That's fair. When I watch prospects and young players, more than production or results, I'm looking for effort and instincts. Are they working hard at all times? Are they doing they making the right plays and going to the right places; i.e. do they look like they know what they're doing? If those questions are answered positively, that makes me confident that the player is going to get the most of their skill and natural abilities. The level of skill and physical traits provide the floor and ceiling, but the effort and IQ tell you whether the player can get there.Well it's also about progression right? A guy on a steep upward trajectory over the past 2+ years who's a bit raw, vs. a more polished player who's been on a steady but shallow upward trajectory ... you could watch the first guy for a game and be unimpressed, but if you saw him over the last few years and then watched that same game this year you might be like, "oh my god his game has grown by leaps and bounds" which would change your perception of that performance.
It's gonna be a roll of the dice no matter which way we go, none of these guys are on the Carlsson/Fantilli tier as prospects so there's gonna be flaws/question marks. No sure things (or close to sure things) even at #2 this year. As long as we get a high upside guy who fits what we're trying to do, I'm good with it. I'll only be disappointed if we go with a "safe" low upside pick.
I didn't see an effort issue with Levshunov, but I was very concerned about the hockey sense, both on the macro level (positioning on the ice, passing decisions, awareness of opposing players) and on the micro level (stick positioning when defending, body leverage when in a board battle). Those deficiencies could absolutely be a product of rawness, as you say, and many other scouts have said. They just worry me in a guy who we want to project as a top-pairing defenseman.
If we take him, I'll be excited though. He certainly has the physical tools to be a top pairing RD.