Well you're going to have a real hard time convincing me on this. Personally I've always thought you to be very trade happy--Mike Milburyish trade happy.
I remain an advocate for active trading to the extent I say you always try for almost every profitable deal possible. I'm sure there were exceptions to the rule, including particularly as to someone like Malkin, who would command maximum assets. However, by and large, I have never been an advocate for throwing away picks just to make a deal. I have sometimes suggested more picks to obtain [a] higher pick(s), and vice versa. But I have viewed picks as assets not to be squandered.
Right now we have a 30 year old goalie--a great player and potential HOF'er when he retires--the gap is closing on him in respect to his getting older and in respect to other younger goalies coming along throughout the league closing the gap in talent. Practically every team in the league realizes right now they have to have great goaltending to win--goals and offense are down and defense is up--that is the trend the league is going in.
HL is 30; I give him a full 5-6 years barring injury.
He may have to cut back a few games going forward starting in a year or two; but he will be playing the majority of games, including the key games, and playoffs.
Hank may contribute past 36 in a diminished (games played capacity).
My point is, if you are not sensible about the next two years, you will reap what you sow, and you will not have those extra assets in years three and four and beyond. So the surest way to set up increased likelihood of failure is put all the pressure on what we have in the pipeline to date, without further investing in additionally worthwhile draft results.
Obviously, any idea prevails on merit. So any one proposal to invest picks for a prospect/player or vice versa is to be judged accordingly. But we cannot plan on exclusively squandering draft picks any more than we can get by exclusively on free agents.
The Penguins are the anomaly--not hard to figure out why when they have the two best forwards in the league.
Anomaly or not, we must get by them to win. I suggest instead of just hoping that will happen, we maximize our odds by trying to have more total talent for the entire roster. To amass that talent, we need to make more good moves than bad on all fronts (draft, trade, sign). While not passing up the usefulness of the a given pick for a trade, all picks, whether used as selections or to help acquire trade assets, need to be judicious. Case in point is the recent acquisition of Clowe. It's reasonable to gather that the immediate return of Clowe was a more likely success than what would be returned in the draft. However, if Clowe holds us up and cannot be resigned, then the long term result of the loss of those picks is collectively negative, nominally so if the players picked are nominal and dramatically so if the piayers picked [or used to trade up to a higher pick = better player] are substantial.
We are still ahead of the curve because not only do we have a great but we have 4 really good and in Staal and McDonagh's case 2 superb defensive minded d-men--though we do have a glut on the left side.
No way should the team take a step back while those pieces are in place by getting rid of a still young and very experienced legit 1st pairing shutdown d-man for a ****ing draft pick unless that player can immediately help the team in a substantial way and I'm afraid that is not going to happen with a #5 overall pick. Carolina would have to pony up more than that.
We are ahead for now, but how long will the cap allow us to stay ahead.
If you wait to move a top guy, you will get less for him because of the reduced contract expiring. More would be nice, but I would not be greedy. 5 overall, plus the cap benefits are worth it.
Furthermore this idea always going around that you have to give to get is ******** because there is no requirement that our team do either getting or giving. Carolina wants to get the Staal brothers altogether--well fine--we still don't have to accommodate them.
No one will give up something valuable for free. The more the value, the more the cost. That is straightforward logic.
Yes, we are not required to do anything in a vacuum, but we are obliged to actively make moves to improve the team. That is basically as to overall talent, but it is also as to fitting under the cap.