Will Connor McDavid win the 2024-2025 Art Ross Trophy?

[bobholly39]

This season is looking similar to last year already...McDavid injured early on, might miss 2-3 weeks, and Oilers started out the season poorly. Will have to climb back up the scoring race, if possible. Last year people wrote him off early after a poor start/injury, but he made a hell of a comeback. He did fall short of Kucherov/Mack for Art Ross, but they were both fantastic seasons of their own - in most years, the bar would have been lower, and McDavid might have still won the Art Ross.

So the question is - McDavid is now injured, and news is he's out of ~2-3 weeks - does he still win the Art Ross this year? Does he even finish top 3 in scoring?

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[jetsforever]

Top 3

 

[Calderon]

Can Draisaitl seize the day and take it down like he did in 2020? It'd do wonders for his legacy. The injury opens the door for a new AR winner, too, such as the current scoring leader Kaprizov.

I voted top3, I think the healing time may give McDavid much needed mental rest for the grueling ~60 games the Oilers will have left when CM comes back.

 

[ViD]

He’s already 8 points behind the lead, will likely be around 20 points when returns

No chance he wins it and likely will finish outside of top 3.

Kucherov, Panarin, MacKinnon, Kaprizov will likely determine the winner

 

[Mr Kot]

No, he was injured only a few games last season and lost it. Losing any more games probably means he just loses it again.

 

[Pavel Buchnevich]

No, but he’ll be close. Someone will sustain their pace around 115-125, and the slow start and injury will make it so he doesn’t reach more than a little above 100.

 

[McPoyle]

Missing 2-3 weeks means he misses 8-12 games. And he already had a slow start with 10 points in 9 games. So its a pretty small chance at this point.

 

[Three On Zero]

A healthy motivated McDavid can be a scary thing when he comes back, top 3 finish at worst.

 

[eXile3]

Voted yes. He makes it hard to bet against him. He’s that good.

 

[bobholly39]

Missing 2-3 weeks means he misses 8-12 games. And he already had a slow start with 10 points in 9 games. So its a pretty small chance at this point.

His ppg 2 years ago was 1.87, last year was 1.74 Assuming he can maintain somewhere in that range, and misses ~10 games, I'd say he has a good chance.

If McDavid misses 10 games, and matches 1.74 ppg, that puts him at ~125 points in 72 games.
If McDavid misses 10 games, and matches 1.87 ppg, that puts him at ~135 points in 72 games.

Kucherov and MacKinnon are the only players to have surpassed 128 points in any of the last 6 years, and it was a career year for both last year. Is that repeatable? Will they themselves miss games, and score less this year?

The odds aren't great for him - but assuming McDavid puts forth another great season after he's back, I still think he has a pretty good chance.

 

[Crosby2010]

5 Art Rosses is something only Gretzky, Lemieux and Howe have surpassed. Jagr and Esposito have 5, as does McDavid. Not that he isn't the best player in the NHL still, because he is, but I don't know how long people think a player can maintain that level against the entire field of the NHL for so long. McDavid did it 5 times, even without getting hurt this year I wasn't sure if he could do more than 6 even. It's hard. MacKinnon had 140 points last year and Kucherov had 144. I am going to say MacKinnon is the Art Ross winner this year.

 

[dalewood12]

Certainly possible for him to do it, but my money is on Kucherov.