Tracking the Playoffs Thread

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ConoR187

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Aug 29, 2008
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another thing to mention about our games played is that we have a nice break during this week, only playing twice. doesnt bode well for teams like detroit who play 4 times in 6 days
 

georgiabluejacket

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Jun 6, 2002
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THE JACKETS ARE IN IF ...

-- They win their final two games in regulation AND Detroit loses one of its final four in regulation OR goes 3-0-1 with two or more shootout wins. If the Blue Jackets win both of their final games (regulation/overtime/shootout, doesn't matter) the Stars would be eliminated,

-- They go 1-0-1 in the final two games AND Detroit goes 2-1-1 or worse AND Dallas loses any of its last three games, either in regulation or OT/shootout.

-- They go 1-1-0 in the final two games AND Detroit goes 2-2-0 or worse AND Dallas goes 2-1-0 or worse

From Puck Rakers

People are to concerned with the Red Wings. We are currently tied with MIN for 7th and they play the Kings tonight which "should" be a lose for them. So with 2 games remaining we'd only need 1 more point than them to get the 7 spot and since they're craping all over themsleves down the stretch lately(only won 3 of their last 11) it's a very good possibility we can get the 7 & DET could snag the 8. I mean, who thought they'd get schooled by CGY on home ice?
 

georgiabluejacket

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Jun 6, 2002
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Its going to be a long, frustrating few days until Thursday night, seeing all these teams behind in the standings playing games and gaining ground. In the end, it doesn't matter but it plays tricks with the mind.

If they're losing, they're not gaining ground. By the time Thursday comes around both the Wild & Det. would've played LAK(giving everyone the same amount of GP). We could be tied for 7th, have a lead for 8th with 2 games remaining. Have a 2 point lead for 7th & 3 point lead of 8th by early friday morning. It's days like this I wish I didn't live 14 hours away from home :(
 

georgiabluejacket

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Jun 6, 2002
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The more I look at MIN's division, the more I think they have no business in the playoffs. You have 3 of the 4 worst teams in the entire conference in your division, yet U can barely qualify? U don't deserve the playoffs
 

plong123

Litebrite Stinger
Mar 3, 2008
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TUESDAY'S ROOTING INTEREST

1) SJS vs DAL - we want SJS to win in regulation (adds to our chances by 6.1% and could all but eliminate DAL from contention)

2) MIN vs LA - we're still chasing MIN, so an LA win will be big, too. A regulation win would add 4.8% to our chances and would ties us with MIN in GP and points.

3) STL vs COL - STL is still a long shot but it wouldn't hurt to root for COL in this game (would raise our chances by .3%

Extra: WPG and FL against WASH and NYR for that lottery pick.

If all goes well tomorrow, chances go up nearly 11% without even playing.

Hey, you stole my gig LOL
 

Iron Balls McGinty

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Aug 5, 2005
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People are to concerned with the Red Wings. We are currently tied with MIN for 7th and they play the Kings tonight which "should" be a lose for them. So with 2 games remaining we'd only need 1 more point than them to get the 7 spot and since they're craping all over themsleves down the stretch lately(only won 3 of their last 11) it's a very good possibility we can get the 7 & DET could snag the 8. I mean, who thought they'd get schooled by CGY on home ice?

Minnesota is not a concern for me. They would have to potentially go 1-2 in their final 3 games to fall out of the playoffs. I don't see it happening and I'm not counting on it.Their last 2 games are against lame duck Oiler and Avalanche teams with nothing to play for except pride.

I don't consider the CBJ tied with Minnesota until they play tonight because of their game in hand. If they lose in regulation, then we are tied but they still hold the tie breaker.

If MN goes 2-1 in their final 3, that is 55 points. If the CBJ win their final 2, that is 55 points but MN holds the tie breaker. if Detroit goes 2-1 in their last 3, they have 54 points.

Essentially, I see in most scenarios that MN is either 7th or out of the playoffs. It would seems a small percentage that they could finish the 8 seed.
 

Matt

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Jul 30, 2006
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It is imperative that the Kings beat the Wings. Wings last two games are with Preds and Stars, which will be easy wins for them.
 

Nordique

Add smoked meat, and we have a deal.
Aug 11, 2005
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Ohio
It is imperative that the Kings beat the Wings. Wings last two games are with Preds and Stars, which will be easy wins for them.

Wings are finding their groove, but no games are easy. Especially when everyone in the league wants to end your 21 years playoff streak. Look at our road game in Colorado last week.

****.... but it's to be expected....

Even if we win out with 55 points we only rate 87%....

If Detroit gets 55 points they are in at almost 100%....

Detroit must lose.

In regulation I might add.
 
