Speculation: Trade value of our players

SakuKoivu11

Registered User
Jun 29, 2017
2,654
1,851
I don’t think we’ll make the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a busy trading deadline.
Here are some players I think will be traded and their trade value.

David Savard
2nd and 3rd round picks. Depending on the team, he’s valuable for a playoff team. He’s going to get the same value as Chris Tanev last year.

Christian Dvorak
I don’t think he’s worth much on the market base on his cap hit. Maybe if we retain 50%, we might get a second round pick out of a team looking for a 3rd/4th line center. We gave up a 1st and 2nd for Dvorak in the Kotkaniemi offer sheet.

Jake Evans
I think we’ll try to resign him. I don’t see a 3rd/4th liner worth anything more than a 2nd round pick and prospect. Evans has more value than Dvorak because his cap hit is 1/3 of Dvorak. Also he’s better than Dvorak. I don’t know if we want any more prospects but bringing him back to teach Owen Beck is more valuable than trading him.

Josh Anderson
I don’t think any team will touch his cap hit.

Brendan Gallagher
His cap hit is too high but he’s off to a great start. If LA somehow is interested because of Bergevin’s influence on Blake, then we might see a prospect and a pick in return.
 

HuGort

Registered User
Jun 15, 2012
21,698
10,684
Nova Scotia
Veteran right shot D like Savard usually go for overvalue at deadline.

Gallagher I am not moving. He is a warrior and on pace for 35 goals.

Anderson playing good just overpaid. I would retain half for a first. At 2.75m he has value.

Dvorak maybe a 3rd. Many teams want depth at center and he is good at faceoffs.

Matheson for a first and throw in. Take value now. He's not long term answer here.

Primeau a 7th. Phill maybe? What we gave up for him. Like to give Hughes a look. He's out playing Dobes.
 

Nicko999

Registered User
Jan 23, 2008
8,129
2,124
Montreal
Only veteran that has value is Matheson. He could yield a first+.

Gallagher, despite his good start, is untradable because of his contract.
 

26Mats

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
33,391
25,772
I don’t think we’ll make the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a busy trading deadline.
Here are some players I think will be traded and their trade value.

David Savard
2nd and 3rd round picks. Depending on the team, he’s valuable for a playoff team. He’s going to get the same value as Chris Tanev last year.

Christian Dvorak
I don’t think he’s worth much on the market base on his cap hit. Maybe if we retain 50%, we might get a second round pick out of a team looking for a 3rd/4th line center. We gave up a 1st and 2nd for Dvorak in the Kotkaniemi offer sheet.

Jake Evans
I think we’ll try to resign him. I don’t see a 3rd/4th liner worth anything more than a 2nd round pick and prospect. Evans has more value than Dvorak because his cap hit is 1/3 of Dvorak. Also he’s better than Dvorak. I don’t know if we want any more prospects but bringing him back to teach Owen Beck is more valuable than trading him.

Josh Anderson
I don’t think any team will touch his cap hit.

Brendan Gallagher
His cap hit is too high but he’s off to a great start. If LA somehow is interested because of Bergevin’s influence on Blake, then we might see a prospect and a pick in return.

- I'd be happy with a 2nd + for Savard. But some in the media that look into rumors for a living are speculating he'll get a 1st. Hopefully that shot blocking shift that went viral entices GM's.

- I think it's better to keep Evan's than trade him for a second. But I'd take a late 1st.

- Dvo has to pick up his numbers to get a decent return (2nd or better). I'd play him with Dach and two of Caufield, Laine, and Slaf on a second line, even if on the wing.

- Anderson has trade value at 50% retained. Maybe Gally now too. Though I think Gally needs a bigger sample size. If the opportunity arose to move them at 50% retained arose, I'd do it. I'd like to make room for Beck, Kapanen, Newhook, Roy, Heineman, and Hage in the bottom six plus others we acquire (Olivier?, Frederick?). Demidov will come next year and complete the top 6.

