
117. Uronen
137. Bergstrom
147. Hellberg
169. Bulans
201. J. Connor

 

[emptyNedder]

Didn't want to post this in the thread about teams top 10 prospects because it is only my team. But based on the past 3 years:

1. Kulich
2. Savoie
3. Luneau
4. Ritchie
5. Peart
6. Raty
7. Sapovaliv
8. Brzustewicz
9. Fisker-Mølgaard
10. Salin

 

[emptyNedder]

My list for 2024 (will need to add some to the list if Buffalo acquires any picks prior to the draft):

Sam Dickinson (11)
Konsta Helenius (14)
Ty Iginla (6)
Michael Brandsegg-Nygard (15)
Jett Luchanko (13)
Michael Hage (21)
Dominic Badinka (34)
Sam O’Reilly (32)
Terik Parascak (17)
Lucas Pettersson (35)
Harrison Brunicke (44)
Luca Marrelli. (86)
Linus Eriksson (58)
Adam Jecho (95)
Tomas Lavoie (89)
Sebastian Soini (140)
Clarke Caswell. ((141)
Evan Gardner (60)
Hagen Burrows (128)
Darels Uljanskis (214)
Xavier Veilleaux (179)
Liam Danielsson. (ND)
Kam Hendrickson (ND)
John Stout (ND)
Benjamin Rautiainen (ND)
Heikki Ruohonen (107)
Arseni Marchenko (ND)
Veeti Louhivaara (146)
Petr Sikora (178)
Miroslav Holinka (151)
Adam Hesselvall (ND)
Jakub Fibigr (202)
Markus Loponen (155)
Joe Connor (195)
William Zellers (76)
Kieron Walton (187)
Mathias Dehli (ND)
Oscar Lister (ND)



I will draft as both Buffalo and Detroit again this year. What started as a purely intellectual exercise in 2020 (Covid caused me to try new things), has become a bit more of a project.

My intent is to use publicly available information to see if I can "scout" without watching tons of junior hockey. I have a model for D prospects outside the consensus 1st round that was my original reason for joining this thread. After the first couple tries, I began to pay more attention to the forwards (still don't do much around goalies).

It will obviously take 3-5 years to gauge the success of the project. So far, I think I have done as well as professional staffs--especially for picks after lottery picks.

 

[emptyNedder]

Buffalo

1. (14th)--Konsta Helenius-C
2. (42nd)--Harrison Brunicke-RHD
3. (71st)--Luca Marrelli-RHD
4. (108th)--Sebastian Soini-RHD
4. (123rd)--Clarke Caswell-LW
6. (172nd)--Darels Uljanskis-LHD
7. (204th)--Liam Danielsson-RW
7. (219th)--Kam Hendrickson-G


Detroit

1. (15th)--MIchael Brandsegg-Nygard-RW
2. (47th)--Luca Marelli-RHD
3. (80th)--Adam Jecho-RW
4. (126th)--Sebastian Soini-RHD
5. (144th)--Darels Uljanskis-LHD
6. (176th)--Xavier Veilleaux-LHD
7. (203rd)--Liam Danielsson-RW
7. (208th)--Kam Hendrickson-G

 

[emptyNedder]

There are several threads about prospect pools--so I will share my top 10 for Buffalo (22-24) and Detroit (23-24).

Detroit

1. Dvorsky
2. Ritchie
3. Brandsegg-Nygard
4. Fisker-Molgard
5. Pekarcik
6. Brzustewicz
7. Marrelli
8. P Fischer
9. Jecho
10. Soini

Buffalo (after Savoie trade)*

1. Kulich
2. Luneau
3. Ritchie
4. Helenius
5. Fisker-Molgard
6. Brunicke
7. Brzustewicz
8. Sapovaliv
9. Marrelli
10. Soini

*Ritchie likely would not have been picked--I haven't listed consensus top 8 the past few years because both Buffalo and Detroit drafted in early teens

 

[emptyNedder]

1. (14th)--Konsta Helenius-C
2. (42nd)--Harrison Brunicke-RHD
3. (71st)--Luca Marrelli-RHD
4. (108th)--Sebastian Soini-RHD
4. (123rd)--Clarke Caswell-LW
6. (172nd)--Darels Uljanskis-LHD
7. (204th)--Liam Danielsson-RW
7. (219th)--Kam Hendrickson-G

Still really early in the season, but looking like I hit on pretty much every pick.

Brunicke was a stand-out at Penguins camp and showing some offense in juniors.
Marrelli leading all OHL D in goals and points.
Caswell on pace for 114 pts in WHL.
Danielson killed juniors and holding his own in SHL--might get picked as over-ager.
Hendrickson has been a wall the last 5-6 games in USHL.