We might be better off with two decent guys out of the first round rather than one top end guy.
We've tried the "all size" strategy before. I don't think it's the best strategy.
Lazar was on CHED. Interviewed with the Oilers today. Said it was his best of the five as he felt most relaxed knowing the brass. I wont be surprised if we choose him at 7.
Why would we draft Lazar with the 7th overall pick,when every list pretty much has him between 12th-25th?
1st: Monohan - Just the obvious pick if available.
2nd: Mike McCarron - The 6'5 228 RW plays with an edge and has committed to Western Michigan which will give him 4 years to hone his raw skills into an NHL calibre 3rd liner. 35th on CSB NA skaters list.
2nd: Tristan Jarry - The kid will have the starting role on what should still be a very good Oil Kings team. Could be in contention for a spot at the WJC.
5th: Gustav Rydahl - Underwhelming offensive numbers, but that's often the case with 18yr olds playing in the SEL outside of the top end talent. Described as a good skater with solid two way play and is a shift disturber who knows how to be effective without crossing the line. The 6'3 205 C is ranked 67th on CSB Euro skaters list.
6th: Tyler Hill - The 6'6 220 LW has a scouting report that reads a bit like Dustin Penner, but consistency is an issue with most draft eligible players. The potential far outweighs the risk if this kid is still available when we pick here. 187th on CSB NA skaters list.
7th: Jordan DeKort - One of the youngest players in the draft, the 6'4 Spitfires goalie won't be 18 until Aug 8th. Much like Jarry he was a backup, unlike Jarry he played behind a god awful defensive team. Project pick, but what 7th rder isn't?
because we will draft for need - MacT
Why would we draft Lazar with the 7th overall pick,when every list pretty much has him between 12th-25th?
1st: Monohan - Just the obvious pick if available.
2nd: Mike McCarron - The 6'5 228 RW plays with an edge and has committed to Western Michigan which will give him 4 years to hone his raw skills into an NHL calibre 3rd liner. 35th on CSB NA skaters list.
2nd: Tristan Jarry - The kid will have the starting role on what should still be a very good Oil Kings team. Could be in contention for a spot at the WJC.
Who do you think could creep into the top 10?
Horvat? Domi?
Horvat..too many questions concerning Domi...Domi at 20th
2nd: Mike McCarron - The 6'5 228 RW plays with an edge and has committed to Western Michigan which will give him 4 years to hone his raw skills into an NHL calibre 3rd liner. 35th on CSB NA skaters list.
I love those first three picks. Not only does it address the lack of size but those two guys are arguably the BPAs with those respective picks. McCarron is a guy that I would be super excited about it we pick him up. He's a great compliment to small players.
I looked into this a while back and drafting out of major junior, out of 400 WHL/OHL/QMJHL players drafted from rounds 3-9 from 2003-2008, the only two power forwards that ended up making it were Dwight King and Troy Brouwer. You're playing with minuscule odds. An average pick in that range has a 10% chance of turning into something useful, by targetting "power forwards" you're reducing your odds to less than 1%. It's a terrible strategy.
With the Memorial Cup in London and London owning his rights, I think there's a pretty good chance he foregoes the NCAA route and joins the Knights.
So we're better off drafting a Reider or Rajala because the "percentages" suggest they have a better chance of becoming an NHL player... on another NHL team because we already have too many small skill guys. Or wait, better yet we can trade them for a guy with size taken in the same round that year. Percentages may work against you in theory, and there may be more obvious flaws to some of the bigger players in the later rounds (thus higher risk), but the reward far outweighs it. In 09 Buffalo scooped Marcus Foligno in the 4th rd, a few picks later the Ducks scoop Vatanen. Buffalo desperately needs a PMD and thus a player of Vatanen's ilk, but do you think for a second they would consider moving Foligno who may indeed be the lesser player of the two? I don't. Power forwards are as valuable as any player type in the game today and you don't acquire them in trade short of ridiculous overpayment, so who cares if we miss out on the next Linus Omark because the 6'5 225 guy we took never gets a quicker first step, I'm willing to take that risk.
Agreed. If he had done that this season, I think there's a good chance he would be in discussion as a mid 1st. I dunno if the fact that we drafted his brother last year will have any impact on taking him, but I kind of hope so.
So we're better off drafting a Reider or Rajala because the "percentages" suggest they have a better chance of becoming an NHL player... on another NHL team because we already have too many small skill guys. Or wait, better yet we can trade them for a guy with size taken in the same round that year. Percentages may work against you in theory, and there may be more obvious flaws to some of the bigger players in the later rounds (thus higher risk), but the reward far outweighs it. In 09 Buffalo scooped Marcus Foligno in the 4th rd, a few picks later the Ducks scoop Vatanen. Buffalo desperately needs a PMD and thus a player of Vatanen's ilk, but do you think for a second they would consider moving Foligno who may indeed be the lesser player of the two? I don't. Power forwards are as valuable as any player type in the game today and you don't acquire them in trade short of ridiculous overpayment, so who cares if we miss out on the next Linus Omark because the 6'5 225 guy we took never gets a quicker first step, I'm willing to take that risk.