8 Days Out
With eight days to go until the draft, there isn't any time left to watch the kids play hockey. So all that's left is speculation, trade talk, and debate about who's the best. Now that we know the entire draft order (with the exception of the Hawks and Bruins), here's my final projection at how the first 44 picks in the draft may pan out. Why 44? Because the Jackets pick at 44th, naturally
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1. Colorado - D Seth Jones ... in spite of the fact that they are mentioning picking a forward, I believe that Jones is their guy. Why? Because he's the best defense prospect to come along since Drew Doughty, and could step into their lineup and be an immediate upgrade on defense.
2. Florida - C Nathan MacKinnon ... he proved at the Memorial Cup that he is a game breaker when it matters, and separated himself from the rest of the pack in doing so. Very good in all aspects of the game, and has that special touch that makes good players great. Could be a franchise player.
3. Tampa Bay - LW Jonathan Drouin ... The reigning CHL player of the year, Drouin could be the perfect fit on a line with Steven Stamkos. Dazzling hands, great passer, may be their own answer to Backstrom and Ovechkin.
4. Nashville - C Aleksander Barkov ... Barkov immediately becomes the best forward prospect Nashville has had since Radulov, and is exactly what they need going forward. May play in the NHL next year.
5. Carolina - LW Valeri Nichushkin ... big, but with a lanky frame, hugely skilled, but the Russian factor weighs. If he were Canadian, this guy goes top-3 in this draft. Carolina can gamble because they are set for a few years up front, and this guy is a huge reward type of pick.
6. Calgary - C Elias Lindholm ... already with Sven Baertschi in the system, Lindholm gives the Flames a talented center to play alongside him. The best player available at this point in the draft, could project as an 80+ point guy.
7. Edmonton - D Darnell Nurse ... with a new GM at the helm and plenty of young talent, the Oilers need a can't-miss prospect, and Nurse is as close as it gets here. Exactly what they need to play alongside Justin Schultz in 2-3 years.
8. Buffalo - C Sean Monahan ... ecstatic that this player falls to them, the Sabres now have three huge centers in their system (Grigorenko, Girgensons), all with top-6 potential. Exactly how they want to start their rebuild.
9. New Jersey - LW Hunter Shinkaruk ... it's my belief that Lou Lamoriello will mention that they had Shinkaruk in their top-5, and he will not be lying. Shinkaruk can fill the void left by Zach Parise, and again makes Lou look like a genius at the draft.
10. Dallas - LW Alexander Wennberg ... thin on forward prospects, Wennberg is a high reward type of player, with somewhat limited risk. With solid young centers in the system, the talented wing is a nice fit.
11. Philadelphia - G Zachary Fucale ... huh? The more I think about it, the more I can see the Flyers taking the Memorial Cup winning goaltender. Paul Holmgren hopes that in 3-4 years, Fucale finally puts their goaltending question to rest. They may also be a prime candidate to trade down.
12. Phoenix - F Max Domi ... with a bevy of talented young defensemen, the 'Yotes take the best forward left on the board.
13. Winnipeg - D Rasmus Ristolainen ... this pick paves the way for the Jets to finally move Zach Bogosian, and they have the luxury of letting him grow for a couple of years. Solid pick.
14. Columbus - C Bo Horvat ... Jarmo Kekalainen's first pick as an NHL GM is a skilled center with grit, solid two way play, and leadership qualities. Horvat has second line potential.
15. New York - D Ryan Pulock ... another team that can't believe a player fell to them, the Islanders land a guy that could play with Griffin Reinhart on their top pair in a couple of years. Things start really looking up for the Isles.
16. Buffalo - D Nikita Zadorov ... safe and steady, huge defenseman Zadorov will make for a nice future shutdown defenseman for the Sabres. After landing Monahan, things are starting to look up for the Sabres as well ... literally.
17. Ottawa - C Frederik Gauthier ... one of the top forwards left on the table, often overlooked Frederik Gauthier is a nice find for the Sens, who need all the help up front they can get.
18. Detroit - Adam Erne ... needing to refill the cupboards, the Wings go with a guy who can score and plays the game both ways. A Mike Babcock type of player.
19. Columbus - LW Morgan Klimchuk ... wait ... isn't Mantha still on the board? I went with Klimchuk here because he's a Jarmo type pick; a guy that has high hockey IQ and can flat out score. I think this guy's a sleeper, and I think he's gone before we pick again... Klimchuk has top-6 potential.
20. San Jose - C Kerby Rychel ... with a history of finding goal scorers in this range, the Sharks pick another one. Rychel has a quick release and needs to develop, and the Sharks have the luxury of time to let him do so.
21. Toronto - LW Anthony Mantha ... deep on defense for the foreseeable future, the Leafs find a guy that is a high risk/high reward type of player. Only question is, can Mantha's game translate to the NHL?
