Management Travis Green [Head Coach]

swiftwin

★SUMMER.OF.STEVE★
Jul 26, 2005
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There's actually some pretty significant differences in how they've been playing, night and day really.

Last year, the underlying numbers, such as xGF%, were bottom 5 in the league, this year we are 6th in xGF% at 5v5.
Last year our 5v5 xGA/60 was 26th worst in the league, this year we are tied for 2nd best.
Last year after 16 games, we were out of a playoff spot by pts%, this year we currently hold a wild card spot.

The eye test makes it even more obvious how much better they are playing.

Moneypuck has us at 2nd best xGF%

Screenshot_20241115-134127.png
 

swiftwin

★SUMMER.OF.STEVE★
Jul 26, 2005
24,169
13,877
We're currently in a wild card spot using pts %, so both sides of the coin currently show us as improved.
Exactly. If before the season started, you told me we'd have some of the best underlying metrics in the league AND be sitting in a playoff spot at this point in the season, I'd be ecstatic.
 

UglyPuckling

Registered User
May 14, 2021
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We're currently in a wild card spot using pts %, so both sides of the coin currently show us as improved.
What I was referring to in my post was that in the final analysis like at the end of the year, the NHL will use the standings and points. I thought the words “in the end” made that pretty clear, but apparently not. Maybe I needed to bold that part.
 
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Golden_Jet

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
26,096
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What I was referring to in my post was that in the final analysis like at the end of the year, the NHL will use the standings and points. I thought the words “in the end” made that pretty clear, but apparently not. Maybe I needed to bold that part.
Ya but using points is useless these days, when there is a potential of a 10 point swing in standings, because of differences in games played.

If you want a true accurate snapshot of today, you have to use points percentage.

That’s why MLB and NBA use point percentage and games behind leader.
 
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Tnuoc Alucard

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Sep 23, 2015
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They are very visibly a better team regardless of the record.

And anyway, it was December that did them in last year. They have to avoid lengthy losing streaks and instead put together a nice winning streak eventually. The latter feels more likely this year.

The Sens were out of it before December even stared….

A general rule of thumb is that teams not in a playoff spot by US Thanksgiving, are not going to make the playoffs….
 

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