53 points last season is pretty good, with all those line changes and little chemistry between players. Unfortunately Zucc is the only player on the current team who shows up 100% in every game, and that has to be fixed. He's the last guy you should worry about, with skilled linemates he should reach at least 70 points.
With everyone healthy and nobody traded I could see something like the following:
Zibanejad: 70 (PP1)
Zuccarello: 60 (PP1)
Buchnevich: 60 (PP1)
Kreider: 60 (PP1)
Shattenkirk: 50 (PP1)
Hayes: 50 (PP2)
Spooner: 50 (limited PP2)
Namestnikov: 40 (No PP time)
Chytil: 40 (limited PP2)
Andersson: 40 (PP2)
DeAngelo: 40 (PP2QB)
Pionk: 30 (PP2 shooter)
Fast: 30 (Spot duty with KZ 5v5, limited PP2)
Skjei: 20 (No PP time)
Vesey: 20
Smith: 20
Staal: 10
Non-regulars: 30
Imagined regular lineup:
Kreider-Zibanejad-Buchnevich (35%)
Namestnikov-Hayes-Zuccarello (30%)
Andersson-Chytil-Spooner (25%)
Vesey-NR-Fast (10%)
Staal-Shattenkirk (36%)
Skjei-DeAngelo (34%)
Smith-Pionk (30%)
670 points = 251 goals, which would have been an above average offensive team in 2017-18.
This is wildly optimistic IMO.
Probably, but I'm higher on this roster than most seem to be. I think we'll be 2010-11 level competitive (playoff bubble team) with an above average offence (top 10 PP) and a below average defence (not bottom 5).
You did not show up often enough last year.
I see you in the high 30’s to low 40’s point wise before being traded to Nashville.
You shouldn't include the last part of the season. We were fighting for a playoff spot. Then the management decided to pull the plug, and issued a public letter. The players got pissed and wanted to leave, then you can't expect much of an effort.
Zucc is ready for a possible trade, and will receive a new challenge with open arms. But if they want him here to help with this rebuild...fine, he's a professional who will show up 100%. And he loves New York.
Andersson-Chytil-Spooner would be brutalWith everyone healthy and nobody traded I could see something like the following:
Zibanejad: 70 (PP1)
Zuccarello: 60 (PP1)
Buchnevich: 60 (PP1)
Kreider: 60 (PP1)
Shattenkirk: 50 (PP1)
Hayes: 50 (PP2)
Spooner: 50 (limited PP2)
Namestnikov: 40 (No PP time)
Chytil: 40 (limited PP2)
Andersson: 40 (PP2)
DeAngelo: 40 (PP2QB)
Pionk: 30 (PP2 shooter)
Fast: 30 (Spot duty with KZ 5v5, limited PP2)
Skjei: 20 (No PP time)
Vesey: 20
Smith: 20
Staal: 10
Non-regulars: 30
Imagined regular lineup:
Kreider-Zibanejad-Buchnevich (35%)
Namestnikov-Hayes-Zuccarello (30%)
Andersson-Chytil-Spooner (25%)
Vesey-NR-Fast (10%)
Staal-Shattenkirk (36%)
Skjei-DeAngelo (34%)
Smith-Pionk (30%)
670 points = 251 goals, which would have been an above average offensive team in 2017-18.
This is wildly optimistic IMO.
I never understood AV's insistence to spread around ice time so much. Most of the good teams in the NHL don't do that.
Ice time should go:
Zibanejad: 20
Zuccarello: 19
Hayes: 18:30
Kreider: 18
Buchnevich: 18
Lets now compute that to a 60 minute game. Hayes and Zibanejad end up taking 38:30 of the 60 minutes. Give 15 minutes to whatever rookie, Chytil or Andersson, is the other center. We are at 53:30, and then you give 6 minutes to Holland or Nieves. Why do guys who aren't really even quality NHL'ers need like 10-11 minutes?
This is one of the main reasons we never have players surpass around 60 points.
Andersson-Chytil-Spooner would be brutal
Here’s my point expectations though, let’s pretend everyone plays 82 games
Zib-just under 60 (I’ll say 58)
Buch-around the same as Zib, I’ll say 57
Kreider-55
Zucc-54
Chytil-43
Hayes-52
Spooner-50
Vladdy-38
Lias-36
Vesey-29
Fast-32
Nieves-16
Shatty-47
Skjei-31
Pionk-27
Deangelo-27
Staal-13
Smith-16
(Points are a bit out of order, too lazy to fix)
Lines
Kreider-Zib-Buch
Namestnikov-Chytil-Zucc
Andersson-Hayes-Spooner
Vesey-Nieves-Fast
Skjei-Shatty
Staal-Pionk
Smith-Deangelo
God this is a sad. Yeah we really need someone to become a legit scorer.Gonna guess one of Kredier, Zibanejad, or Buchnevich. We seriously need someone to turn into a 60+ point player that we can rely on to give heavier minutes. None of our drafted guys since Sather have ever broken 60 points, and the only ones in the last three years to do so are Nash, Brassard, and Zucc since our run to the Cup. Zucc has come close with 59 points, and Stepan and Nash were pacing for it in the lockout shortened season.
We need to see one develop out of the next core of players.
I think we could’ve had it under AV, but he favored scoring by committee and liked to roll his ice time pretty evenly. I do think Stepan could’ve easily been a 20-40 guy if he was given more 5v5 ice time.God this is a sad. Yeah we really need someone to become a legit scorer.
We seriously need someone to turn into a 60+ point player that we can rely on to give heavier minutes.
Zucc has come close with 59 points
Yes, and if you quoted the entire post, you would’ve seen that I mentioned that. I’ll ignore your weird Zucc troll agenda for a second to re-address my original point:Zucc had 61 points in the 15-16 season, and plays top D minutes. So there we have one...