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Nordique

Add smoked meat, and we have a deal.
Aug 11, 2005
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265
Ohio
Minnesota is not a concern for me. They would have to potentially go 1-2 in their final 3 games to fall out of the playoffs. I don't see it happening and I'm not counting on it.Their last 2 games are against lame duck Oiler and Avalanche teams with nothing to play for except pride.

I don't consider the CBJ tied with Minnesota until they play tonight because of their game in hand. If they lose in regulation, then we are tied but they still hold the tie breaker.

If MN goes 2-1 in their final 3, that is 55 points. If the CBJ win their final 2, that is 55 points but MN holds the tie breaker. if Detroit goes 2-1 in their last 3, they have 54 points.

Essentially, I see in most scenarios that MN is either 7th or out of the playoffs. It would seems a small percentage that they could finish the 8 seed.


Pretty much this. I wasn't paying much attention to them until they dropped two in a row. A slight correction. If we win out, and Minn goes 1-1-1, we're in ahead of them. Its a slim chance, but its another possible path to the playoffs for us.

We're in if:

We win the last 2

AND

(Detroit finishes no better than 2-1 OR Minn finishes no better than 1-1-1)
 
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db2011

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Oct 10, 2011
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Brooklyn
Damn Red Wings have me worried.

Coyotes played well 5 on 5, were outshooting Detroit by a comfortable margin. Too bad the Red Wings power play came to play :(
 

Nordique

Add smoked meat, and we have a deal.
Aug 11, 2005
9,138
265
Ohio
Damn Red Wings have me worried.

Coyotes played well 5 on 5, were outshooting Detroit by a comfortable margin. Too bad the Red Wings power play came to play :(

Just want to add that I still can't believe we're doing the playoff math at this point. 17-5-4 since March 1. An unbelievable run.
 

georgiabluejacket

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Jun 6, 2002
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Georgia
Minnesota is not a concern for me. They would have to potentially go 1-2 in their final 3 games to fall out of the playoffs. I don't see it happening and I'm not counting on it.Their last 2 games are against lame duck Oiler and Avalanche teams with nothing to play for except pride.

They just got embarrassed by the lowly flames 4-1 at home, then you look at how tough Colorado has played since Giguere called his teammates out. Couple that with the fact they are 2-8-1 in their last 11(should be 2-9-1 after they lose to LAK) & MIN is on shakier ground than they'd like to admit
 

georgiabluejacket

Registered User
Jun 6, 2002
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Georgia
Well for what it's worth

they are 3-0-1 against Colorado so far. 3-2 against Calgary. 3-0 against Edmonton.

That's my point. That's 9 of their 24 wins(38%) that have come against the bottom feeders of the conference. Meanwhile only 4 of our eventual 24 wins(17%) will be. Need to change the name of the draft to "Hopefully the Southeast & Northwest will stop sucking allotment"
 

Hello Johnny

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Apr 13, 2007
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They just got embarrassed by the lowly flames 4-1 at home, then you look at how tough Colorado has played since Giguere called his teammates out. Couple that with the fact they are 2-8-1 in their last 11(should be 2-9-1 after they lose to LAK) & MIN is on shakier ground than they'd like to admit

I think the game we may end up regretting most is the shootout win over Minnesota a little bit ago. Up by 1 in the final minutes, only to give up a PP goal to send it to OT. Had to settle for not just a shootout win instead of the all-important ROW, but for also giving Minny a crucial point. Could really come back to bite us.
 

blahblah

Registered User
Nov 24, 2005
21,327
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I think the game we may end up regretting most is the shootout win over Minnesota a little bit ago. Up by 1 in the final minutes, only to give up a PP goal to send it to OT. Had to settle for not just a shootout win instead of the all-important ROW, but for also giving Minny a crucial point. Could really come back to bite us.

Point taken. But honestly the 5-12-4 start was the real problem. I'm really not regretting anything.
 

Double-Shift Lasse

Just post better
Dec 22, 2004
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Indeed there appear to be a number of isolated instances like this that you could point to. Which "one" is the most costly? I honestly can't get into thinking that way. (says the poster with the Conks quote below)
 

CBJWerenski8

Rest in Peace Johnny
Jun 13, 2009
43,701
26,750
TUESDAY'S ROOTING INTEREST

1) SJS vs DAL - we want SJS to win in regulation (adds to our chances by 6.1% and could all but eliminate DAL from contention)

2) MIN vs LA - we're still chasing MIN, so an LA win will be big, too. A regulation win would add 4.8% to our chances and would ties us with MIN in GP and points.

3) STL vs COL - STL is still a long shot but it wouldn't hurt to root for COL in this game (would raise our chances by .3%

Extra: WPG and FL against WASH and NYR for that lottery pick.

If all goes well tomorrow, chances go up nearly 11% without even playing.

Renaud Lavoie ‏@RenLavoieRDS 41s

First start tonight for Jonathan Bernier since April 7. Kings are playing Wild.
 
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