NFL GDT: Week 8: Russell’s New Recipe

StreetHawk

Registered User
Sep 30, 2017
28,845
11,142
Any agent telling kid not to come out when they are going to be 1st rounder is not doing his client a service

If a kid is going round one, he needs to go for it because as shown with Barkley and others an additional year can upend everything and, in some cases, destroy careers
It's to tell kids not to be a 1 and done starter. If you were that talented, you would have started by year 2 in college to get 2 years as a starter. If you are waiting til year 3 to start, either you went to a program that was loaded at QB or you were not good enough to win the job earlier.

It's a risk, but with NIL, there is that to help offset some of the risk. Short game, you take the 8 figures guaranteed money. But, if you are good enough in the nfl on your rookie deal you will get 9 figures guaranteed on the second contract. That's more the long game.

1st round picks, there are major tiers where the guaranteed money drops.

1OA - Caleb $39.5 mill
6OA - Nabers $29.2 mill
10OA - McCarthy $22 mill
16OA - Murphy $16 mill
21OA - Robinson $15 mill
26OA - Barton $14 mill
30OA - Wiggins $12.8 mill

The drop from mid first round to the end is like $4 mill.

Nix at #12 was $18 mill.

If you are top 10, you are set. But, if you are not set to go there, I don't think the risk is that great to return to school so long as your HC and OC are returning.
 
Last edited:

Peat

Registered User
Jun 14, 2016
30,482
26,019
Any agent telling kid not to come out when they are going to be 1st rounder is not doing his client a service

If a kid is going round one, he needs to go for it because as shown with Barkley and others an additional year can upend everything and, in some cases, destroy careers

My guess, my hope, is that agents are now telling their clients this because they're no longer going to be first rounders. That the NFL has woken up from its collective bout of insanity and realised they can't turn guys like Lance and Richardson into NFLers and that they should have never said they could.

We'll see how that looks come draft time but it'd be in everyone's best interest if the NFL meant it and stuck to it.
 

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