I think we have to take into account the fact that Juolevi plays on an offensive powerhouse in London. Whereas the spitfires are good but aren't producing as much offence. I think the biggest difference between the two is that scouts love Sergachevs skating ability and how good he is on the PK. You don't hear as much about that from Juolevi.
there's a lot of things that should be taken into account for, but at the end of the day you need to strike the right balance.
I think scouts have historically (particularly with highly rated defensmen) often take so much into account, and weight these additional factors so heavily that they let it run roughshod over what the basic numbers tell them and they end up draftign dmen that never amount to anything.
At a simple level, i tend to think of it as this:
There is enough low quality players in junior leagues, that a player of exceptional talent in any form (someone worth a 1st round pick) will have the tools to score regardless of the situation around him.
If you have a prospect who is super smooth skating, makes excellent passes, and can rush up the ice on a whim, he's going to score no matter how the deck is stacked against him because 50% of the time he's going to be on the ice against players that can't even hold their stick right (comparatively...obviously not accurate of junior)
the only way i see this not being true is being severely burried bull-headed coaching decisions or just being on an extrodinarily stacked team.
Essentially, if you see/watch a guy that Looks to just have amazing physical talents in junior, but somehow never seems to hit the scorecard, sleep on it. Don't assume it's luck. Watch him as critically as you possibly can, because the minor league are littered with "great defensive dmen" and "future shut down defenders" that couldn't score a lick in junior, were drafted high, and never panned out.