22. Calgary - D Josh Morrissey ... after landing a potential top line forward at sixth, the Flames take a potential powerplay quarterback here. A long-term prospect, Morrissey could be a nice find for a team willing to be patient.
23. Washington - LW Ryan Hartman ... a future leader and gritty middle-six type of player, Hartman fills a huge void for the Caps up front. May be the kick in the pants the team needs to keep working hard and make them playoff performers. Think Dustin Brown.
24. Vancouver - C Curtis Lazar ... with Ryan Kesler to tutor him, Lazar could develop into a big time player in the NHL. The Canucks are ecstatic to land a guy that was once thought of as a top-10 player in this draft.
25. Montreal - LW Valentin Zykov ... a year after drafting Alex Galchenyuk third overall, the Canadiens land a guy who could play alongside him on their top line in a few years.
26. Anaheim - D Mirco Mueller ... needing prospects on defense, the Ducks land a guy with top-4 shutdown potential. The perfect guy to play alongside any of their bevy of offensive defensemen, Mueller could play for them as early as 2014.
27. Columbus - C Jimmy Lodge ... adds size to the prospect pool, and immediately reminds Jacket fans of recent pick Boone Jenner. Lodge has the potential to develop into a top-6 center, but may be best suited in a secondary role in the NHL. A solid pick after swinging hard at Morgan Klimchuk.
28. Calgary - D Madison Bowey ... a perfect pick for the Flames rebuild, Bowey is a no-nonsense defender that gives them credibility and honesty on the back end. Their fans will love this kid from the moment he steps on Saddledome ice.
29. Dallas - D Robert Hagg ... the player they covet at this spot, Hagg is a reliable, safe pick; one that should make the team in 2-3 years and be a steady player for many years to come.
30. Chicago - LW Artturi Lehkonen ... after hoisting the Cup
, the Hawks find a solid all-around forward with the last pick in the first round. Lehkonen has time to develop and can play alongside great players, exactly what the Hawks need.
31. Florida - LW Pavel Buchnevich ... simply adding to an impressive prospect pool, the Panthers don't need this player immediately. Buchnevich can develop and make up his mind about his future, while the Panthers only add another potential star to their prospect depth.
32. Colorado - LW JT Compher ... a forward that could turn into a steal for the Avalanche, Compher is too good to pass up. If he develops, he could be a scoring forward for their second line.
33. Tampa Bay - D Ian McCoshen ... McCoshen gives the Lightning a real presence on the backend ... a solid all-around defender.
34. Montreal - C Laurent Dauphin ... the Canadiens take a French player with the Preds' pick in the second round, and hope he develops into something useful down the road. Becomes an immediate fan favorite for the Habs.
35. Carolina - D Steven Santini ... with Justin Faulk turning into a gem, the Canes take a similar player here and look smart for doing so. Santini is a heck of a player.
36. Montreal - LW Jacob de la Rose ... suddenly, Montreal has a gluttony of big, talented forwards at their disposal. May be the steal of the second round, here.
37. Edmonton - C Jason Dickinson ... size, skill, and shutdown potential. Exactly the center the Oilers covet so desperately, but he's a few years from making an impact.
38. Buffalo - G Eric Comrie ... in spite of his injury woes, Comrie is the second best goaltender at the draft, and a player that Buffalo has time for. Immediately brings up questions about a Ryan Miller trade.
39. New Jersey - C Nic Petan ... going to the WHL for their second straight pick, the Devils land the league's reigning scoring champ in the second round. Is he another Brian Gionta, or do they miss completely?
40. Dallas - RW Justin Bailey ... the hope for the Stars is that Bailey develops into another James Neal type of steal in this range of the draft. It's possible.
41. Philadelphia - D Shea Theodore ... a potential powerplay quarterback for the Flyers, Theodore is a project pick.
42. Phoenix - C Connor Hurley ... a US high school player, Hurley's a guy whose future is hard to project ... but the Coyotes think they land a quality piece.
43. Winnipeg - RW JC Lipon ... the Jets go to the WHL with the hopes that they get a talented forward that everyone else missed. 19 year old Lipon had a huge year in the WHL ... but is he a late bloomer, or just a good junior player?
44. Columbus - LW Andre Burakovsky ... have I mentioned middle-6 potential yet? Burakovsky fits right into the mold that Columbus has followed so far at the draft; talented, but somewhat limited upside. A nice - if not overly exciting - pick.
So there you have it. Horvat, Klimchuk, Lodge, and Burakovsky. Two centers, two left wings in first four picks. While I know the Klimchuk pick will get me flack, I'm willing to stand by it for the reasons I listed. Fact of the matter is, I like Mantha, but I think Klimchuk's game is more desirable, safer to build upon, and he is a work horse. He fits in our system, and he's a Jarmo/JD type of player.
Thoughts?