It seems to me that those of us who like to see hard analysis (as opposed to optimism, cheering and team support in the face of adversity) have pretty much lost Canucks Army. Not only is the total number of articles way, way down but the are now leaning towards soft cheering that has little to do with analysis.
An example of that is a new series by Cole Marton entitled "Roster Down the Road." The premise of the series, repeated in each article so far, is:
"I wondered if the Canucks could build a contender from within. Going through the system, I came to the realization it’s entirely possible. I’ve come up with a roster of young players that the Canucks could see in their lineup by 2022-2023 (When the Jay Beagle and Antoine Roussel contracts expire).
For this exercise, we will only be using players already in the Canucks system, and we won’t be contemplating any new young players the Canucks could potentially draft ..."
So essentially he's putting together a lineup of youngsters and assuming everybody is going to be really good, every one of them. Nobody will bust and going by the descriptions in his first four articles in the series everybody is amazing and going to be amazing.
Now, some of these guys might become as good as Marton writes them up. But most of them won't and several of them are likely to o bust. The articles will be pleasing to those who are optimists and those who think the Canucks' rebuild is going amazingly well.
So far he's got the following 2022-2023 lineup:
So far he's got the following lineup:
Goal-Demko, Di Pietro.
Now there's no surprise there and it wouldn't even be a shock if those are the Canucks' top 2 goalies in 2022-23. It is definitely optimistic to figure that both are going to work out (and Marton is definitely optimistic about it) but it isn't totally unlikely.
Defence: He hasn't named his first pair yet.
2nd pair: LD Juolevi-"Juolevi will become a top 4 defenseman for this team, anchoring the 2nd pair and making the selection look MILES better than how it looks right now. For this season, although I believe Juolevi is ready to play in the NHL on opening night, the best course of action should be to start him in Utica for the 1st part of the season. Then, when he shows he’s ready for the bigs, bring him up full time and have him play as a Vancouver Canuck. He’ll be with the team full time by 2019-2020 and rocking the 2nd pair and the penalty kill, while possibly getting some time on the PP2. "
To me that isn't totally unreasonable, but he's concluding and sounding certain about what Juolevi "will become."
RD-Tryamkin "The gentle giant also made a point of trying to shoot more as his season went along, which in turn helped develop his offensive game to a level that should make Canucks fans giddy for when he arrives. There is so much to like about what Tryamkin brings to a defense core ..." No pessimism contained here.
It gets worse.
3rd pair: LD-Jack Rathbone "Rathbone is a dynamic, smooth skating offensive defenseman, and when I say smooth skating… I mean silky smooth. The offensive potential on Rathbone is astounding, and he is going to be one of the dark-horse prospects to watch in the coming seasons as he moves into Harvard in the NCAA. Jack Rathbone is not one of the Canucks top 10 prospects according to Sporting News, however, I would have him in my personal top 10. An incredible character with high-end offensive instincts and wheels to burn."
"I expect both Chatfield and Rathbone to be employed with the power-play (Rathbone) and the penalty kill (Chatfield). With Chatfield’s strong defensive instincts, and Rathbone’s wheels and passing. This pair could be a hidden gem of a Canucks team looking to contend."
Reserve Defencemen: LD Toni Utanen RD Matt Brhisassard
Now, don't get me wrong. Any one of those players could become what Marton indicates they'll become. My problem with his series is that the likelihood of any one of them hitting the levels Marton indicates isn't very good and the likelihood of most of them getting to those levels is almost non-existent. This isn't analysis-it is an article that lets Canucks' fans feel good about their prospects. The problem is that the same series could be written for pretty much every team in the NHL, look about as reasonable and every team's fan could feel good. It isn't analysis-it's just feel-good cheering.
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One of the more reliable aspects of CA this past season was the writing of Cory Hergott who concentrated on the Utica Comets. I've enjoyed reading his material but he's much more optimistic than the posters we see covering the Comets on this forum and he seldom points out weaknesses in the games of Comets' players. His last few articles have been pretty much rah-rah stuff. Their titles have been "The Jim Benning era Comets have finally arrived" (a fluff piece about the prospects that will be playing in Utica this season-there are those of us who looked at the title and wondered if it was the fall of 2015 when Lorne Henning had been let go and the Comets were a poorly constructed group,) "Will This Be the Utica Comets First Season With More Than One 20-Goal Scorer?" (he guesses at three with Kero, Boucher, Archibald, Gaunce, Motte, Carcone, MacEwen, Dahlen, Lind, Jasek, Gaudette and Palmu mentioned) and "Five Reasons the Utica Comets Will Be Better in 2018/19."
On rare occasions Ryan Biech will post something with analytics but when he does the commenters generally react negatively, accuse of CA of being overwhelmingly negative in its coverage and imo generally show themselves incapable of understanding the numbers and theory behind them. Given the reaction of the commenters in general CA can't be blamed for going soft as it appears to be what the overwhelming majority of its readers want but for some of us who prefer realistic discussion and analysis it is painful to watch the changes.