- will be nice to trade Savard and give Barron full time duties. Might as well see if he can learn on the job and get to another level.
 

26Mats

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
33,391
25,772
Veteran right shot D like Savard usually go for overvalue at deadline.

Gallagher I am not moving. He is a warrior and on pace for 35 goals.

Anderson playing good just overpaid. I would retain half for a first. At 2.75m he has value.

Dvorak maybe a 3rd. Many teams want depth at center and he is good at faceoffs.

Matheson for a first and throw in. Take value now. He's not long term answer here.

Primeau a 7th. Phill maybe? What we gave up for him. Like to give Hughes a look. He's out playing Dobes.

I'm ready to move Primeau or put him on waivers. But we could also call up Hughes and have Primeau back in the 3rd goalie chair.

If Primeau doesn't do well in his next 1 or 2 starts, I think Hughes will be called up.
 
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Sorinth

Registered User
Jan 18, 2013
11,608
6,249
Prices vary a ton based off of whether it's a sellers market or not so it's tough to predict.

Savard could potentially get a 1st, but a 2nd+ is probably more likely. That said there's also a chance we re-sign him even though many here would hate it.

Evans is probably looking at a 2nd, but again we might re-sign him.

Dvorak & Armia are late picks at best, and Gallagher & Anderson are still probably untradeable with their contracts even though both have had a good year so far.
 

26Mats

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
33,391
25,772
Prices vary a ton based off of whether it's a sellers market or not so it's tough to predict.

Savard could potentially get a 1st, but a 2nd+ is probably more likely. That said there's also a chance we re-sign him even though many here would hate it.

Evans is probably looking at a 2nd, but again we might re-sign him.

Dvorak & Armia are late picks at best, and Gallagher & Anderson are still probably untradeable with their contracts even though both have had a good year so far.

I think if Hughes can get a 1st for Savard he'll take it.

He needs to make room for Mailloux or give Barron a chance to play every day next year.

If they need a vet RD, they can sign one this summer.
 

nhlfan9191

Registered User
Aug 4, 2010
20,027
18,241
Despite the frustration from our fanbase with Matheson this year, I think he holds a ton of value still on his current contract. After that, we don’t really have anybody worth anything that we would want to trade. I’m sure teams would be calling on a guy like Jake Evans, but I doubt they would offer anything that makes Hughes want to move him. Maybe somebody still gives up an alright draft pick for Savard to be a depth piece on a strong team.
 

ML16

Registered User
Aug 28, 2020
457
418
Montreal
I don’t think we’ll make the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a busy trading deadline.
Here are some players I think will be traded and their trade value.

David Savard
2nd and 3rd round picks. Depending on the team, he’s valuable for a playoff team. He’s going to get the same value as Chris Tanev last year.

Christian Dvorak
I don’t think he’s worth much on the market base on his cap hit. Maybe if we retain 50%, we might get a second round pick out of a team looking for a 3rd/4th line center. We gave up a 1st and 2nd for Dvorak in the Kotkaniemi offer sheet.

Jake Evans
I think we’ll try to resign him. I don’t see a 3rd/4th liner worth anything more than a 2nd round pick and prospect. Evans has more value than Dvorak because his cap hit is 1/3 of Dvorak. Also he’s better than Dvorak. I don’t know if we want any more prospects but bringing him back to teach Owen Beck is more valuable than trading him.

Josh Anderson
I don’t think any team will touch his cap hit.

Brendan Gallagher
His cap hit is too high but he’s off to a great start. If LA somehow is interested because of Bergevin’s influence on Blake, then we might see a prospect and a pick in return.

Savard : Optimal candidate for the Habs’ last salary retention spot; at 50%, he should in principle (veteran RHD) fetch a late 1st round pick from a contender in such context.

