What would you pay for Mitch Marner?

[notDatsyuk]

What would you pay for Mitch Marner?

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[Drumman44]

With the cap rising he is going to get 13+

Would I pay that? No but my team isn’t a “Mitch Marner away” from making any noise

 

[biturbo19]

Less than $8M probably. He's maybe "worth" more than that, but there's a big opportunity cost to signing him to a bigtime "core player" keystone deal. It means...he's one of "The Guys" you're deciding to build around - and i just wouldn't want to do that. Cliched as it is to say, i just don't think he's a "winner".

So the deal would have to be under ~$8M in the sense that you can afford to have a secondary/supporting winger at that price point. But he's obviously not going to sign for anything close to that little.

 

[dirtydanglez]

$10m seems right to me. his skill level is worth more but his playoff performances would make me stop at $10m.

 

[Bouboumaster]

I'd do 9 max, but 7 years is f***ing long

 

[Regal]

With what Pettersson and Nylander got and then Draisaitl going up to 14 I think he should probably be around 12. The caps going to jump quite a bit coming up and he’s a great player despite the playoffs being not ideal.

 

[FrozenJagrt]

Not a cent more than Nylander. I know how good Marner *can* be, but his failures in the playoffs can't be ignored. He hasn't done anything to earn a substantial raise in my eyes.

 

[Chainshot]

Ten bucks, same as in town.

 

[gump116]

It’s tough with the rising cap over a 7 year deal. He’s probably a 9-10m player with the current cap. That might be equivalent to a 5-6m player today in 5 years from a cap percentage perspective. Think he’d probably get 12-13m as a ufa, which would be an overpay in the first couple years but be fine if the cap increases 5% every year.

 

[Albatros]

 

[Took a pill in Sbisa]

Considering he's done literally nothing to earn a raise I voted 9 because of playoffs

 

[John Mandalorian]

$10m seems right to me. his skill level is worth more but his playoff performances would make me stop at $10m.

@biturbo19 is pretty much spot on, however, 8 seems low. But whether it’s 8 or 10 is irrelevant. His agent is going to sell his regular season and treat him like a super star, so his salary is going up, not down.

This feels a little like the discussion from the film Moneyball about Johnny Damon.

 

[Crow]

I’d be comfortable with 10 million x 7 as well.

His playoffs are not good, but it’s a bit overblown by the obnoxious media and meathead fans (not all of them) in Toronto.

If he ends up elsewhere it’s going to hurt the leafs more than the above think.

 

[JaegerDice]

Probably around what he’s making.

He’s a fantastic player, but playoff struggles keep the number lower.

 

[All Mod Cons]

Less than B. Thachuk, Fiala, Barzal, DeBrincat, Caudield, Hyman and Ehlers.

 

[AvroArrow]

As of right now, despite his stellar regular season play it's tough to give him more than what he'as currently making. Voted 12M but I get people who are going below his current AAV.

It will come down to how he does in the playoffs, another poor performance you can't really justify a big contract.

 

[The Gr8 Dane]

10 going forward

 

[TheBeastCoast]

I would be fine with him at 12.

 

[Toby91ca]

Less than B. Thachuk, Fiala, Barzal, DeBrincat, Caudield, Hyman and Ehlers.

I'll bite....why?

 

[TheBeastCoast]

End of the day I just wouldn’t sign him to a contract until after the playoffs. Don’t care if he gets 120 points this season. Wait till the season is over and see where it falls. I would like him back ideally but it isn’t a blank check.

 

[FinlandPanther]

Hopefully 13+!

 

[BLNY]

There have been times when I thought he was the best Leafs forward - in the regular season. I'm waiting for him to bring it up a notch in the playoffs.

That said, his current contract was 12.4% of the cap when signed. I don't see him taking less. If the cap is $92.5 million next year, that means $11.47 million. Figure $12 million.