Worse spot after game 4 - LA series or Pittsburgh series

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Worse against LA.

Admittedly, McDonagh is better now than he was at that time but LA has a much better goaltender, depth, defense and coach than Pitt had.

Not given up though.
 
If we're talking stats you need to distinguish between odds based on empirical data versus pure probability based on # events & possible outcomes

True, but neither method would suggest that the odds of a 3-0 comeback are the same for a team that won game 4 as they are for a team that has yet to play game 4.
 

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