Not picking on you 2k2, because I've been seeing it a ton on these forums, but my view is that I'm not so sure we're going to "revert to the mean" to stick around the 8-10 spot.
Sure, we aren't going to lose by 5 goals a game every night. But, the first half of this season was the easier (by far) half of our schedule. We are dead last in ROWs. We are only as high as we are because of 5 SO wins. That probably (hopefully) isn't sustainable throughout the season. With our goal differential and stats, we should have fewer points than we do now... and as is, we are only four points out of the top overall spot (albeit with games in hand).
I've been in law school for the last year and a half now, so I'm not as up-to-date as I once was with the contract situations of other teams, but are there any teams below us that will be selling off more important pieces of their roster than Hayes/Zucc? Is Detroit going to trade Nyquist? Is Ottawa going to trade Duchene and/or Stone? (Neither of these are rhetorical- I have no idea. Any insights?)
After the TDL (or whenever they're traded... especially Hayes) Mika and Kreider are literally going to have to carry this team alone. Mika and Kreider are both fantastic players. Two of my favorite Rangers. But we're going to be a one-line team, with a terrible defense and an aging goalie, and that one line doesn't even have a superstar on it.
I don't feel picked on, don't worry. And even if I did, it's fine, I can handle it. I've fought for some pretty unpopular opinions over my many years here, and in retrospect, some were also ill-conceived.
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But I do appreciate your concern.
I understand your point. And, I will readily admit, we were generally lucky in a lot of instances so far, winning games we probably didn't deserve to win.
BUT...I feel like we also lost some games we probably deserved to at least get a point out of. My specific memory of this season is hazy because it's been so blah, but it feels like we've choked away a bunch of games late, or dropped points at the last minute. So while I don't expect a regression to the mean as you put it, since we have experienced good luck, but I also think we've encountered a good bit of bad luck (or bad luck in really bad spots).
At the same time, I'm not a huge subscriber to luck in general. I mean I understand statistical anomalies and things of that nature, but I think we're sometimes too quick to chalk an event or outcome up to luck.
So all in all I don't really know. I know the rest of the schedule is more tough, I know we have more road games left and we're hot garbage there, etc. I get that, and maybe we do go into complete free fall. I just don't really see it. I have nothing to base this on other than a hunch and my belief that the other teams behind us will also be pretty bad.