Evans : If the Habs can’t re-sign him to a reasonable contract (2-3M AAV) prior to TDL, he should become a prime candidate for contenders looking for a swiss-army knife forward to bolster their bottom-6. Wouldn’t be surprised if Evans fetches a late 1st or 2nd round pick in such context.

Dvorak : Habs would have to take back a bad contract and/or trade a middle-round pick to a third party to retain 50% of Dvorak’s salary to extract any significant value; maybe a late 2nd round pick from a contender looking for a bottom-6 C with good face-off skills?

Armia : Habs would have to take back a bad contract and/or trade a middle-round pick to a third party to retain 50% of Armia’s salary to extract any significant value; maybe a late 2nd or 3rd round pick from a contender looking for a bottom-6 forward with good playoff credentials?

Anderson/Gallagher/Matheson : N/A, for this season at least

Struble/Barron : If somehow the Habs want to sell AND buy at TDL to avoid offseason bidding wars, one of them could be an asset in a package for an experienced RHD?
 

Sorinth

Registered User
Jan 18, 2013
11,608
6,249
I think if Hughes can get a 1st for Savard he'll take it.

He needs to make room for Mailloux or give Barron a chance to play every day next year.

If they need a vet RD, they can sign one this summer.
I think the main issue with Just sign someone this summer is that if they are any good they will be looking for more then 1 year, whereas we probably don't want to go more then a year or two for a true vet D. Obviously if we can get a youngish borderline top-pairing guy then that's a different story but it's also unlikely.
 

26Mats

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
33,391
25,772
Despite the frustration from our fanbase with Matheson this year, I think he holds a ton of value still on his current contract. After that, we don’t really have anybody worth anything that we would want to trade. I’m sure teams would be calling on a guy like Jake Evans, but I doubt they would offer anything that makes Hughes want to move him. Maybe somebody still gives up an alright draft pick for Savard to be a depth piece on a strong team.

Matheson's highest value may be highest when he's a UFA. Contenders may want to add him to an already good blue line, instead of having his cap hit prevent them from signing other players innthe offseason.
 

salbutera

Registered User
Sep 10, 2019
15,231
17,033
Matheson's highest value may be highest when he's a UFA. Contenders may want to add him to an already good blue line, instead of having his cap hit prevent them from signing other players in the offseason.
I would tend to agree, I think his peak market value is this upcoming deadline (age 31), followed by next (age 32) w his very digestible $4.9M AAV. If there’s a growth uptick amongst young D corps, Matheson might be dangled next summer or following deadline, but his ability to eat TOI is too important this season for Habs

He’s going to look to make bank on his next contract (as he should), with cap ceiling likely over $100M for 26-27 season
 

therocket9

Registered User
Sep 15, 2021
519
485
I don’t think we’ll make the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be a busy trading deadline.
Here are some players I think will be traded and their trade value.

David Savard
2nd and 3rd round picks. Depending on the team, he’s valuable for a playoff team. He’s going to get the same value as Chris Tanev last year.

Christian Dvorak
I don’t think he’s worth much on the market base on his cap hit. Maybe if we retain 50%, we might get a second round pick out of a team looking for a 3rd/4th line center. We gave up a 1st and 2nd for Dvorak in the Kotkaniemi offer sheet.

Jake Evans
I think we’ll try to resign him. I don’t see a 3rd/4th liner worth anything more than a 2nd round pick and prospect. Evans has more value than Dvorak because his cap hit is 1/3 of Dvorak. Also he’s better than Dvorak. I don’t know if we want any more prospects but bringing him back to teach Owen Beck is more valuable than trading him.

Josh Anderson
I don’t think any team will touch his cap hit.

Brendan Gallagher
His cap hit is too high but he’s off to a great start. If LA somehow is interested because of Bergevin’s influence on Blake, then we might see a prospect and a pick in return.
Won't be resigning Evans....when u have Beck Kapanen and Davidson that can play the same role for way cheaper.
 

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